WHO, Pakistani officials cite ‘immunity gap’ as key factor behind surge in polio cases

This photograph taken on October 5, 2024 shows health workers walking during a door-to-door poliovirus vaccination campaign for children on the outskirts of Peshawar. (AFP/File)
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Updated 19 November 2024
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WHO, Pakistani officials cite ‘immunity gap’ as key factor behind surge in polio cases

  • WHO official says resurgence developed over time due to ‘compromised campaign quality’
  • Pakistan has reported 49 cases this year, mostly from Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

ISLAMABAD, PESHAWAR, KARACHI: The World Health Organization (WHO) and Pakistani officials have identified “immunity gap” as a key factor behind the resurgence of polio in the country, as Pakistan on Friday reported its 49th case this year from the southwestern Balochistan province.

Polio is a highly contagious disease that can cause irreversible paralysis, particularly in young children, and remains incurable, posing a persistent threat as long as the virus is not eradicated.

Most cases in Pakistan have emerged from the conflict-hit Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan provinces. Along with neighboring Afghanistan, Pakistan remains one of the last two countries in the world where polio is endemic. After significant progress in reducing cases, Pakistan has seen a resurgence since late 2018, underscoring the fragility of earlier gains.

Health officials explain that an “immunity gap” occurs when a large segment of the population lacks sufficient resistance to the poliovirus, leaving communities vulnerable to infection and outbreaks despite immunization efforts.

“The ongoing transmission and resurgence of the poliovirus was largely attributed to a widespread immunity gap that has developed over time,” WHO told Arab News.

The global health body attributed this “to a compromised campaign quality because of security-related challenges, community resistance, boycotts and demands of local communities, suboptimal routine immunization coverage and internal displacement of mobile and migrant populations.”

It added that high-quality vaccination campaigns were needed to bridge the immunity gap, highlighting that the WHO had organized back-to-back large-scale campaigns in September and October that vaccinated around 45 million children.

“These will follow another campaign in December to effectively plug the immunity gap,” the WHO said. “The mobile and migrant populations were redefined and mapped with revitalized focus on their vaccination.”

Health officials from the restive Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan provinces also echoed the same concerns, saying that immunity gaps played a major role in the resurgence of poliovirus.

KP’s Special Health Secretary Abdul Basit said the provincial government was undertaking efforts to “plug remaining immunity gaps” from the region by ensuring timely immunization of children.

A tribal elder from South Waziristan, Malik Anwar Wazir, told Arab News the increasing number of polio cases raised question about the government’s polio eradication efforts.

He termed the decades of infighting and unrest in parts of KP and tribal areas responsible for “inconsistent health care initiatives.”

“Mass exodus or displacement of families because of militancy hinder vaccination drives,” he added. “Most of the families in the tribal belt and parts of KP move for safer areas due to constant war, which creates problems for full immunization dose.”

Dr. Aftab Kakar, a health official in Balochistan, said international donors funding Pakistan’s polio eradication program had expressed concerns and given the authorities in the province new targets to prevent poliovirus transmission by June 2025.

“After being declared a polio-free province for almost years, we received the first transmission of poliovirus from Kandahar [Afghanistan] in September 2023,” he said. “If our children were immunized and well nourished, the virus would not have survived and spread all over the province.”

This year, 24 polio cases have been reported in Balochistan, 13 in Sindh, 10 in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and one each in Punjab and the federal capital, Islamabad. In the early 1990s, Pakistan recorded approximately 20,000 cases annually, but the number dropped to eight in 2018, six in 2023 and only one in 2021.

Pakistan’s polio eradication program, launched in 1994, has significantly reduced the number of cases over the years. However, the country continues to face major challenges, including militancy, with polio workers frequently targeted in attacks, particularly in the northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province.

The program has adapted to address climate disasters, such as floods, but continues to experience disruptions. Additionally, there are gaps in supplementary immunization activities, particularly in areas where the virus remains active.


Pakistan and Indonesia closing in on jets and drones defense deal — officials

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Pakistan and Indonesia closing in on jets and drones defense deal — officials

  • Interest in the Pakistani military’s weapons development program has surged since its jets were deployed in a four-day conflict with India last year
  • The JF-17s have been at the center of that growing attention, figuring in a deal with Azerbaijan and a $4 billion weapons pact with Libyan National Army

ISLAMABAD/JAKARTA: Indonesia’s defense minister met Pakistan’s air force chief in Islamabad ​to discuss a potential deal that includes the sale of combat jets and killer drones to Jakarta, three security officials with knowledge of the meeting on Monday said.

The talks come as Pakistan’s defense industry moves forward with a series of defense procurement negotiations, including deals with Libya’s National Army and Sudan’s army, and looks to establish itself as a sizable regional player.

Indonesia’s Defense Ministry confirmed the meeting between Defense Minister Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin and Pakistan’s Air Chief Marshal Zaheer Ahmed Baber Sidhu.

“The meeting focused on discussing general defense cooperation relations, including strategic dialogue, strengthening communication between defense institutions, ‌and opportunities for mutually ‌beneficial cooperation in various fields in the long term,” defense ‌ministry ⁠spokesperson Brig. ​General ‌Rico Ricardo Sirait told Reuters, adding the talks had not yet led to concrete decisions.

One source said the talks revolved around the sale of JF-17 jets, a multi-role combat aircraft jointly developed by Pakistan and China, and killer drones designed for surveillance and striking targets. The other two sources said the talks were in an advanced stage and involved more than 40 JF-17 jets. One of them said Indonesia was also interested in Pakistan’s Shahpar drones.

The sources did not share any discussions about delivery timelines and ⁠the number of years a proposed deal would span.

The Pakistani military’s public relations wing did not immediately respond to a ‌request for comment.

INDONESIA REPLACING AGEING AIR FORCE FLEET

One additional security ‍source with knowledge of military procurement talks said ‍Pakistan was discussing the sale of JF-17 Thunder jets, air defense systems, training for ‍junior, mid-level, and senior Indonesian air force officials, and engineering staff.

“The Indonesia deal is in the pipeline,” retired Air Marshal Asim Suleiman, who remains briefed on air force deals, told Reuters, adding that the number of JF-17 jets involved was close to 40.

Indonesia’s President Prabowo Subianto was in Pakistan last month for a two-day visit ​for talks on improving bilateral ties, including defense.

Indonesia has put in a slew of orders for jets in the past few years, including 42 French Rafale jets ⁠worth $8.1 billion in 2022 and 48 KAAN fighter jets from Turkiye last year to strengthen its air force and replace its aging air force fleet.

Jakarta has also considered buying China’s J-10 fighter jets and is in talks to purchase US-made F-15EX jets.

PAKISTAN’S RISING DEFENCE INDUSTRY

Interest in the Pakistani military’s weapons development program has surged since its jets were deployed in a short conflict with India last year.

The JF-17s have been at the center of that growing attention, figuring in a deal with Azerbaijan and the $4 billion weapons pact with the Libyan National Army. Pakistan is also eyeing a defense pact with Bangladesh that could include the Super Mushshak training jets and JF-17s, as ties improve with Dhaka.

Reuters has also reported that Islamabad was in talks with Riyadh for a defense deal that could be ‌worth between $2 billion and $4 billion and involves the conversion of Saudi loans into military supplies.