Saudi Arabia’s fintech assets projected to hit $64bn in 2024

Jean Pesme, global director of finance at the World Bank, speaks at the 24 Fintech Conference in Riyadh on Thursday. AN photo
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Updated 01 October 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s fintech assets projected to hit $64bn in 2024

  • World Bank executive lauds Kingdom’s efforts in reshaping its financial landscape
  • Jean Pesme highlighted Saudi Arabia’s strategic efforts to enhance its global fintech position

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s fintech assets under management are projected to approach $64 billion in 2024, indicating substantial growth, according to a World Bank executive.

Jean Pesme, global director of finance at the World Bank, shared these projections during a panel discussion at the 24 Fintech Conference in Riyadh on Thursday.

He observed that the fintech sector in the Middle East and North Africa is undergoing a significant transformation, moving away from a traditionally bank-centric financial model.

Pesme said welcoming these new market players is crucial, “so more deals are coming” as a result. He said the bank’s projections indicate that fintech investments in the region “could grow to $1.5 billion in 2024.”

He added: “The Saudi fintech market is expected to experience significant growth in 2024, potentially reaching close to $64 billion in assets under management.”

This represents a major shift and is highly beneficial as it transforms the financial system as a whole, the World Bank executive said.

This growth is not only reshaping the financial landscape but also enhancing financial inclusion and improving access to services. Innovations in blockchain, artificial intelligence, and machine learning are driving down costs and providing substantial benefits to both economies and consumers.

“I mean the first element, when you walk around this conference, you see how vibrant Fintech is in Saudi Arabia. it has really increased a lot, and a lot of innovation has happened,” Pesme said.

He highlighted Saudi Arabia’s strategic efforts to enhance its global fintech position. The Kingdom has developed a robust regulatory framework, with entities like the Saudi Central Bank and the Capital Market Authority implementing sandboxes to facilitate innovation. These sandboxes enable new technologies to be tested in controlled environments, akin to practices in leading fintech hubs like the UK and Singapore.

“The (Saudi) government’s dedicated support through strategic initiatives such as the Financial Sector Development Plan and support for fintech startups has been significant. Saudi Arabia’s efforts can be compared to those in jurisdictions like China,” Pesme noted.

Pesme also emphasized the importance of talent development and education, stressing that providing entrepreneurs with the necessary knowledge and tools is essential. “There is substantial support for entrepreneurship, including education and ongoing training,” he said.

He underscored the role of public-private partnerships in advancing the fintech ecosystem, drawing comparisons to successful models in the US and the UK. “Saudi Arabia is very systematic and deliberate in its approach, making it comparable to other advanced jurisdictions,” he added.

Additionally, Pesme discussed how fintech initiatives could be tailored to promote greater inclusion and address disparities. “Focusing on the needs of women, both as customers and entrepreneurs, is essential. This is a priority for the World Bank, and we are seeing significant progress,” Pesme said.

He continued: “It is crucial to be targeted in efforts to include women in financial services and entrepreneurship. Strategies such as increasing access to capital, providing targeted funding, and offering mentoring, networking, and skill development are vital. Education and training are also key components of this support.”

Pesme concluded that adapting policy and regulatory frameworks to support these initiatives reflects a comprehensive approach to advancing women’s roles in the financial and entrepreneurial sectors.


Saudi banks to maintain strong lending growth in 2026: S&P Global

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Saudi banks to maintain strong lending growth in 2026: S&P Global

RIYADH: Banks operating in Saudi Arabia are expected to sustain strong lending growth in 2026, driven by sustained financing demand tied to Vision 2030 projects, according to S&P Global.

In its latest report, the credit rating agency said the Kingdom’s banks are expected to extend $65 billion to $75 billion in new corporate loans in 2026, compared with $70 billion in the year to Nov. 30.

This steady momentum in corporate lending will be fueled by high investments, primarily in the Kingdom’s real estate and utilities sectors. 

Earlier this month, another report by Fitch Ratings also underscored the healthy state of Saudi Arabia’s banking system, stating that credit growth and high net interest margins are supporting the profitability of banks in the Kingdom. 

Fitch added that capital adequacy edged up to 20 percent, while non-performing loans fell to an all-time low of 1.1 percent in the first three quarters of 2025. 

In its latest report, S&P Global Ratings said it “projects that Saudi banks will maintain strong lending growth fueled by the financing needs relating to Vision 2030. Banks will also continue to tap external funding sources to fund their growth.” 

According to the analysis, an additional area of growth for banks is retail lending, especially mortgages, particularly as interest rates continue to decline.

“Retail lending — of which mortgages constitute roughly half — rose by 5 percent in the year to Nov. 30, 2025, and we anticipate that it will increase by nearly $20 billion in 2026 from $18 billion as of Nov. 30, 2025,” said the report. 

S&P Global also expects banks’ lending books to continue performing strongly, with growth of 10 percent in 2026, compared with 11 percent in the year to Nov. 30.

How will Saudi banks fund this growth? 

According to S&P Global, the Saudi government and its related entities are expected to continue injecting deposits into the banking system to support credit growth in the future. 

Government and government-related entity deposits reached 32 percent of total deposits by November, up from almost 20 percent in 2020, outpacing the growth in private-sector deposits.

The report, however, noted that deposits were not sufficient to fully fund the expansion of the lending book. 

“We foresee that banks will continue to resort to external debt to bridge the gap. This will lead to a rise in net external debt as a proportion of total loans from 6 percent as of November 2025, which we view as manageable,” said the report.

It added: “Stronger liquidity in the international capital markets and lower interest rates will also help. The latter could encourage banks to either start actively divesting mortgages to Saudi Real Estate Refinance Co., or issuing residential mortgage-backed securities to create financing headroom on their balance sheets.” 

Profitability and capitalization 

According to S&P Global, the profitability of Saudi banks is expected to remain strong in 2026, but will likely decline slightly due to lower interest rates. 

Banks in Saudi Arabia are also projected to continue to invest in digitalization to further optimize their operating efficiency.

“We expect that strong lending growth will partly mitigate the pressure on net interest margins, which we believe will contract only slightly. This contraction, coupled with a higher cost of risk, means that we expect banks’ return on average assets to dip slightly to 2.2 percent in 2026,” said the report. 

The capitalization of Saudi banks also remains strong, as rated banks in the Kingdom had a Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio of 18.4 percent on Sept. 30 and an average S&P Global Ratings-calculated risk-adjusted capital ratio of 13.1 percent at year-end 2024. 

The report also underscored the importance of private capital financing in Saudi Arabia’s financial ecosystem. 

“Private capital financing represents a very small proportion of Saudi Arabia’s overall debt stock — 2 percent based on S&P Global Market Intelligence data. Nevertheless, it has grown tenfold since 2020, reaching $3.7 billion in 2024,” said S&P Global. 

It added: “Substantial funding needs arising from Vision 2030 and growth in the small-to-midsize-enterprise sector present key opportunities for private capital financing to offer loans to the domestic market in collaboration with banks.” 

Future outlook and economic growth prospects 

According to the report, all Saudi bank ratings carry stable outlooks, and it is likely to remain unchanged in 2026. 

Regarding the downside, S&P Global said that geopolitical turmoil and a material and extended decline in oil prices could pose risks to the rating of these financial institutions. 
Economic growth prospects remain broadly supportive in Saudi Arabia, with both non-oil and hydrocarbon-related activities playing a role.

Supporting this growth are rising household consumption, increased oil output following a relaxation of OPEC+ quotas, and the Public Investment Fund’s significant investments in diversification projects, which reach above $40 billion annually.

Earlier in January, the World Bank said that the Kingdom’s gross domestic product is expected to grow by 4.3 percent in 2026 and 4.4 percent in 2027, up from an estimated 3.8 percent in 2025.

The International Monetary Fund, in January, also raised its 2026 growth forecast for Saudi Arabia to 4.5 percent, citing higher oil output, resilient domestic demand, and continued economic reforms. 

The revised projection marks a 0.5 percentage point upgrade from the IMF’s October report, according to the fund’s latest World Economic Outlook Update.

The Kingdom’s economy is expected to have grown 4.3 percent in 2025, with expansion set to ease to 3.6 percent in 2027, added the IMF.