French left set to defeat far right in election upset, but no absolute majority

Supporters of French far-left opposition party La France Insoumise gather at Place Stalingrad before partial results in the second round of the early French parliamentary elections in on July 7. (Reuters)
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Updated 08 July 2024
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French left set to defeat far right in election upset, but no absolute majority

  • The outcome, if confirmed, will leave parliament divided in three big groups
  • Leftist alliance forecast to win between 172 and 215 out of 577 National Assembly seats
  • Macron’s alliance projected to win 150 to 180 seats and the far-right RN 120 to 152 seats

PARIS: An alliance of French left-wing parties was on course Sunday to beat the far right and President Emmanuel Macron’s coalition in a stunning outcome to parliamentary elections that plunges France into new political uncertainty.
No one group won an absolute majority in the second round of the poll, which leaves France without any clear path to forming a new government three weeks before the Paris Olympics.
But after winning the June 30 first round by a clear margin, the results were a major disappointment for the far-right National Rally (RN) of Marine Le Pen, even if her forces are set to boast about their biggest ever contingent in parliament.
Macron’s centrist alliance will have dozens fewer members of parliament, but held up better than expected.
Prime Minister Gabriel Attal said he would offer Macron his resignation on Monday but was ready to serve “as long as duty demands,” notably in light of the imminent Games.
The New Popular Front (NFP) — formed last month after Macron called snap elections — brought together the previously deeply divided Socialists, Greens, Communists and the hard-left France Unbowed (LFI) together in one camp.
But projections by major polling agencies showed the NFP set to be the largest bloc in the new National Assembly with 172 to 215 seats, Macron’s alliance on 150 to 180 seats and the RN on 120 to 152 seats.
This means no group is even close to the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority and it remains unclear how a new government can be formed.
Macron, who has yet to speak in public about the projections, is calling for “prudence and analysis of the results,” said an aide, asking not to be named.

Leftist alliance says ready to govern

Firebrand leftist Jean-Luc Melenchon, leader of LFI and the controversial figurehead of the NFP coalition, demanded that the left be allowed to form a government.
“Its constituent parts, the united left, have shown themselves equal to the historic occasion and in their own way have foiled the trap set for the country,” he said.
Only one week ago, some polls had indicated the RN could win an absolute majority with Le Pen’s 28-year-old lieutenant Jordan Bardella becoming prime minister.
Instead, he expressed fury.
Bardella dubbed the local electoral pacts that saw the left and centrists avoid splitting the anti-RN vote as an “alliance of dishonor.”
He said it had thrown “France into the arms of Jean-Luc Melenchon’s extreme left.”

 

Le Pen, who wants to launch a fourth bid for the presidency in 2027, declared: “The tide is rising. It did not rise high enough this time, but it continues to rise and, consequently, our victory has only been delayed.”
Last week saw more than 200 tactical-voting pacts between center and left-wing candidates in seats to attempt to prevent the RN winning an absolute majority.
This has been hailed as a return of the anti-far right “Republican Front” first summoned when Le Pen’s father Jean-Marie faced Jacques Chirac in the run-off of 2002 presidential elections.
There had been fears a strong RN showing would weaken France’s resolve in backing Ukraine in its fight against the Russian invasion.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said the result would lead to “disappointment” in Russia and “relief” in Ukraine.

The election campaign, the shortest in French history, was marked by a febrile national mood, threats and violence — including racist abuse — against dozens of candidates and canvassers.
Some 30,000 police were deployed to keep order, and many voters expressed fears that rioting could erupt in some cities after the results were announced.
Turnout was nevertheless high, with left-wing and centrist candidates urging supporters to defend democratic values and the rule of law — while the far right scented a chance to upend the established order.
In key individual battles, Le Pen’s sister Marie-Caroline narrowly lost out on being a lawmaker, but former president Francois Hollande will return to frontline politics as a Socialist member of parliament.
The question for France now is if this alliance of last resort can support a stable government, dogged by a huge RN bloc in parliament led by Le Pen herself as she prepares a 2027 presidential bid.
“The decision to dissolve the National Assembly, which was supposed to be a moment of clarification, has instead led to uncertainty,” said former prime minister and Macron ally Edouard Philippe.
 


Zelensky reaffirms his refusal to cede land to Russia as he rallies European support

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Zelensky reaffirms his refusal to cede land to Russia as he rallies European support

  • “Undoubtedly, Russia insists for us to give up territories. We, clearly, don’t want to give up anything. That’s what we are fighting for,” Zelensky says

ROME: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has reaffirmed his strong refusal to cede any territory, resisting US pressure for painful concessions to Russia as he moved ahead Tuesday to rally more European support for his country.
“Undoubtedly, Russia insists for us to give up territories. We, clearly, don’t want to give up anything. That’s what we are fighting for,” Zelensky told reporters in a WhatsApp chat late Monday.
“Do we consider ceding any territories? According to the law we don’t have such right,” he said. “According to Ukraine’s law, our constitution, international law, and to be frank, we don’t have a moral right either.”
In an interview with Politico released Tuesday, US President Donald Trump pressed Zelensky to accept the US proposal that Ukraine cede territory to Russia, arguing Moscow has the “upper hand” in its nearly 4-year-old invasion, and that Zelensky’s government must “play ball.”
Zelensky met in Rome with Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni, discussing the progress of the peace process, her office said. They emphasized the importance of US and European unity and of solutions “that will have repercussions on the continent’s security,” the statement said.
They also discussed “developing robust security guarantees to prevent future aggression and maintaining pressure on Russia to join the negotiating table in good faith,” it said.
Earlier, Zelensky met with Pope Leo XIV at Castel Gandolfo, a papal residence outside Rome. The Vatican said Leo reiterated the need for continuing dialogue and “expressed his urgent desire that the current diplomatic initiatives bring about a just and lasting peace.”
The Holy See has tried to stay neutral in the war while offering solidarity and assistance to what it calls the “martyred” people of Ukraine. Leo has met three times with Zelensky and has spoken by telephone at least once with Russian President Vladimir Putin, calling for a ceasefire and urging Moscow to make gestures promoting peace.
On Monday, Zelensky held talks in London with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz to strengthen Ukraine’s hand amid mounting impatience from Trump.
Ukraine faces US pressure
US and Ukrainian negotiators completed three days of talks Saturday aimed at trying to narrow differences on the Trump administration’s peace proposal.
A major sticking point is the suggestion that Kyiv must give up control of the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine to Russia, which occupies most but not all of the territory. Ukraine and its European allies firmly resist the idea of handing over land.
“You know, a lot of people are dying,” Trump told Politico on Monday, claiming that other Ukrainian officials that he identified only as Zelensky’s “lieutenants, his top people” agree with the US administration.
Other than Zelensky’s comments Monday, Ukrainian negotiators have said little in public about the content of the US proposal or their attitude toward it.
Speaking to reporters again Tuesday on WhatsApp, Zelensky said three documents were being discussed with American and European partners — a 20-point framework document that is constantly changing, a document on security guarantees and a document about Ukraine’s recovery.
Zelensky told reporters that Ukraine’s updated version of the proposal would be given to the US on Wednesday.
Russia, Trump said, is too powerful for Ukraine to continue fighting.
“I give the people of Ukraine and the military of Ukraine tremendous credit for the, you know, bravery and for the fighting and all of that,” he said. “But you know, at some point, size will win, generally.”
Trump also repeated his call for Ukraine to hold a presidential election even though martial law doesn’t allow it and Zelensky, elected in 2019, had his five-year term extended because of the war. Trump’s position on Ukraine’s failure to hold an election mirrors frequent statements on the subject by Putin.
Responding to Trump’s remarks, Zelensky asked for help from the US and possibly Europe “to ensure security for the elections” and suggested that Ukraine could be ready to hold balloting in 60 to 90 days.
In past comments, Zelensky has declined to hold elections until a ceasefire is declared and martial law lifted, and Ukrainians have largely supported that decision.
European leaders repeat support for Kyiv
Starmer, Macron and Merz strongly backed Kyiv, with the UK leader saying Monday that the push for peace was at a “critical stage” and stressing the need for “a just and lasting ceasefire.”
Merz, meanwhile, said he was “skeptical” about some details in documents released by the US “We have to talk about it. That’s why we are here,” he said. “The coming days … could be a decisive time for all of us.”
European leaders are working to ensure that any ceasefire is backed by solid security guarantees both from Europe and the US to deter Russia from attacking again. Trump has not given explicit guarantees in public.
Zelensky and his European allies have repeatedly accused Putin of slow-walking the talks to press ahead with the invasion.
Both sides exchange aerial strikes
Ukraine’s air force said Russia fired 110 drones across the country overnight. While air defenses neutralized 84 drones, 24 more struck their targets.
Several regions of Ukraine faced emergency blackouts Tuesday due to Russian attacks on energy infrastructure, according to Ukraine’s national energy operator, Ukrenergo.
UN deputy humanitarian chief Joyce Msuya said Tuesday only 65 percent of the $278 million required to fund a winter response plan in Ukraine has been received, forcing cuts to services like cash assistance, heating support, mental health care and protection for women and girls.
This means families are facing freezing temperatures without heating, women and girls are losing access to “safe spaces” and older people in front-line areas are left without the means to evacuate, she told the UN Security Council.
The UK Defense Ministry said a member of the British military died Tuesday of his injuries from an accident while observing Ukrainian troops test a defensive system away from the front lines — the first UK servicemember to die in Ukraine in the war. It was not immediately clear what role he was serving or where the accident occurred.
The UK military has said a small of number of personnel are in Ukraine to protect British diplomats and support Ukrainian troops.
Ukraine also continued its drone attacks on Russia.
Russia said it destroyed 121 drones in various regions and in the Crimean Peninsula, which Moscow illegally annexed from Ukraine in 2014. In Chuvashia, a region about 900 kilometers (about 560 miles) northeast of the Ukrainian border, an attack damaged residential buildings and injured nine people, Gov. Oleg Nikolayev said.
Ukraine’s Security Service carried out a drone attack on a liquefied gas terminal at the port of Temryuk in Russia’s Krasnodar region on Dec. 5, according to an official with knowledge of the operation who spoke to The Associated Press.
The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to comment publicly, said the strike sparked a fire at the facility, with more than 20 storage tanks set ablaze for over three days.