Pakistan stocks hit record high on budget, IMF optimism

Stockbrokers monitor the latest share prices at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSE) in Karachi on July 3, 2023. (AFP/File)
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Updated 20 June 2024
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Pakistan stocks hit record high on budget, IMF optimism

  • Pakistan released tax-heavy budget last week which investors believe will strengthen case for new IMF bailout
  • Market breached 78,000 level for first time during intraday trade as it reopened after five-day break on Thursday

KARACHI: Pakistan’s benchmark share index rose 2.8 percent to a new record high on Thursday, driven by expectations last week’s budget will strengthen the case for a new bailout from the International Monetary Fund.

The government’s budget was welcomed by investors as it avoided an anticipated increase in capital gains tax, despite an ambitious tax revenue target.

The market extended its post-budget rally on Thursday when it reopened after a five-day break, which included a public holiday, and breached the key 78,000 level for the first time during intraday trade.

Foreign portfolio investment in the market is at the highest in almost ten years, with inflows of $83 million as of June 14, data compiled by Topline Securities and JS Global Capital showed.

Sohail Mohammed, CEO of Topline Securities, said that a statement from credit rating agency Fitch that the budget would strengthen the prospects for an IMF deal would help to bring more foreign inflows.

The benchmark share index is up 26.2 percent year to date and has almost doubled since Pakistan signed a nine-month standby arrangement with the IMF last summer.

“Pakistani equity investors are driving the PSX higher, continuing to unlock valuations on better sentiment, which is a trend that began when Pakistan signed its last IMF deal last summer,” said Amreen Soorani, head of research at JS Global Capital.

“The trend paused briefly on anticipation of stricter capital gains taxes, which did not materialize,” she said, adding that the index is trading at a four times price to earnings ratio despite the recent rally and offers attractive dividend yields.

The financial sector was up 4.4 percent, with banks like UBL, HBL, MCB, Bank Alfalah, Habib Metropolitan Bank, Allied Bank, up more than 4 percent.

Adnaan Sheikh, assistant vice president of research at Pak Kuwait Investment Company, said that foreign investor interest and the central bank’s decision to cut its key rate by 150 basis points last week — its first rate cut in nearly four years — had pushed the market up.

Apart from the capital gains tax, analysts said the budget and other revenue measures were in line with expectations and key to sealing a new IMF program. This will include a challenging tax target of a near-40 percent jump from the current year and a sharp drop in the fiscal deficit to 5.9 percent of GDP from 7.4 percent for the current year.

Sheikh said the strict budgetary measures to secure new IMF funding will be likely to attract more foreign investors to the market, in addition to the current inflows.

Pakistan’s lower house of parliament is set to meet later on Thursday to debate the budget that the government presented last week. 


Sustainability Forum Middle East spotlights Saudi role in driving climate finance deployment

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Sustainability Forum Middle East spotlights Saudi role in driving climate finance deployment

MANAMA: Saudi Arabia’s growing influence over sustainable finance and climate-aligned investment was a central theme at the Sustainability Forum Middle East, as regional banks, investors, and policymakers signaled a shift from climate pledges to market execution.

The fourth edition of the forum, held in Bahrain under the theme “Advancing Alignment, Innovation, and Implementation for Energy and Climate Transformation,” brought together more than 500 participants and over 50 speakers from government, finance, energy, and industry. 

While the agenda covered climate diplomacy and national strategies, the dominant conversations this year centered on capital deployment, bankability, technology, and the commercial realities of the energy transition.

Saudi Arabia’s role in shaping that transition was repeatedly highlighted, particularly through its efforts to structure green finance instruments, integrate sustainability into Vision 2030 programs, and scale renewable energy ambitions. Global banks at the forum pointed to the kingdom as a key driver of demand for credible sustainable finance frameworks in the Gulf.

“Saudi Arabia has demonstrated clear leadership through Vision 2030 and its green financing frameworks,” Lina Osman, managing director and head of sustainable finance for the Middle East, Africa and Pakistan at Standard Chartered, told Arab News.

“The Public Investment Fund’s green bond issuance is a clear demonstration of the value of the opportunity that is available in Saudi Arabia and how Saudi Arabia is seizing that opportunity,” she added.

Osman also noted that Saudi Arabia’s target of sourcing 50 percent of its electricity from renewables represents a “true demonstration of leadership in sustainability,” adding that financing instruments will need to evolve to serve those ambitions. 

She said the bank has been customizing sustainable finance structures for Gulf Cooperation Council clients as the market becomes more sophisticated and sector-specific.

Organizations at the forum said the region has moved beyond ESG signaling and into discussions about return profiles, risk pricing, and revenue impact. 

“Financial institutions are now focused on how sustainability generates value — reducing costs, building resilience, and boosting revenue. Previously, it was mostly window dressing,” said Ian McCallum, chief sustainability officer at Bank ABC. 

Speaking to Arab News, he added that Saudi Arabia is playing a “significant role in shaping the direction of sustainable finance by continuing to strengthen ESG regulatory and disclosure requirements.”

Speakers from private markets and venture capital also pointed to Saudi Arabia as an emerging market for climate technologies that are moving from pilot phase to commercialization. 

Investors highlighted carbon removal, energy optimization, and AI-enabled climate solutions as areas where the Kingdom’s scaling capacity and demand for industrial decarbonization make deployment feasible.

Beyond finance, the forum examined how the GCC can accelerate industrial decarbonization through AI integration, carbon capture, supply chain reform, and the expansion of renewables. 

Panels explored how sovereign strategies and industrial policy are aligning across the region, with Saudi Arabia’s energy transition goals seen as an anchor for cross-border capital flows.

The event saw memorandums of understanding and multi-sector partnerships intended to translate national ambitions into deployable projects. 

Organizers said the agreements reflect a shift toward implementation, positioning the Gulf as a market where climate action is increasingly tied to competitiveness, industrial growth, and long-term economic resilience.