Egypt braces for second summer of power cuts as gas supplies dwindle

A general view shows vehicles and people walking through dark roads as power cuts to reduce energy consumption are executed by the Egyptian government during the current brutal heat wave, in Cairo, Egypt August 3, 2023. (REUTERS)
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Updated 03 May 2024
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Egypt braces for second summer of power cuts as gas supplies dwindle

  • The cuts started as Egypt allocated more of its gas production for export to raise scarce dollars, importing polluting fuel oil to keep some power stations running

CAIRO: Among the bustling workshops of central Cairo’s Al-Sabtiyah district, Om Ghada’s blacksmith business has seen profits dip as two-hour power cuts each day returned after a brief suspension during the holy month of Ramadan.
When scheduled outages began last summer it came as a shock to Egyptians accustomed to years of reliable power supplies under President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, and the government promised they would be temporary.
But supplies of the natural gas that helped generate an electricity surplus are dwindling and the power cuts are back.
The outages “create a lot of obstacles and cut into my profit,” said Om Ghada, as sparks flew from a metal cutter nearby. She owns the workshop, which is among dozens in the area that rely on electricity to power machines.
“One customer yesterday waited two hours, until they became impatient and left,” she said.
While Egypt recently secured record investments from the United Arab Emirates and an expanded IMF program, easing a foreign currency crisis, power cuts are a reminder of underlying economic challenges.
The cuts started as Egypt allocated more of its gas production for export to raise scarce dollars, importing polluting fuel oil to keep some power stations running. The government initially blamed them on high temperatures, but they continued through 2023 after summer ended even after the government paused exports to meet demand.
Egypt has been seeking a role as a regional energy exporter, eyeing electricity sales to countries including Saudi Arabia and Libya, planning an interconnector to Greece, and shipping Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) cargoes from two liquefaction plants.
But development of renewables has been halting and gas supplies are in doubt because of a lack of large discoveries since the giant Zohr field in 2015. That pushed gas production in 2023 to its lowest level since 2017, and the government recently started importing LNG cargoes.
Officials have blamed power cuts on rising demand from a growing population of 106 million, mega-projects backed by El-Sisi, and urban development.
Cuts to electricity subsidies have been slowed as the economy came under pressure in recent years.
Egypt’s electricity ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

SALES DOWN
The power cuts were suspended over Ramadan and the Eid holiday that followed, and local media said they would also be halted for labor day and spring holidays going over this weekend. But they are sometimes hard to predict and are hurting small businesses that play a crucial role in an economy where growth has slowed and is expected to ease to 2.8 percent in the current financial year ending in June, from above 4 percent last year.
Ahmed Hussein, an air conditioning technician in Al-Sabtiyah, said daytime power cuts reduced productivity by 40 percent. South of central Cairo in the Sayeda Zeinab neighborhood, Essam said sales at the dessert shop where he works were down 30 percent since the regular power cuts began.
“As long as there’s no electricity there are no sales. The safe and the till aren’t working,” Essam, who didn’t give his last name, said. “Customers can’t see anything.”
Sales of generators are up, but many can’t afford them.
The cuts have drawn ire on social media, where some have complained about being stuck in elevators, or unable to use them, and others have bemoaned the lack of air conditioning in hotter areas in southern Egypt.
At the launch of a state-run cloud computing data center this week, El-Sisi encouraged citizens to focus on developing sectors like information technology, saying “this needs brains, not a factory or anything else.”
But as one social media post quipped in response: “This needs electricity and unlimited Internet.”

 


Abu Ali Al-Hadrami: the shadowy figure who controlled Hadramaut, then vanished

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Abu Ali Al-Hadrami: the shadowy figure who controlled Hadramaut, then vanished

  • Uncovering the details behind his mysterious profile, and how he built a security force beyond state control

HADRAMAUT, Yemen: Throughout Hadramaut in Yemen, the mere mention of Abu Ali Al-Hadrami conjures images of secrecy and fear.

Some dubbed him “Hadramaut’s Qassem Soleimani,” though he preferred the alias Abu Mohammed. His true identity — Saleh bin Al-Sheikh Abu Bakr — remained hidden until roughly a year ago, a testament to a man who deliberately operated from the shadows.

Abu Ali Al-Hadrami emerged on Hadramaut’s landscape without warning, carrying no visible credentials or traceable past, cloaked in an impenetrable aura of mystery. His exit proved equally abrupt: he boarded an Emirati plane at Mukalla’s Al-Rayyan Airport without saying goodbye to anyone.

Once, he described himself — according to multiple witnesses — as “a world-class intelligence operative.” This self-characterization matched the impression he cultivated among those in his orbit.

BACKGROUND

Al-Hadrami practiced extreme operational security in every aspect. He avoided conventional phones and refused proximity to anyone during communications. When using Emirati communication lines, he insisted on complete privacy.

One former associate of Al-Hadrami who agreed to share unprecedented details about a figure whose name alone inspired widespread apprehension across the region emphasized that this man was accustomed to working in the shadows, specializing in leaving minimal footprints.

The source, speaking on condition of anonymity, characterized Al-Hadrami as “extraordinarily secretive, calculating, and ruthless — you could barely extract any personal information from him.”

He added: “His full name only surfaced about a year ago. We knew him solely as Abu Mohammed until individuals from Dhale arrived who recognized him from earlier encounters, and his interactions with them displayed unusual warmth.”

According to the source, Al-Hadrami practiced extreme operational security in every aspect. He avoided conventional phones and refused proximity to anyone during communications. When using Emirati communication lines, he insisted on complete privacy. “His secrecy extended even to family,” the source noted. “He once told us: ‘Even my relatives remain unaware of my whereabouts.’”

Al-Hadrami first surfaced in Hadramaut around 2022, when the Security Support Brigade was formed — a military unit operating under Emirati forces based at Al-Rayyan with a stated counterterrorism mandate.

According to the source, the brigade consisted of approximately 1,200 personnel, with Hadramaut locals representing about 90 percent of the force, though the elite strike units came from Dhale and surrounding provinces.

Al-Hadrami immediately implemented an iron-fisted management approach marked by severe discipline and unconventional regulations. Most notably, he completely prohibited khat chewing.

The source confirmed: “Anyone discovered with khat, even a single leaf, faced immediate dismissal and detention pending execution of the termination.” This policy drove away many who found the restrictions intolerable.

When asked about the “Hadramout’s Qassem Soleimani” moniker, the source replied: “Yes, we heard that label, along with ‘Abu Ali the ruler.’ His background remained unknown to us, and we were not even certain he was Hadrami. Many assumed he was Emirati, particularly given their use of cover names, and nothing about his demeanor or dialect suggested Hadramaut origins.”

Though publicly tasked with counterterrorism, the Security Support Brigade’s reputation within Hadramaut soon nosedived, as confirmed by the official with close ties to Al-Hadrami.

“Public perception of the Security Support forces turned predominantly negative,” the source explained, noting that several locals working with Emirati forces “seriously contemplated resignation due to the organization’s tarnished reputation.”

He added: “We eventually requested that the Emiratis moderate his tactics and adopt a gentler approach, but these appeals went ignored.” This indifference reflected the extensive latitude granted to him for managing security operations by his own methods, disregarding social or community concerns.

The source discloses that the Emiratis specifically sought Security Support Brigade recruits aged 18 to 24, “because molding young minds at that stage proves simpler.”

Among the stringent requirements was rejecting applicants with family members in “Shield of the Nation” forces. Al-Hadrami personally interviewed every candidate, never delegating this responsibility regardless of circumstances. “Even when Emiratis nominated someone for enrollment, he personally vetted them — either accepting or finding grounds for exclusion. He placed absolute trust in no one.”

The vetting process gained additional layers through a specialized Emirati officer dedicated to personality assessment who remained silent throughout, simply observing facial expressions and behavioral patterns.

According to the source, “acceptance rates barely reach 7 percent of total candidates,” noting that roughly 6,000 people underwent screening, with only about 300 ultimately selected.

According to the source, the Emirati forces in Hadramaut created a parallel structure comprising local intellectuals operating under the “External Projects” designation, reportedly numbering 19 academics who served as a civilian facade for developmental and service programs ostensibly planned for the region.

However, the source confirms these civilian initiatives never materialized, suggesting this entity existed primarily as camouflage for security operations rather than genuine development work. “In my assessment, this group was assembled to buy time, create appearances and exploit their credentials to demonstrate representation from diverse Hadramaut communities, without delivering tangible outcomes.”

This evaluation corresponds with earlier public statements by Sheikh Amr bin Habrish, first deputy governor of Hadramaut and commander of Hadramaut Protection Forces, who expressed to Asharq Al-Awsat his confusion over Al-Hadrami’s name appearing “from nowhere” without legitimate official standing, discussing development and stability while controlling the security landscape through command of unofficial forces.

He went further, suggesting these activities indicated “an agenda more extensive than visible,” confirming they “undermine southern interests and the broader southern cause.”

According to the source, Al-Hadrami maintained direct communication with Emirati committees while cultivating connections within Southern Transitional Council circles, including individuals close to council leadership such as Munif Al-Zubaidi, secretary to Aidarous Al-Zubaidi.

During one instance, the source recalled, Al-Hadrami revealed a statement encapsulating the persona he cultivated: “I am a world-class intelligence operative.” Those present interpreted this not as an inadvertent disclosure but as calculated confirmation of an identity he intended to establish — a veiled warning that what remained unsaid about him posed greater danger than what was known.

The source referenced substantial quantities of new motorcycles with unusual specifications warehoused inside Al-Rayyan Airport, formerly an Emirati military base, observing they were “entirely unlike motorcycles commonly seen on Mukalla streets.” He refrained from speculating about their purpose, offering only: “Maybe they were brought for service-related uses.” Local sources, however, view these motorcycles as preparation for a wave of assassinations to come in the governorate.”

The withdrawal unfolded not in one night but across several nights in Al-Mukalla, with Emirati forces and Southern Transitional Council units retreating as legitimate Yemeni government forces, backed by Saudi air support, advanced toward Seiyun and subsequently Al-Mukalla.

“The night Saudi Royal Air Force launched strikes against Emirati vehicles at Al-Mukalla port, Abu Ali Al-Hadrami vanished and failed to appear at his Al-Rayyan Airport office the following morning, though he returned that evening. He ate dinner, then left.”

The source continued: “We encountered him again entering the airport before boarding an Emirati aircraft. He offered no farewells or conversation with us — we were conducting equipment inventory. He exited the vehicle and proceeded to the terminal with a group, clearly departing, carrying a backpack and dressed in civilian attire.

“Subsequently, we observed Emiratis removing photographs from offices. They similarly withheld notification of their departure plans, and the night following Abu Ali Al-Hadrami’s exit, Abu Taher Al-Shuaibi, Southern Ground Forces commander, arrived and stated plainly: ‘I am in charge now.’”

The source described confusion over how Al-Shuaibi’s forces handled airport personnel at Al-Rayyan before Emirati forces withdrew, portraying the situation as severely disorganized and chaotic.

“If you questioned one of them, he would immediately discharge his weapon overhead as intimidation, and they branded anyone not following their directives a traitor,” he explained.

“Everyone moved about armed, some displaying signs of intoxication. We witnessed them loading weapons while facing each other, and during this period, vehicle thefts occurred within Al-Rayyan.”

According to his testimony, these hours reflected a total security breakdown where coherent command disappeared and armed force became an immediate danger to everyone present — the “most perilous” situation since events commenced.

According to the source, as the final Emirati aircraft departed Al-Rayyan, Al-Shuaibi’s forces began sealing gates and allocating vehicles, a process that rapidly devolved into heated conflicts over distribution procedures with the Command and Control Center operated by Faisal Badabis.

“Abu Taher and his contingent commandeered numerous vehicles. Approximately 200 vehicles were designated for their distribution, 20 for personnel inside the airport, and 47 for Faisal Badabis, head of the Command and Control Center.

“The confrontation erupted between them regarding this allocation, culminating in complete closure of all gates and access points.”