Red Sea crisis to hit EMEA industrial sector: Fitch Ratings 

The maritime crisis is expected to affect the free cash flow of industrial manufacturers, a report issued by Fitch Ratings said. Reuters
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Updated 23 January 2024
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Red Sea crisis to hit EMEA industrial sector: Fitch Ratings 

RIYADH: Disruptions in the Red Sea are expected to add to the global economic woes by increasing manufacturers’ working capital in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, according to a report. 

The maritime crisis is expected to affect the free cash flow of industrial manufacturers, a report issued by Fitch Ratings said. 

The agency noted that ships rerouting from the Suez Canal could increase manufacturers’ working capital needs due to slower transportation of parts and finished products. 

It further pointed out that rerouting of vessels will limit stops to only major ports, thus increasing the need for feeder services to move containerized goods to their final destinations. 

“Fitch expects shipping costs to remain high in the short term, driven by lower global shipping capacity and additional costs of fuel, as well as the resulting rerouting of components through different ports,” said the agency.  

The report stated: “This will increase both the cost of transport and the amount of work-in-progress and finished goods that manufacturers will need to fund, increasing working capital outflows.” 

Fitch’s base-case corporate forecasts assume a median free cash flow margin of about 1.5 percent in 2023 and 2024, rising slowly thereafter as orders are delivered, and inflationary cost increases are passed through.  

Container line operator AP Moller-Maersk indicated that it could take months to fully reopen the Red Sea to container traffic.  

According to the Asian Development Bank, the Suez Canal carries around 12 percent of global trade.  

About 45 percent of the Suez Canal’s traffic is currently being diverted around Africa, equivalent to about 50 percent of cargo by weight, mostly due to the diversion of ultra-large container ships, the report added.  

“The diversion of ships adds two weeks to the return voyage between Asia and Europe, substantially reducing shipping capacity for containerized, heavy and lower value components,” said Fitch in the report.  

The agency also pointed out that the cost of sending a container from Asia to Europe has more than doubled in recent weeks. 


US Treasury welcomes reactivation of Syria central bank account at New York Fed

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US Treasury welcomes reactivation of Syria central bank account at New York Fed

RIYADH: The US Treasury said it welcomed the reactivation of the Central Bank of Syria’s account at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, marking the first time it has been operational since 2011.

The account had effectively been frozen after the outbreak of Syria’s civil war in 2011, when Washington imposed sweeping targeting the Syrian government, state institutions and individuals associated with the regime, designed to isolate Damascus financially and restrict its access to international banking channels.

It is the latest step in efforts to reintegrate Syria into the international financial system. The country has also begun reconnecting to the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication network, a move that would end roughly 14 years of financial isolation and restore access to global banking channels.

In a statement posted on social media, the US Treasury Department said it was working with Syria’s new authorities to “responsibly reintegrate Syria into the global financial system,” adding that it welcomed the Syrian central bank’s announcement that its account at the New York Fed had been restored. 

The post also stated: “Sanctions relief was just the first step to realizing the President of the United States’ historic vision of greatness and prosperity in Syria.”

The release added: “We welcome the Syrian Central Bank’s momentous announcement that its account at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was officially reactivated for the first time since 2011.”

Over the course of the more than 13-year conflict, sanctions expanded to include broader economic restrictions, including the Caesar Syria Civilian Protection Act enacted in 2019, which targeted foreign entities conducting business with the Syrian government. 

The measures contributed to Syria’s deep financial isolation and complicated humanitarian and reconstruction efforts.

Efforts to restore financial channels have been discussed intermittently as international actors assess pathways for humanitarian assistance and potential economic stabilization.

However, broader sanctions frameworks remain in place, and significant political and regulatory hurdles continue to shape Syria’s reintegration into the global financial system.

In recent years, regional institutions have gradually renewed engagement with Syria as part of broader efforts to stabilize the country and support economic recovery after more than a decade of conflict.

Syria was readmitted to the Arab League in 2023 after a 12-year suspension, reopening diplomatic channels with several Arab states.