Bangladesh’s Hasina celebrates ‘absolute victory’ after polls without opposition 

In this photograph released by Bangladesh Prime Minister's office, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, addresses a press conference following her election victory in Dhaka, Bangladesh, January 8, 2024. (Bangladesh Prime Minister's office/AP)
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Updated 08 January 2024
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Bangladesh’s Hasina celebrates ‘absolute victory’ after polls without opposition 

  • Hasina has presided over breakneck economic growth in the country that was once beset by grinding poverty 
  • But her government has been accused of rampant human rights abuses and a ruthless crackdown on dissent 

DHAKA: Bangladesh’s Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina on Monday dismissed the opposition’s criticism of the country’s general election as “illegitimate” as she celebrated securing her fifth term in power. 

Hasina has presided over breakneck economic growth in a country once beset by grinding poverty, but her government has been accused of rampant human rights abuses and a ruthless crackdown on dissent. 

“The election was free and fair,” Hasina told reporters in her first comments since the vote on Sunday, where her party took three-quarters of seats in parliament after polls boycotted by the opposition, with the turnout a meagre 41.8 percent. 

“If any party does not participate in the election, it does not mean there is no democracy,” she said, adding that “those who want to criticize can criticize.” 

The opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), which has seen its ranks diminished by mass arrests, called a general strike and, along with dozens of others, refused to participate. 

Senior BNP leader Moyeen Khan called it a “fake election” and said the government was “illegitimate,” he told reporters in Dhaka on Monday. 

Hasina, 76, branded the BNP “a terrorist organization.” 

UN rights chief Volker Turk on Monday implored the government to “ensure that the human rights of all Bangladeshis are fully taken into account.” 

Bangladesh was the first in key South Asian elections this year where embattled opposition parties face a tough battle, including in Pakistan, where jailed former prime minister Imran Khan has been rejected as a candidate, and in neighboring India. 

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said Monday he had called Hasina and congratulated her on her “historic” victory, praising the “successful conduct” of the polls. 

Election Commission secretary Moniruzzaman Talukder said Hasina’s party had won 222 seats in Sunday’s polls — revised down by a seat from an earlier declared 223 — but the support of other lawmakers means her actual control over the 300-seat parliament is even higher, analysts said. 

“This is a one-party parliament,” Ali Riaz of Illinois State University told AFP, adding that “only the allies of the Awami League had the opportunity to participate.” 

The Jatiya Party, which won 11 seats, is a long-time ally of Hasina’s Awami League, as are many of the 61 independent candidates, said Mubashar Hasan, a political scientist at the University of Oslo. 

“This election has legitimized one-party rule in the country with no credible and effective opposition in the parliament,” Hasan told AFP. 

“Almost all the independent candidates who won the parliamentary seats are also part of the Awami League.” 

Among the victors was Bangladesh cricket team captain Shakib Al Hasan, who won a seat for the ruling party. 

Hasina’s party faced almost no effective rivals in the seats it contested, but it avoided fielding candidates in a few constituencies, in an apparent effort to avoid the legislature being branded a one-party institution. 

“It was a farce election, like a local neighborhood or a market association election,” said Mohammad Shahin, 42, who pulls a rickshaw. 

Opposition activists staged a protest Monday in Dhaka, wearing black gags over their mouths to condemn the election. 

BNP head Tarique Rahman, speaking from Britain where he lives in exile, called the result “a disgrace to the democratic aspirations of Bangladesh,” in a social media post, alleging he had seen “disturbing pictures and videos” backing his claims. 

Meenakshi Ganguly, from Human Rights Watch, said the government had failed to reassure opposition supporters that the polls were fair, warning that “many fear a further crackdown.” 

Envoys from China and Russia were among the first to congratulate Hasina, visiting her at home on Monday and praising her “absolute victory,” her office said in a statement. 

Beijing’s ambassador Yao Wen praised a “long-established friendship” with Dhaka in a statement, underlining the deepening ties during Hasina’s 15-year-long rule. 

Politics in the country of 170 million people has long been dominated by the rivalry between Hasina, the daughter of the country’s founding leader, and two-time premier Khaleda Zia, wife of a former military ruler. 

Hasina has been the decisive victor since returning to power in a 2009 landslide, with two subsequent polls accompanied by widespread irregularities and accusations of rigging. 

Zia, 78, was convicted of graft in 2018 and is now in ailing health at a hospital in Dhaka. BNP head Rahman is her son. 


Post-uprising polls won’t shake Nepal’s delicate India-China balance

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Post-uprising polls won’t shake Nepal’s delicate India-China balance

NEW DELHI: Nepal votes next week for the first time since deadly anti-corruption protests toppled the government, but analysts say any winner will likely maintain the delicate diplomatic balance between its two giant neighbors, India and China.
The landlocked Himalayan nation of 30 million people will elect a new government on March 5, six months after youth-led demonstrations brought down the administration of Marxist leader KP Sharma Oli.
Who will win is an open question, but Nepali journalist Sudheer Sharma said it will likely be “very difficult” for any single party to secure a majority, meaning longstanding political dynamics may continue.
“Nepal’s relation with India or China depends on what type of coalition it will be and who will be the dominant power,” said Sharma.
“The fundamentals of the relationship will not change, but some approaches might.”
Younger candidates are campaigning on promises to overhaul a stagnant economy and remove an aging political elite, while veteran politicians emphasize stability and security if returned to power.
Key investors and trading partners Beijing and New Delhi are watching closely, but analysts suggested that the new government will likely continue Katmandu’s pragmatic balancing act between the two powers, who compete for influence.
Nepal’s largest trading partner is India, accounting for 63 percent of imports, or $8.6 billion, followed by China at 13 percent, or $1.8 billion, according to World Bank figures.

‘Regular relationship’

India has long considered Hindu-majority Nepal as a traditional ally, with open borders along the plains.
“Some issues are there, some problems are there, but the regular relationship should be stable,” journalist Sharma said.
Retired Indian diplomat Rakesh Sood described New Delhi’s ties with Nepal as “extensive,” encompassing trade, tourism and hydropower.
Nepal is integrated with cross-border infrastructure in both directions: power lines from hydropower dams feed electricity to India, while China connects through its Belt and Road Initiative over the Himalayas via Tibet, and makes investments in airports and railways.
For nearly two decades, Nepal’s political landscape was dominated by veteran leaders — many of them former Maoist insurgents — who took turns in power since the end of a 10-year civil war in 2006.
Last September’s unrest erupted as youth protests against a brief social media ban, but was fueled by far wider anger at economic stagnation and corruption.
Over two days, 77 people were killed, scores were injured, and hundreds of buildings were set on fire.
Oli, 74, forced out by the uprising, is seeking a return to power for a potential fifth term as prime minister.
He had a fractious relationship with New Delhi — after taking office in 2024, he chose China for his first trip abroad, rather than the customary visit to India.
“In Nepal, the then leftist-led government had an uncomfortable relationship with India — and that was overthrown,” Sharma added.

‘Balance ties’

A new cohort of first-time candidates has emerged from the loosely organized Gen Z movement that helped drive the protests, young Nepalis seeking economic reform.
“Nepal’s leadership, even if at times seemingly inclined to lean toward one power or the other, aims to balance ties with India and China,” South Asia expert Michael Kugelman told AFP.
“It’s hard to imagine that changing, even if there is a new influx of younger people in politics.”
He suggested the status quo will likely remain, with China “comfortable with any type of political dynamic” in Katmandu, including one with a younger profile, as long as it remains open to Beijing.
“A government with youth leaders would likely not take positions on relations with India and China that diverge much with the previous government,” Kugelman said, suggesting that Nepali youth are “generally not hostile to China — even if some would prefer less Chinese influence.”
Both India and China have pumped in hundreds of millions of dollars in investments into Nepal, and both are backing voting preparations, with New Delhi sending vehicles to aid the Election Commission.
Kugelman said change may come if a new generation of politicians sweeps into power on an anti-corruption ticket and shakes up old practices of opaque funding for mega-projects.
“Young people in Nepal won’t support Chinese or Indian actions that aim to shape Nepal’s politics or put vast amounts of money in the hands of the government in ways that aren’t transparent,” he said.
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