Indian states vote in key test for Modi and rivals ahead of 2024 general election

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) activists hold party flags during a rally in Kolkata, India, on July 19, 2023. (AFP/File)
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Updated 07 November 2023
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Indian states vote in key test for Modi and rivals ahead of 2024 general election

  • Modi, rivals have crisscrossed five states, addressing rallies and promising loan waivers, subsidies
  • But surveys suggest Modi remains popular after a decade in power and will likely win a third term 

NEW DELHI: Two of five Indian states due to elect new legislatures this month began voting on Tuesday, a big test of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s chances of winning a third term in a national election due by May. 

Modi and leaders of the main opposition Congress party headed by Rahul Gandhi have criss-crossed the five states, addressing campaign rallies and promising cash doles, farm loan waivers, subsidies and insurance covers, among others, to woo voters. 

Gandhi has worked hard to revive Congress since its drubbing in the 2019 general elections and helped form an alliance of 28 regional parties to give Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party a tougher fight in 2024. 

But surveys suggest Modi remains popular after a decade in power and will likely win a third term. 

The new opposition alliance, called the Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA), has also not been able to extend its unity to this month’s state elections due to local rivalries, giving BJP an edge. 

More than 160 million people — or about one-sixth of India’s total electorate — are eligible to vote in the regional polls being held in four legs until Nov. 30. Votes in all five states will be counted on Dec. 3 and results expected the same day. 

The elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Mizoram states are mainly a contest between BJP and Congress. 

“We are confident of securing a majority in all states,” said Raman Singh, a senior BJP leader and former chief minister of the mineral-rich central Indian state of Chhattisgarh, which votes on Tuesday along with Mizoram in the northeast. 

Singh said Modi’s weekend decision to extend a free food grains program by five years will help win more votes. 

“BJP faces a challenge but results will prove that people are in no mood to experiment and they trust Modi’s stable governance,” Singh told Reuters. 

Opinion polls suggest close fights, particularly in the heartland states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, two of which are ruled by Congress and one by BJP. 

“State elections’ results before the 2024 polls will showcase the overall public mood and it will tremendously help our opposition bloc to perfect its messaging, coordination and leadership,” said Sachin Pilot, a senior Congress leader. 

“The aim is to ensure all five states are won by the Congress,” he said, adding what he called Modi’s failure to create new jobs, address rural distress and exacerbate communal fault lines will lead to BJP’s defeat. 


UN’s top court opens Myanmar Rohingya genocide case

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UN’s top court opens Myanmar Rohingya genocide case

  • The Gambia filed a case against Myanmar at the UN’s top court in 2019
  • Verdict expected to impact Israel’s genocide case over war on Gaza

DHAKA: The International Court of Justice on Monday opened a landmark case accusing Myanmar of genocide against its mostly Muslim Rohingya minority.

The Gambia filed a case against Myanmar at the UN’s top court in 2019, two years after a military offensive forced hundreds of thousands of Rohingya from their homes into neighboring Bangladesh.

The hearings will last three weeks and conclude on Jan. 29.

“The ICJ must secure justice for the persecuted Rohingya. This process should not take much longer, as we all know that justice delayed is justice denied,” said Asma Begum, who has been living in the Kutupalong refugee camp in Bangladesh’s Cox’s Bazar district since 2017.

A mostly Muslim ethnic minority, the Rohingya have lived for centuries in Myanmar’s western Rakhine state but were stripped of their citizenship in the 1980s and have faced systemic persecution ever since.

In 2017 alone, some 750,000 of them fled military atrocities and crossed to Bangladesh, in what the UN has called a textbook case of ethnic cleansing by Myanmar.

Today, about 1.3 million Rohingya shelter in 33 camps in Cox’s Bazar, turning the coastal district into the world’s largest refugee settlement.

“We experienced horrific acts such as arson, killings and rape in 2017, and fled to Bangladesh,” Begum told Arab News.

“I believe the ICJ verdict will pave the way for our repatriation to our homeland. The world should not forget us.”

A UN fact-finding mission has concluded that the Myanmar 2017 offensive included “genocidal acts” — an accusation rejected by Myanmar, which said it was a “clearance operation” against militants.

Now, there is hope for justice and a new future for those who have been displaced for years.

“We also have the right to live with dignity. I want to return to my homeland and live the rest of my life in my ancestral land. My children will reconnect with their roots and be able to build their own future,” said Syed Ahmed, who fled Myanmar in 2017 and has since been raising his four children in the Kutupalong camp.

“Despite the delay, I am optimistic that the perpetrators will be held accountable through the ICJ verdict. It will set a strong precedent for the world.”

The Myanmar trial is the first genocide case in more than a decade to be taken up by the ICJ. The outcome will also impact the genocide case that Israel is facing over its war on Gaza.

“The momentum of this case at the ICJ will send a strong message to all those (places) around the world where crimes against humanity have been committed,” Nur Khan, a Bangladeshi lawyer and human rights activist, told Arab News.

“The ICJ will play a significant role in ensuring justice regarding accusations of genocide in other parts of the world, such as the genocide and crimes against humanity committed by Israel against the people of Gaza.”