Political parties reluctant to launch campaigns amid uncertainty over Pakistan’s election schedule

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A Pakistan anti-terrorist force personal uses a metal detector to check the area of the Election Commission in Islamabad on August 26, 2008. (AFP/File)
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Shah Mahmood Qureshi, Vice Chairman of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party and Pakistan's former Foreign Affairs Minister speaks during a press conference in Islamabad on August 19, 2023. (AFP)
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Updated 20 August 2023
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Political parties reluctant to launch campaigns amid uncertainty over Pakistan’s election schedule

  • National polls are scheduled for November, though delimitation exercise may delay them till February
  • Political parties say they are ready for the contest but will mobilize people after election schedule announcement

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s major political parties remain reluctant to hit the campaign trail due to the uncertainty over the election schedule following a notification of the election commission to complete the delimitation of constituencies by December 14 which can delay the national polls.

The general elections in Pakistan are scheduled to be held within 90 days after the dissolution of the National Assembly on August 9, as per the constitution. However, the election commission announced to redraw national and provincial constituencies in keeping with the results of a recent digital census approved by the previous administration of Shehbaz Sharif. The process is likely to take time, surpassing the November deadline for the national polls.

All major political parties, including the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) and Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), have publicly demanded the election commission to hold the polls within the stipulated period, though they remain uncertain about the elections schedule. The country’s top body of lawyers, the Supreme Court Bar Association, also sought the apex court’s intervention this week for national polls to be held within the constitutionally mandated period.

“We have been waiting for the Supreme Court’s decision on the general elections date before starting our election campaign,” Pakistan Peoples Party’s information-secretary Faisal Karim Kundi told Arab News. “We want the election commission to hold the polls within 90 days after the dissolution of the National Assembly.”

Kundi said his party was ready for the elections, “but we don’t want to exhaust our workers without knowing when the elections would be held.”

“One of our teams is working on our manifesto which is expected to be rolled out in couple of weeks,” he said, adding that the PPP would start “active election campaign” to mobilize the public after the election commission would issue a formal schedule for the polls.

“So far, there is no clarity as to when the elections will take place,” he said.

Former prime minister Imran Khan’s PTI party also said it was “not sure” when to kick off the election campaign and mobilize its supporters.

“We have been facing the wrath of the state for being the most popular party in Pakistan,” Sayed Zulfi Bukhari, the ex-premier’s close aide, told Arab News. “Thousands of our workers have been arrested and dozens of senior party leaders are in jails for committing no crime. However, we are ready to take part in the polls.”

He said the PTI had already chalked out a strategy to contest the elections from each constituency across the country despite the “illegal and unconstitutional” crackdown against the party.

“This is a perfect example of pre-poll rigging as our leaders are being forced to switch their loyalty,” he continued. “A fresh wave of crackdown has been unleashed now. So, let’s see how many of our candidates they manage to remove from the party.”

The PTI leader maintained if the election commission failed to hold polls until November, it would be a violation of the constitution.

“The PTI opponents are petrified by its popularity, but we will contest the elections whenever they are held,” he said.

However, the PTI is currently facing multiple challenges, with its chairman and ex-prime minister Khan currently serving a three-year jail term on charges of illegally selling state gifts. He has also been disqualified for five years from holding public office and is now facing a major charge of being in breach of the Official Secrets Act.

Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) secretary-information in Punjab province, Azma Zahid Bokhari, said her party had been waiting for the return of its founding leader, Nawaz Sharif, from London to kick off its election campaign.

“Nawaz Sharif is expected to return to Pakistan within a month now to lead our election campaign,” she informed.

Sharif has been in London since November 2019 after securing a medical bail following his conviction in a corruption reference. However, he maintains all charges against him are politically motivated and he never indulged in any wrongdoing.

Bokhari said the PML-N leadership was trying to prepare the election manifesto and launch a social media campaign.

“Our party is ready for the polls whenever they are held,” she maintained. “Delay or no delay, it doesn’t matter to us.”

Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam senior leader Shahida Akhtar Ali said her political faction may launch election activities in different constituencies from next month since the “situation remains unclear as to when the elections will be held.”

“The elections should be held within the constitutionally mandated time period,” she told Arab News, adding that her party was finalizing the manifesto and would distribute party tickets after the announcement of election schedule.

Senior leader of Muttahida Qaumi Movement-Pakistan (MQM-P) Syed Amin ul Haque said his party had inaugurated a central election office and was in the process of finalizing the manifesto within a couple of days.

“We have constituted committees at the provincial and district levels to allocate tickets to potential candidates to contest the polls, but we will kick off a formal election campaign after the process of delimitation of constituencies is completed,” he told Arab News.

However, the MQM-P had a different opinion from other political parties on when the general elections could be held.

“The process of delimitation should be completed as early as possible to hold free and fair elections by February next year,” Haque said.


Pakistan’s OGDC ramps up unconventional gas plans

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Pakistan’s OGDC ramps up unconventional gas plans

  • Pakistan has long been viewed as having potential in tight and shale gas but commercial output has yet to be proved
  • OGDC says has tripled tight-gas study area to 4,500 square km after new seismic, reservoir analysis indicates potential

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s state-run Oil & Gas Development Company is planning a major expansion of unconventional gas developments from early next year, aiming to boost production and reduce reliance on imported liquefied natural gas.

Pakistan has long been viewed as having potential in both tight and shale gas, which are trapped in rock and can only be released with specialized drilling, but commercial output has yet to be proved.

Managing Director Ahmed Lak told Reuters that OGDC had tripled its tight-gas study area to 4,500 square kilometers (1,737 square miles) after new seismic and reservoir analysis indicated larger potential. Phase two of a technical evaluation will finish by end-January, followed by full development plans.

The renewed push comes after US President Donald Trump said Pakistan held “massive” oil reserves in July, a statement analysts said lacked credible geological evidence, but which prompted Islamabad to underscore that it is pursuing its own efforts to unlock unconventional resources.

“We started with 85 wells, but the footprint has expanded massively,” Lak said, adding that OGDC’s next five-year plan would look “drastically different.”

Early results point to a “significant” resource across parts of Sindh and Balochistan, where multiple reservoirs show tight-gas characteristics, he said.

SHALE PILOT RAMPS UP

OGDC is also fast-tracking its shale program, shifting from a single test well to a five- to six-well plan in 2026–27, with expected flows of 3–4 million standard cubic feet per day (mmcfd) per well.

If successful, the development could scale to hundreds or even more than 1,000 wells, Lak said.

He said shale alone could eventually add 600 mmcfd to 1 billion standard cubic feet per day of incremental supply, though partners would be needed if the pilot proves viable.

The company is open to partners “on a reciprocal basis,” potentially exchanging acreage abroad for participation in Pakistan, he said.

A 2015 US Energy Information Administration study estimated Pakistan had 9.1 billion barrels of technically recoverable shale oil, the largest such resource outside China and the United States.

A 2022 assessment found parts of the Indus Basin geologically comparable to North American shale plays, though analysts say commercial viability still hinges on better geomechanical data, expanded fracking capacity and water availability.

OGDC plans to begin drilling a deep-water offshore well in the Indus Basin, known as the Deepal prospect, in the fourth quarter of 2026, Lak said. In October, Turkiye’s TPAO with PPL and its consortium partners, including OGDC, were awarded a block for offshore exploration.

A combination of weak gas demand, rising solar uptake and a rigid LNG import schedule has created a surplus of gas that forced OGDC to curb output and pushed Pakistan to divert cargoes from Italy’s ENI and seek revised terms with Qatar.