Oil Updates — OPEC sees global oil demand rising to 110m bpd by 2045 

According to the OPEC secretary-general, oil will comprise about 29 percent of the energy mix by 2045. (Shutterstock)  
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Updated 26 June 2023
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Oil Updates — OPEC sees global oil demand rising to 110m bpd by 2045 

  • Underinvestment in the sector challenges the viability of current energy systems: official

RIYADH: Oil prices firmed slightly on Monday, with political instability from an aborted revolt by Russian mercenaries over the weekend viewed by the market as not posing an immediate threat to oil supply from one of the world’s largest producers.

Brent crude futures were up 47 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $74.32 a barrel by 03:17 p.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 36 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $69.52.

OPEC sees global oil demand rising to 110m bpd by 2045  

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries expects oil demand to rise to 110 million barrels per day by 2045, its Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais said.   

“Oil is irreplaceable for the foreseeable future,” he said during the inaugural Energy Asia conference held in Kuala Lumpur on Monday.   

According to the secretary-general, oil will comprise about 29 percent of the energy mix by 2045.   

“Gas hydro, nuclear hydrogen and biomass will expand. But it is clear that oil remains an integral part of the mix,” added Al-Ghais.   

He further pointed out that underinvestment in the oil sector challenges the viability of current energy systems, which will ultimately result in energy chaos.   

Hydrocarbons a crucial part of energy mix: Malaysian PM  

During the Energy Asia conference, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said that hydrocarbons will be a crucial part of the energy mix, even as the world sails toward achieving a sustainable future.   

During his speech, Ibrahim said that achieving net-zero emission targets should not come at the expense of economic growth or vice versa.   

“Asia must take every opportunity to further dialogue and actions around how we can responsibly plan to enable every country (in) its right to development and lower carbon aspirations,” he said.   

The prime minister added that Malaysia will launch two roadmaps in the second half of 2023 detailing the country’s potential for developing hydrogen fuel and carbon capture and storage technology. 

Pertamina, Petronas aim to replace Shell in Masela project: minister 

Shell’s participating interest in Indonesia’s Masela gas project could be jointly taken over by the country’s state-owned energy firm Pertamina along with its Malaysian counterpart Petronas, a top minister said.  

“They are both doing the negotiation,” Indonesia’s Energy Minister Arifin Tasrif told Reuters.  

Shell has been seeking to divest its 35 percent share in Masela, and Indonesian authorities are keen for the companies to complete the deal to move the project forward after years of delay. 

“They have to finalize what kind of joint scheme they are preparing,” he said.  

Petronas said it “actively seeks new opportunities to ensure the company remains resilient in the evolving energy landscape,” but did not comment specifically on the Masela project. 

Pertamina and Petronas are preparing for a sales agreement with Shell, Arifin said, adding that he hoped a deal would be settled within a month. 

(With input from Reuters)


Global brands shut Middle East stores as conflict causes chaos

Updated 03 March 2026
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Global brands shut Middle East stores as conflict causes chaos

  • Luxury brands and retailers close stores in Middle East
  • Conflict threatens the region that has ‌been luxury’s fastest growing
  • Mass-market retailers monitor situation, adjust operations in region

PARIS: In Dubai and other major Middle Eastern shopping hubs, many stores are closed or operating with a skeleton staff as the escalating conflict in the ​region causes chaos for businesses and travel.

The US-Israeli air war against Iran expanded on Monday with no end in sight, with Tehran firing missiles and drones at Gulf states as it retaliates for a weekend of bombing that killed Iran’s supreme leader and reportedly killed scores of Iranian civilians, including a strike on a girls’ primary school.

Chalhoub Group, which runs 900 stores for brands from Versace and Jimmy Choo to Sephora across the region, said its stores in Bahrain were closed, while other markets, including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan remained open though staff attendance was “voluntary.”

“We operate with a lean team formed of members who volunteered and feel comfortable to come to the store,” Chalhoub’s Vice President of Communications Lynn al ‌Khatib told Reuters, adding ‌that the company’s leadership team personally visited Dubai Mall and Mall of the Emirates ​on ‌Monday ⁠morning to check ​in ⁠with workers.

E-commerce giant Amazon closed its fulfillment center operations in Abu Dhabi, suspended deliveries across the region and instructed its employees in Saudi Arabia and Jordan to remain indoors, Business Insider reported on Monday, citing an internal memo.

Gucci-owner Kering said its stores were temporarily closed in the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar and it has suspended travel to the Middle East.

Luxury growth engine under threat

Shares in luxury groups LVMH, Hermes, and Cartier-owner Richemont were down 4 percent to 5.7 percent on Monday afternoon as investors digested the knock-on impacts of the conflict.

The Middle East still accounts for a small share of global spending on luxury — between 5 percent and 10 percent, according ⁠to RBC analyst Piral Dadhania. But the region was “luxury’s brightest performer” last year, according to consultancy ‌Bain, while sales of expensive handbags have stalled in the rest of the ‌world.

Now, shuttered airports have put an abrupt stop to tourism flows into ​the region and missile strikes — including one that damaged Dubai’s ‌five-star Fairmont Palm hotel — are likely to dissuade travelers, particularly if the conflict drags on.

“If you assume that it’s ‌a $5 billion to $6 billion (travel retail) market and let’s say it’s going to be shut down for a month, we are talking about hundreds of millions of dollars that are definitely at risk,” said Victor Dijon, senior partner at consultancy Kearney.

If Middle Eastern shoppers cannot travel to Paris or Milan, that could also hurt luxury sales in Europe, he added.

Luxury brands have been investing in lavish new stores and exclusive events ‌across the region. Cartier unveiled a “high-jewelry” exhibition in Dubai’s Keturah Park just days before the conflict started.

Cartier and Richemont did not reply to requests for comment.

Luxury conglomerate LVMH ⁠has also bet big on ⁠the region. Last month, its flagship brand Louis Vuitton staged an exhibition at the Jumeirah Marsa Al Arab hotel, and beauty retailer Sephora launched its first Saudi beauty brand.

LVMH does not report specific figures for the region, but in January Chief Financial Officer Cecile Cabanis said the Middle East has been “displaying significant growth.” LVMH did not reply to a request for comment on how its business may be impacted by the conflict.

The Middle East has also attracted new investment from mass-market players. Budget fashion retailer Primark said in January that it plans to open three stores in Dubai in March, April and May, followed by stores in Bahrain and Qatar by the end of the year.

“Primark is set to open its first store in Dubai at the end of March but clearly this is a fast-moving situation which we are monitoring closely,” a spokesperson for Primark-owner Associated British Foods said.

Apple stores in Dubai will remain closed until Thursday morning, the company’s website showed, while Swedish fast-fashion retailer ​H&M said its stores in Bahrain and Israel are ​closed.

Consumer goods group Reckitt has told all employees in the Middle East to work from home, temporarily closed its Bahrain manufacturing site and suspended all business travel to the region until further notice.