Where are the jobs? India's world-beating growth falls short

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Nizamudin Abdul Rahim Khan, 23, a worker, poses for a photograph in an alley at a slum area in Mumbai, India, on May 20, 2023. (REUTERS)
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Updated 31 May 2023
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Where are the jobs? India's world-beating growth falls short

  • Fewer full-time jobs remain in India since unemployment soared to 20.9% in April-June 2020
  • Without jobs, tens of millions of young people are becoming a drag on the economy, say experts

MUMBAI: On a hot summer afternoon, 23-year old Nizamudin Abdul Rahim Khan is playing cricket on a muddy, unpaved road in the Rafiq Nagar slum in India's financial capital, Mumbai.

Here, there is scant evidence of India's fast-growing economy. Bordering what was once Asia largest garbage dumping ground, Rafiq Nagar and surrounding areas are home to an estimated 800,000 people, most living in tiny rooms across narrow, dark alleys.

The young men and women in the area struggle to find jobs or work, and they mostly dawdle the day away, said Naseem Jafar Ali, who works with an NGO in the area.

India's urban unemployment soared during the COVID-19 pandemic, reaching a high of 20.9% in the April-June 2020 quarter, while wages fell. While the unemployment rate has fallen since, fewer full-time jobs are available.

Economists say more and more job-seekers, especially the young, are looking for low-paid casual work or falling back on unreliable self-employment, even though the broader Indian economy is seen growing at a world-beating 6.5% in the financial year ending in March 2024.

In 2022/23, the Indian economy grew a stronger-than-expected 7.2%, boosted by the government's capital investments. But private consumption, which forms 60% of India's GDP, grew between 2-3% in the second half of the year, as pent-up spending and base effects faded.

TIP OF THE ICEBERG

India is overtaking China to become the world's most populous nation with more than 1.4 billion people. Nearly 53% are under 30, its much-touted demographic dividend, but without jobs, tens of millions of young people are becoming a drag on the economy.

"Unemployment is only the tip of the iceberg. What remains hidden beneath is the serious crisis of underemployment and disguised unemployment," said Radhicka Kapoor, fellow at economic research agency ICRIER.

Khan, for instance, offers himself as casual labour for home repairs or construction, earning just about 10,000 Indian rupees ($122) a month to help support his father and his four sisters. "If I get a permanent job, then there will be no problem," he says.

The risk for India is a vicious cycle for the economy. Falling employment and earnings undermine India’s chances to fuel the economic growth needed to create jobs for its young and growing population.

Economist Jayati Ghosh calls the country's demographic dividend "a ticking time-bomb."

"The fact that we have so many people who have been educated, have spent a lot of their own or family's money but are not being able to find the jobs they need, that's horrifying," she said.

"It's not just the question of potential loss to the economy ... it is a lost generation."

SMALL BUSINESSES COLLAPSE

Unemployment is far more acute in India's cities, where the cost of living is high and there is no back-up in the form of a jobs guarantee programme which the government offers in rural areas. Still, many in the army of rural unemployed flock to the cities to find jobs.

While urban unemployment was at 6.8% in the January-March quarter, the share of urban workers with full-time jobs has declined to 48.9% as of December 2022 from an already low 50.5% just before the start of the pandemic, government data show.

This means that of the estimated urban workforce of about 150 million, only 73 million have full-time jobs.

For people in urban areas with full-time jobs, average monthly wages, adjusted for inflation, stood at 17,507 rupees ($212) in the April-June 2022 quarter - the latest period for which government data is available.

This was a modest 1.2% higher than the October-December 2019 period, before the start of the pandemic.

But for the self-employed, incomes fell to 14,762 ($178.67) rupees in the April-June 2022 quarter, according to research by Ghosh and C.P. Chandrashekhar, both at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst. The figure was at 15,247 rupees in the October-December 2019 quarter.

"The big thing that has happened is the collapse of small businesses, which were the backbone of employment," said Ghosh.

Since the Indian government's decision to demonetise 86% of the country's currency in circulation in 2016, there have seen continuous attacks on the viability of small business, with the pandemic being the latest, she said.

Over 10,000 micro, small and medium enterprises shut in 2022-23 (April-March) alone, the government said in parliament in February. In the previous year, more than 6,000 such units had shut. The government did not specify whether any new enterprises were set up in those periods.

GRADUATE PAINTER

Many families in Khan's neighbourhood, typical of the urban sprawl in the city of 21 million, have been hit by job losses and lower incomes in recent years. Young workers are particularly vulnerable.

Arshad Ali Ansari, a 22-year-old student, said he saw his brother and sister lose their jobs soon after the start of the pandemic.

Sitting in a single room with a kitchen attached, where his family of eight lives, Ansari said they survive on his 60-year old father's earnings of about 20,000 rupees a month.

His brother, who was a graduate and had worked in a bank, lost his job during the pandemic and had to join their father in painting houses.

"My brother had education, he had experience," Ansari said.

His sister, once a social worker, also lost her job and has given up hope of finding another.

India will need to create 70 million new jobs over the next 10 years, wrote Pranjul Bhandari, chief India economist at HSBC, in a note earlier this month. But only 24 million will likely be created, leaving behind "46 million missing jobs."

"From that lens, a growth rate of 6.5% will solve a third of India’s jobs problem," Bhandari wrote.


Saudi Arabia’s AI imperative: seizing the agentic enterprise to fulfill Vision 2030 goals

Updated 11 January 2026
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Saudi Arabia’s AI imperative: seizing the agentic enterprise to fulfill Vision 2030 goals

  • Workers who use AI daily are 64% more productive and 81% more satisfied with their jobs

RIYADH: As Saudi Arabia advances its ambitious Vision 2030, a transformative shift in the global workplace underscores a critical opportunity for the Kingdom’s organizations.

Slack’s latest Workforce Index survey revealed an unprecedented surge in the adoption and impact of artificial intelligence, presenting a clear pathway for Saudi businesses to lead in the era of digital labor, drive economic diversification, and create high-value roles for the future workforce.
“Saudi Arabia has all the ingredients to lead this shift: a young population, a government willing to modernize at extraordinary speed and industries preparing for global competition,” Mohammad Al-Khotani, the senior vice president and general manager of Salesforce Middle East told Arab News.

From adoption to advantage
The evidence that AI is a decisive competitive advantage is now overwhelming. Slack’s research, which surveyed 5,000 global desk workers, found that daily AI usage has soared by 233 percent in just six months.
Workers who use AI daily are 64 percent more productive and 81 percent more satisfied with their jobs than their non-AI-using colleagues. This trend is even more pronounced in specific markets; in the UK, daily AI users report an 82 percent increase in productivity and a 106 percent boost in job satisfaction.
According to the report, this surge is fundamentally reshaping work. The data confirms that trust grows with use: workers who use AI agents daily are twice as likely to trust them in areas like data protection and accuracy. 
Furthermore, AI is enabling workers to expand their capabilities strategically. Some 96 percent of AI users have leveraged the technology to perform tasks they previously lacked the skills to do.
Workers are now 154 percent more likely to use AI agents to perform tasks better and more creatively, not merely to automate them. The top productivity boosts come from eliminating extensive research, assisting with communication, and overcoming creative blocks.
Given this, Al-Khotani emphasized the macroeconomic imperative for Saudi organizations to lead, not follow. 
“Saudi Arabia is one of the few countries where the public sector has already set a global benchmark for digital service delivery. This creates a macroeconomic condition in which private-sector organizations must now match the pace set by the state,” he said. 
He further noted that “the scale of Saudi Arabia’s transformation, megaprojects, tourism growth, manufacturing build-out and new digital sectors, requires the productivity lift that only digital labor and AI agents can provide. Organizations that adopt early will move faster, earn citizen trust and gain market share.”
This perspective is echoed by Mohamad El-Charif, founder of the Middle East’s first sovereign regulatory compliance platform, Qadi.
“When we talk about digital labor in Saudi Arabia, we have to acknowledge that legal and regulatory AI is not optional. If we wait and come in as fast followers, we’ll end up running our core legal and regulatory workloads elsewhere, governed, and updated elsewhere,” he explained to Arab News. 
He argued that early adoption creates a lasting advantage: “Moving early with governed, sovereign agents, lets Saudi organizations encode their own local laws, internal policies, escalation paths and audit trails into the infrastructure.”
He added: “Under Vision 2030, leading Saudi banks, insurers, telcos, and energy companies are not just serving the domestic market; they’re becoming global players. If they build their regulatory backbone early and on their own terms, they don’t just stay in bounds at home, but they also carry that infrastructure with them as they expand.”

From automation to the agentic enterprise
This ground-level adoption aligns with a strategic corporate pivot identified in the 2025 MuleSoft Connectivity Benchmark Report, produced in collaboration with Deloitte.
The report highlighted that generative AI has reshaped human-AI interaction, and the next frontier is the rise of the “agentic enterprise.” This model involves autonomous AI agents that can operate with unprecedented independence, responding to queries, managing sophisticated tasks, and optimizing workflows without continuous human intervention.
The report found that 93 percent of IT leaders intend to introduce such autonomous agents within two years, with 40 percent having already done so and another 41 percent planning deployment within the next year.
This shift is accelerating rapidly; the average number of AI models in use has already doubled from 2024 projections, and IT leaders predict a further 78 percent increase over the next three years.
Salesforce Middle East’s Al-Khotani elaborated on this strategic potential, stating: “AI agents offer a multiplier effect across sectors that Vision 2030 prioritizes. This same efficiency can shift the economics of different industries.”
He added: “Legacy sectors can automate routine compliance, scheduling, documentation, onboarding and case resolution. Public services can move from reactive to proactive, anticipating citizen needs and completing tasks autonomously.”
Qadi’s El-Charif described this as turning “compliance from a blockage into an API,” accelerating Vision 2030’s ambitions. 
“For a thriving economy, the biggest gift you can give businesses is predictable, low-friction compliance,” he said, adding: “When you encode local laws, regulations and internal policies into agents, those checks move inside the workflow. Approvals can happen in days, not months, without lowering standards.”
However, this potential is gated by integration. Some 95 percent of IT leaders cite integration challenges as the primary hurdle to effective AI implementation. 
Organizations use an average of 897 applications, with 46 percent using over 1,000, yet integration levels have stagnated.

Opportunity for the Kingdom
For Saudi organizations, moving early to adopt and integrate AI is no longer optional, but a strategic necessity to lead in digital labor and deliver on Vision 2030’s goals of a vibrant society, a thriving economy, and an ambitious nation.
First, deploying AI in ways that deliver positive outcomes for both business and employees is key. The Slack Index showed that AI enhances human connection, not replaces it.
Daily AI users are 246 percent more likely to feel more connected to colleagues and report a 62 percent higher sense of belonging. This counters fears of displacement, showing AI can augment teamwork and culture.
Al-Khotani stressed the principles for positive deployment, noting: “AI must be introduced as augmentation, not substitution. When people understand that agents are handling low-value tasks, while humans focus on creativity, judgment and customer relationships, acceptance is extremely high.” 
He added that Salesforce data shows 84 percent of AI users say the technology makes them enjoy their job more, largely because it reduces repetitive work.
El-Charif advocated for a practical Outcome-Workflow-Governance framework to achieve this symbiosis, saying: “We design agents to take over that ‘read, retrieve, reconcile’ loop. 
“This doesn’t replace humans, but it elevates them out of the infrastructural gridlock.” 
He added: “That, for me, brings a real opportunity of using agentic AI to remove the glue work that exhausts people, and free up talent to focus on strategy, relationships and judgment, which is exactly what Vision 2030 is asking our institutions to excel at.”
Agentic AI can directly accelerate Vision 2030 ambitions. As noted by Goldman Sachs Research, generative AI can streamline business workflows, automate routine tasks and give rise to a new generation of business applications.
For Saudi Arabia, this means modernizing legacy sectors, improving efficiency in health care and financial services, and supercharging nascent industries. 
The MuleSoft report confirmed that APIs and API-related implementations now account for 40 percent of company revenue on average, up from 25 percent in 2018, demonstrating the tangible economic value of a connected, AI-ready infrastructure.
El-Charif also highlighted the societal dimension, stating: “For a vibrant society, this technology drives transparency and trust. When rules are encoded into agents, their application becomes consistent and audit-ready. This builds confidence in the market and investors know that compliance isn’t subjective, but structural.”
Finally, this transition will create high-value roles for humans. The integration challenge itself is a source of future jobs. The MuleSoft report found that developers spend an estimated 39 percent of their time building custom integrations, and IT staffing budgets are expected to rise by 61.5 percent year-over-year to meet AI demand.
Al-Khotani foresees specific new roles emerging from the AI integration challenge, saying: “Salesforce’s research shows that organizations adopting AI expect their data and integration teams to grow nearly 50 percent over the next three years.” 
He went on explaining that this opens pathways for new roles such as AI integration architects, agent workflow designers, and responsible AI officers and digital trust specialists.
El-Charif identified the emergence of roles such as “Legal Engineer,” — someone who understands both the regulation and how to encode it into logic.
Furthermore, as AI handles routine tasks, workers are freed for more strategic, creative, and innovative work, precisely the skills needed for a knowledge-based economy. 
Al-Khotani envisioned this shift elevating Saudi Arabia’s broader economic structure: “As agents take on routine and administrative tasks, Saudi Arabia’s workforce will shift toward higher-value roles that emphasize creativity, human judgment, and strategic decision-making.”
He added that this shift increases productivity per capita, a core Vision 2030 outcome, because the workforce is no longer limited by the volume of manual work it can process. “The macroeconomic structure becomes more innovation-driven and less labor-intensive.”
Global AI adoption is accelerating, worker productivity and satisfaction are skyrocketing with its use, and the next wave of enterprise value lies in agentic AI.
For Saudi Arabia, the mandate is to build the robust, integrated digital foundations today that will allow its organizations and workforce to not just participate in this future, but to lead it, turning the promise of Vision 2030 into an intelligent, automated, and human-centric reality. 
As Al-Khotani concluded: “The future economy will not reward automation alone, it will reward nations that use AI to elevate human potential. Saudi Arabia is positioned to be one of them.”