Turkish factory activity contracts in Dec but shows improvement

The Purchasing Managers' Index for manufacturing stood at 48.1 in December, up from 45.7 in November. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 02 January 2023
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Turkish factory activity contracts in Dec but shows improvement

ISTANBUL: Turkish factory activity contracted for the 10th month running in December but showed some signs of improvement from previous months as output and new orders fell more slowly, a survey showed on Monday.

The Purchasing Managers' Index for manufacturing stood at 48.1 in December, up from 45.7 in November, the Istanbul Chamber of Industry and S&P Global said.

While December's reading was the highest since June, it remained below the 50-point line that separates contractions from expansions in activity.

Improvement was evident in demand, while there were some reports of inflationary pressures continuing to weigh, the panel of contributors said, adding that global market weakness had led to new export orders moderating more than total new business.

"There were some tentative signs of improvement in the latest PMI survey, which if continued into the new year could see the Turkish manufacturing sector gaining some ground," said Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

"While demand remains fragile, particularly internationally, cost pressures are not as extreme as earlier in 2022 and supply-chain conditions are improving, hopefully providing a tailwind to the sector heading into 2023."

Input buying moderated at a much slower pace than a month earlier, while the signs of improvement supported a second consecutive month of employment growth, with staffing levels showing the sharpest rise in 10 months, the panel of contributors said.

Input cost inflation remained relatively muted in December, while output prices rose at the same pace as in the previous survey period at a rate much softer than earlier in the year, the panel said.

Suppliers' delivery times shortened to one of the greatest extents on record due to weak demand for inputs and reduced port disruption, they added.


Gulf emerging as beneficiary amid changing global alliances, says TCW executive

Updated 23 January 2026
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Gulf emerging as beneficiary amid changing global alliances, says TCW executive

DAVOS: As artificial intelligence dominated discussions at this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos, asset managers are exploring how the technology can be deployed at scale without losing the human judgement that underpins investment decisions.

For Jennifer Grancio, global head of distribution at asset management firm TCW, Saudi Arabia’s approach to energy and AI makes it a particularly attractive hub for investors.

“Saudi Arabia has been very forward-leaning in traditional energy,” Grancio said.

“They’ve also invested heavily in grid efficiency and electricity, which positions them to serve the wider region. Combined with AI adoption, it makes them a powerhouse for investment opportunities.”

For TCW, the focus is not on replacing human expertise but on expanding capacity.

“We’re using AI to increase capacity, not to replace investment analysts or people who write commentaries or evaluate securities,” Grancio explained.

The firm continues to rely on deep research, deploying AI selectively across functions such as securitized credit, marketing and investment teams.

TCW’s engagement with AI predates the current wave of enthusiasm and adoption.

“We were actually an early AI investor. In the US, we have the oldest AI fund, launched over eight years ago, focused on both enablers and adopters,” Grancio said.

The dual focus on technology and infrastructure increasingly aligns with developments in the Gulf.

“As an investment manager, we look at both the AI systems being developed and how energy and power infrastructure supports them,” she said, highlighting TCW’s global energy and power strategy, which has consistently outperformed its benchmark.

Geopolitical shifts are also reshaping investment flows to the Gulf.

“Concerns around the US, China or Russia have led global investors to rely more on the Gulf,” Grancio said. “It’s a great time for development and trade there.”

Emerging markets are drawing growing attention from investors.

“In the US, there’s a rotation toward global exposure. Elsewhere, there’s renewed focus on emerging markets and managing through volatility,” she said.

TCW has benefited from this trend, particularly in emerging market debt, with sovereign clients increasing allocations by billions of dollars.

Volatility, Grancio added, can create opportunity. “As a value manager, we do deep research and focus on relative valuation. In fixed income and securitized credit, volatility allows us to increase returns for clients.”

In the Middle East, sovereign wealth funds and pension systems are expanding into private credit and alternative income strategies. Education is key, Grancio said.

“Understanding what’s different about private investments is critical. They offer strong compounding and portfolio diversification.”

Private asset-backed finance is a growing trend in the region. “We’re seeing portfolios shift from public fixed income into private securitized credit, a major growth area.” 

Looking ahead to 2026, Grancio said that shifts will vary by region and investor type. “In the US, the wealth market has moved toward ETFs. We’ve rapidly built out a $6 billion ETF platform to meet demand,” she said.