Aramco CEO on potential production hikes, global oil demand growth: Key takeaways

Aramco is ready to increase oil production to 12 million bpd if the government asks for it, says CEO.
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Updated 14 August 2022
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Aramco CEO on potential production hikes, global oil demand growth: Key takeaways

RIYADH: After reporting its highest quarterly profit since the company went public in 2019, primarily boosted by higher oil prices and refining margins, Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser met the press and shared his optimistic outlook on oil demand but remained worried about the lack of investment in the sector. 

Below are the key takeaways from the discussion with the CEO:

Oil demand growth

• Oil demand growth is healthy with more demand coming from Asia. 

• Aramco is deeply concerned with the lack of investment in oil output capacity globally.

• There could be an additional 2 million barrels per day crude oil demand next year, but not sufficient capacity to meet that demand.

• The oil market could further tighten if demand for aviation fuel rises.

Production hike

• Aramco is ready to increase oil production to 12 million bpd if the government asks for it. 

• Output capacity will be increased significantly from 2025, and it will reach 15 million bpd by 2027. 

Widening the horizons

• Aramco is in talks with China’s Sinopec and others on petrochemicals and liquid-to-chemicals projects.

• Aramco plans to enhance cooperation with Chinese entities working within the Kingdom. 

• The growth of Saudi Aramco in Europe is not as good as in Asia, but still, the firm is looking for more opportunities there.

• The potential joint venture with PKN Orlen, along with the existing tri-party agreement between Aramco, SABIC, and PKN Orlen could be the next big thing for Aramco in Europe.

Sustainability and reliability

• Aramco has the lowest carbon intensity globally, as it steadily continues its journey to achieve sustainability. 
• The oil giant has 99.8 percent reliability in delivering crude to its customers. 

• Aramco has strong contingency plans. 

Ongoing projects

• The Jafurah gas project’s first phase will become operational by 2025, followed by the opening of its second phase in 2027. 

In the second quarter of 2022, Aramco’s profit surged 90 percent to hit SR182 billion ($48.4 billion), while the revenue soared 80 percent to SR562 billion. 


Oil surges; Brent back at $100 as Iran steps up attacks on Gulf shipping

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Oil surges; Brent back at $100 as Iran steps up attacks on Gulf shipping

BEIJING/SINGAPORE: Oil prices jumped on Thursday as Iran stepped up attacks on oil and transport facilities across the Middle East, raising fears of a prolonged conflict and oil-flow disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent futures rose $8.54, or 9.28 percent, to $100.52 a barrel at 06:54 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up $7.22, or 8.28 percent, to $94.47.

Brent hit $119.50 a barrel on Monday, its highest since mid-2022, then dropped after US President Donald Trump said the Iran war could be over soon.

On Wednesday, a spokesperson for Iran’s military command said: “Get ready for oil to be $200 a barrel, because the oil price depends on regional security, which you have destabilised,” in remarks directed at the US.

There are no signs of a de-escalation in the Gulf and as a result, there is no end in sight to the disruptions to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, ING analysts said on Thursday.

“The only way to see oil prices trade lower on a sustained basis is by getting oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz,” ING said. “Failing to do so means that the market highs are still ahead of us.”

Two foreign tankers carrying Iraqi fuel oil were hit by unidentified attackers in Iraq’s territorial waters, causing them to catch fire, the director general of the General Co. for Ports, Farhan al-Fartousi, told Reuters on Wednesday.

An initial investigation from Iraqi security officials showed explosive-laden boats from Iran had hit the two tankers.

The International Energy Agency has agreed to release a record 400 million barrels of oil to help rein in prices that have spiked after the US-Israeli war on Iran broke out. The US is contributing the bulk of that release — 172 million barrels — from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

“The IEA’s release of oil reserves may be only a temporary solution, as disruptions to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and a major production halt in some Middle Eastern countries could cause a long-term supply crunch,” said Tina Teng, a market strategist at Moomoo ANZ.

The ING analysts said there are concerns about how quickly the oil can make it to the market and whether it will be sufficient to tide consumers over until oil begins flowing through the Strait of Hormuz again.