Global oil demand to witness 1.9% quarterly growth in Q3: KAPSARC report

In its latest Oil Market Outlook, KAPSARC noted that countries outside the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development are expected to account for 53 percent of this growth with 54 million bpd. 
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Updated 30 June 2022
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Global oil demand to witness 1.9% quarterly growth in Q3: KAPSARC report

  • Saudi Arabia’s oil demand is expected to increase in the third quarter to 4.3 million bpd.

RIYADH: The global oil demand is expected to witness a 1.9 percent quarter-on-quarter growth to 100.6 million barrels per day in the third quarter of 2022, according to the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center. 

This increase is higher than the pre-pandemic levels. 

In its latest Oil Market Outlook, KAPSARC noted that countries outside the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development are expected to account for 53 percent of this growth with 54 million bpd. 

Saudi Arabia’s oil demand is expected to increase in the third quarter to 4.3 million bpd, as the Kingdom aims to satisfy its vast cooling needs throughout the summer season, the report added. 

It further noted that oil demand will be the highest in the US with 20.6 million bpd, followed by China and India with 15.3 million bpd and 4.8 million bpd respectively. 

According to the report, 2.2 million bpd of net global growth is expected on the supply side. This would imply an organic increase of 0.9 percent, hitting 99.4 million bpd over the next quarter — the highest level of quarter-on-quarter growth seen in several years. 

The report added that Saudi Arabia’s quarter-on-quarter estimates will witness a growth of 3.2 percent reaching 12,356 million bpd for all liquids, which accounts for about 60 percent of the total supply growth of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. 


Marine insurance companies are considering canceling, repricing policies in the Middle East

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Marine insurance companies are considering canceling, repricing policies in the Middle East

RIYADH: Marine insurance companies are considering canceling or repricing policies in the Middle East, according to the Financial Times

This comes after the US and Israeli strikes on targets inside Iran, followed by missile attacks and retaliatory military actions in several countries in the region.

Marine brokers expect insurance premiums for ships to rise by up to 50 percent, given the region’s classification as a “war zone.”

Ship owners are considering rerouting their vessels to avoid the Strait of Hormuz and reduce risks to crews and cargo.

20% of the global oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz.

Regarding oil prices, a rise is expected as 20 percent of global oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz, amid concerns about continued tensions in the region.

Air traffic in the Middle East was severely disrupted after several countries closed their airspace completely or partially, while regional and international airlines suspended or rescheduled flights.

On the morning of March 1st,  the Iranian capital, Tehran, witnessed several large explosions following Israel's announcement of what it described as a “preemptive strike.”

Flights to countries in the region suspended due to attacks

In a video message, US President Donald Trump announced that the US had begun “major combat operations” in Iran, asserting that the goal was to defend the American people by neutralizing what he described as the “imminent threat” from the Iranian regime.

Several regional and international airlines announced the suspension of their flights to some countries in the region due to the attacks.

These military developments come at a time when major shipping companies had already avoided the Red Sea and Suez Canal routes due to security tensions, reverting to the Cape of Good Hope route, which increases shipping costs and puts pressure on global supply chains.

With the closure of airspace in several countries in the region, the risk of disruption to air traffic and trade is increasing, while oil markets are watching closely for any signs of potential supply disruptions from a region that is one of the world's most important energy production hubs.