Pakistan increases electricity tariff by 47% for revival of $6 billion IMF program

Men work on electric pylons along the roadside in Karachi on May 30, 2021. (AFP/File)
Short Url
Updated 02 June 2022
Follow

Pakistan increases electricity tariff by 47% for revival of $6 billion IMF program

  • Power regulatory authority blames rising fuel prices, capacity cost and depreciation of rupee for tariff hike
  • Analysts say the revival of IMF program is likely after the reversal of fuel and power subsidies by government

KARACHI: The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) on Thursday announced to increase electricity base tariff by 46.7 percent, or Rs7.9 per unit, to help the country revive the much needed $6 billion loan program which was agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 2019.

During the recent round of negotiations between Pakistan and the IMF in Qatar, the fund called for concrete policy actions, including the removal of fuel and energy subsidies by the government.

“The tariff has been determined for FY [fiscal year] 2022-23, which on National Average is Rs.24.82/kWh [kilowatt hour], higher by Rs.7.9078/kWh than the earlier determined national average tariff of Rs.16.91/kWh,” NEPRA said in a statement issued on Thursday.

“The increase of Rs.7.9078/kWh is mainly due to increase in Fuel Prices, capacity cost and impact of PKR [Pakistani rupee] devaluation.”

The regulatory authority said the determined prices had been shared with the federal government and were subject to the issuance of notification to implement the increased tariff from the next budgetary year.

“The determined tariffs have been intimated to the Federal Government,” the statement added. “The Federal Government as per NEPRA Act is required to file an application for determination of uniform tariff for all the DISCOs [distribution companies].”

The authority said the energy purchase price was projected at Rs.1,152 billion during the next year while the capacity charges including National Transmission and Dispatch Company (NTDC) and High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) cost was projected to be Rs1,366 billion.

The IMF program was stalled after the previous administration announced about $2 billion fuel and energy subsidies earlier this year in contravention to the agreement with the fund.

“Now the way is clear and hopefully the announcement of a staff-level agreement will be made early next week,” Dr. Vaqar Ahmed, joint executive director at the Sustainable Development Policy Institute (SDPI), told Arab News.

“Another point is that its inflationary impact will start from the current month and the government must immediately roll out the relief package it has announced as targeted subsidy,” he continued.

Pakistan has received $3 billion from the IMF and another $3 billion are expected after the resumption of the program. The authorities have also requested the fund to expand the size of the program to $8 billion and increase its tenure to June 2023, according to finance minister Miftah Ismail.

The revival of the IMF program would unlock funding from other institutional donors including the World Bank, Asian Development Bank and friendly countries including Saudi Arabia, China and the UAE.


Pakistani fodder exporters target $1 billion in five years but need Saudi, China market access

Updated 10 sec ago
Follow

Pakistani fodder exporters target $1 billion in five years but need Saudi, China market access

  • Pakistan exported $112.2 million in animal feed last fiscal year, industry targets nine-fold increase
  • Heavy dependence on UAE market raises risk of oversupply as Pakistan’s fodder production expands

KARACHI: Pakistan’s fast-growing fodder industry is targeting up to $1 billion in annual exports within five years, but growers say reaching that goal depends on Islamabad securing market access to major buyers such as Saudi Arabia and China.

The country exported 930,802 tons of “feeding stuff for animals” worth $112.2 million in the fiscal year ending June, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data shared with Arab News. The United Arab Emirates accounted for the largest share at $33.2 million, leaving exporters heavily reliant on a single market.

Industry representatives say expanding cultivation without opening new destinations risks a supply glut that could depress farm prices and undermine a rapidly emerging export niche.

“We have mainly one country, the UAE, which is a purchaser,” said Sarfaraz Ali Janjua, chief executive of GRJ Agriculture and Livestock Farms and head of the Pakistan Hay Association.

He urged authorities to engage major importing countries “at the government-to-government level.”

The appeal reflects the growing importance of a specific export crop driving the sector’s expansion.

Rhodes grass — a high-protein tropical fodder crop used to feed dairy cattle, horses and camels — has gained commercial value as water-scarce Gulf states rely on imports rather than domestic cultivation.

“There is no agricultural land there (Gulf region). There is mostly desert due to shortage of water,” said Irfan Mahmood, an animal feed expert managing GRJ farms in Sindh province.

“In Saudi Arabia, agriculture is limited. In Dubai, there is no agriculture. Sometimes, if it rains once or twice a year, then grass grows. There are big animal farms, such as horses, camels, goats and sheep. They have to import fodder from other countries. Pakistan is one of them.”

Pakistan’s exports to Saudi Arabia remain minimal at $307,000 annually, compared with much larger imports from Sudan, while China has yet to approve the product for import.

“China could be a big buyer if the government takes initiative because the product is not registered there,” Janjua said.

“Saudi Arabia imports [more] Rhodes grass from Sudan, not from Pakistan. If there is an agreement at the government level, then definitely Saudi Arabia is a bigger market than the UAE, and our Rhodes grass can go there as well.”

RAPID EXPANSION AT HOME

Farmers have rapidly expanded acreage in response to Gulf demand. Rhodes grass cultivation has increased more than 60 percent in three to four years to roughly 120,000 acres nationwide.

On GRJ’s farms in Mirpurkhas district, workers harvest up to 60 tons daily.

“Sometimes they earn Rs1,000 ($3.6) a day, sometimes Rs1,500 ($5.4) a day. It depends on the amount of work,” said labor supervisor Muhammad Soomar.

“If they harvest fewer acres, they earn less.”

GRJ plans to boost exports 36 percent to 30,000 tons this year but may pause expansion due to oversupply fears.

“If Pakistan’s agricultural setup exceeds 100,000 acres, naturally the market will not be local. People will be worried,” Janjua said.

“If no other country comes in, then there will be problems. Farmers will suffer and will not get proper market rates.”

The shift toward export crops is partly policy-driven rather than purely market-led.

The growth comes as Pakistan reduces crop subsidies under a $7 billion IMF stabilization program approved in September 2024, pushing farmers toward export-oriented agriculture instead of state-supported staples.

“There is no rate support for other crops. There is no government policy, no government subsidy, no cover,” Janjua said.

He said Pakistan’s Trade Development Authority should actively negotiate access abroad.

“There is a Trade Development Authority (of Pakistan). They should engage at the government level and send delegations,” he said.

“Buyers should be briefed. Our products should be sampled.”

Pakistan enjoys “very good relations” with China but must complete regulatory registration before exports can begin, according to Janjua.

“We should talk at the government level and get it registered. To China, we can also export animal feed by road, which would be a breakthrough,” he said

POTENTIAL AND OBSTACLES

Beyond regulatory approval, exporters cite taxation on imported machinery, foreign exchange conversion losses and customs duties as barriers to scaling production.

“Exporting is very difficult. When we bring in foreign exchange, we do not get favorable rates. We face customs and regulatory issues,” Janjua said.

“There should be zero taxes on machinery. Heavy machinery and tractors are not made locally, so we have to import them, and taxes are high.”

Despite the challenges, industry participants say Pakistan’s fodder quality now rivals established suppliers.

“There is also alfalfa and other animal feed products going from Pakistan, but not on a large scale,” Janjua said.

“We need to work on expanding other products as well. If these matters are addressed at the government level, exports can grow.”

Agriculture accounts for about 24 percent of Pakistan’s economy and employs roughly 38 percent of the labor force. Growers believe opening major markets could transform fodder into a major non-traditional export sector.

“If China and Saudi Arabia start importing from us, it (exports) can increase tenfold because there is a strong need for fodder,” Janjua said.

“They have a culture of keeping animals, and dairy products are needed everywhere.”

He identified Saudi Arabia and China as the two decisive markets:

“If our product goes to Europe, that would be very good. But the two big markets that can be worked on are China and Saudi Arabia.”