Oil prices rise on China demand recovery expectations, supply concerns

The EU intends to mobilize up to 300 billion euros of investments by 2030 to end its reliance on Russian oil and gas
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Updated 18 May 2022
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Oil prices rise on China demand recovery expectations, supply concerns

  • The European Union’s failure to persuade Hungary to lift its veto on a proposed embargo on Russian oil is adding price pressure

LONDON: Oil prices rose on Wednesday on expectations that easing COVID-19 restrictions in China will boost demand and as supply concerns grew.

Brent crude was up $1.69 cents, or 1.5 percent, at $113.62 a barrel at 1150 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed $2.26 cents, or 2 percent, to $114.66 a barrel, reversing some of the previous session’s losses.

Hopes of further lockdown easing in China boosted expectations for demand recovery. The country’s authorities allowed 864 of Shanghai’s financial institutions to resume work, sources said on Wednesday, a day after the Chinese city achieved a milestone of three consecutive days with no new COVID cases outside quarantine zones.

And China has relaxed some COVID test rules for US and other travelers.

The market also saw support from rising supply concerns. Russian crude output in April fell by nearly 9 percent from the previous month, an internal OPEC+ report showed on Tuesday, as Western sanctions on Moscow following its invasion of Ukraine hit the top oil producer.

The price rise is being capped by reports that the US is planning to relax sanctions against Venezuela and allow Chevron Corp. to negotiate oil licenses with Venezuela’s national producer.

“Though this will bring little relief to the market in the short term, it would nonetheless be a first step toward ensuring that more oil could reach the market in future from currently sanctioned countries,” Commerzbank analyst Barbara Lambrecht said.

The European Union’s failure to persuade Hungary to lift its veto on a proposed embargo on Russian oil is adding price pressure, although some diplomats expect agreement on a phased ban at a summit at the end of May.

The EU intends to mobilize up to 300 billion euros ($315 billion) of investments by 2030 to end its reliance on Russian oil and gas, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on Wednesday.

“In the meantime, the oil market will likely take its cues from today’s EIA update concerning US oil stocks,” PVM analyst Stephen Brennock said.

US crude and gasoline stocks fell last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

For the economic outlook, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday said the central bank would ratchet up interest rates as high as needed to stifle inflation that he said threatened the foundation of the economy.


Saudi exchange leads GCC in foreign net buying in 2025, hits $5.5bn: Kamco Invest

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Saudi exchange leads GCC in foreign net buying in 2025, hits $5.5bn: Kamco Invest

RIYADH: Foreign investors poured $5.5 billion into the Saudi exchange in 2025, the highest net buying in the Gulf Cooperation Council, an analysis showed. 

In its latest report, Kamco Invest said the Kingdom was followed by the Abu Dhabi and Kuwait exchanges, which saw net foreign inflows of $3.4 billion and $1.5 billion, respectively, over the 12 months.

Dubai and Qatar also registered net buying in 2025, amounting to $1.3 billion and $171 million, respectively. 

The steady performance in the majority of exchanges in the region comes as GCC equity markets continue to attract global capital, buoyed by strong corporate earnings and ongoing economic reforms.

“The yearly trend indicated continued positive activity by foreign investors on GCC exchanges in 2025, although total buying declined over the course of the year,” said Kamco Invest in the report. 

According to the analysis, the Oman Exchange recorded the largest net sales by foreign investors in 2025 at $440 million, followed by Bahrain, which posted net sales of $10.3 million. 

In the fourth quarter of 2025, net buying by foreign investors in the Kingdom stood at $1 billion, followed by Oman at $86.6 million. 

All other exchanges, excluding the Kingdom and Oman, witnessed a net selling trend in the fourth quarter. 

“Quarterly trading data showed that foreign investors were net sellers in Q4-2025 on all exchanges barring Saudi Arabia and Oman. Saudi Arabia recorded net foreign buying of $1 billion, while Oman saw net inflows of $86.6 million during the (fourth) quarter, partially offsetting the overall net sales across the region,” added Kamco Invest. 

Foreign investors were the biggest sellers of Abu Dhabi stocks with net sales of $1 billion during the quarter, followed by Kuwait at $187.9 million, Bahrain at $45.6 million, and Qatar at $8.8 million. 

Saudi Arabia and Oman also recorded consecutive net buying by foreign investors across all three months of the fourth quarter, signaling rising investor interest in these countries. 

Dubai exhibited a net selling trend during the first two months of the fourth quarter, which subsequently reversed to net buying in the final month of the year. 

Qatar registered net buying in the first month of the quarter before shifting to net selling in the second month, and returned to net buying in the final month.

The UAE and Kuwait exchanges experienced consistent net selling by foreign investors across all three months of the fourth quarter.

Kamco Invest said that the key factors which affected the flow of foreign money in the region included regional market trends, economic health of individual countries and crude oil prices.