Soaring inflation, political uncertainty dampen Eid shopping in Pakistan

Women buy jewelry from a seller in Karachi, Pakistan, on April 27, 2022. (AN Photo)
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Updated 03 May 2022
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Soaring inflation, political uncertainty dampen Eid shopping in Pakistan

  • Traders estimate their sales ahead of Eid Al-Fitr were Rs25 billion, compared with Rs30 billion last year
  • A significant drop in sales has been observed for branded products, especially for women

KARACHI: Rising inflation and political uncertainty have dampened the festive spirit of shopping in Pakistan ahead of the Muslim holiday season of Eid Al-Fitr, traders say, as their sales this year are even lower than during pandemic lockdowns.
Eid is the biggest holiday of the year in Pakistan, when families get together and relatives and friends exchange gifts and dress up in new clothes. In the run-up to celebrations, markets traditionally observe a surge in shopping, with people buying jewelry, clothing, and shoes.
While last year a rise in coronavirus cases and related restrictions led to a drop in trade activity ahead of Eid, with businesses saying their profits had fallen by half, this time their sales have plunged even further.
“The sales are below when compared with the last year’s sales when the traders were facing COVID-19 related restrictions,” Kashif Chaudhry, president of Markazi Tanzeem-e-Tajran Pakistan (Central Organization of Pakistani Traders), told Arab News.




Women and girls buy jewelry at a shop in Karachi, Pakistan, on April 27, 2022. (AN Photo)

“We expect that the sales volume would remain below as compared to Rs30 billion ($162 million) worth of sales last year in Karachi,” he said, adding that in the commercial hub of Pakistan half of shoppers who visit markets are only “window shopping.”
Atiq Mir, chairman of All Karachi Tajir Ittehad, an umbrella organization of major business centers in the city, expects that this year the sales volume would be between Rs20 million and Rs25 million.
He added that weeks of recent political turmoil in Pakistan — that led to the ouster of former PM Imran Khan in a no-confidence vote in April — had made buyers more wary about expenditure.
Many of those who shop avoid buying more expensive products.
“Visitors are only buying low-priced goods from the markets and many buyers are confined to purchase only most needed articles,” Mir said.




Customers buy shoes ahead of Eid Al-Fitr in Karachi, Pakistan, on April 27, 2022. (AN Photo)

A significant drop in sales has been observed for branded products, especially for women.
“The sales performance, particularly ladies branded products sales, is comparatively low mainly due to the high inflation and low purchasing power of people,” Rana Tariq Mehboob, chairman of the Chainstore Association of Pakistan — a representative body of over 200 brands — told Arab News.
Pakistan is facing increasing inflationary pressure with a 12.7 percent annual inflation rate recorded in the month of March 2022 as compared with 12.24 percent in February 2022, which is driven mainly by higher prices of commodities in the international market, particularly of petroleum products.




Artificial jewelry is displayed at a shop in Karachi, Pakistan, on April 27, 2022. (AN Photo)

“The prices of local and imported goods and raw material and have increased manifold due to devaluation of the Pakistani rupee against dollar and petroleum products rate hikes,” Mehbood said.
Customers say what stops them from buying more is a sharp increase in prices.
“We are doing Eid shopping. Everything is available and fine, but the prices are more than last year,” one buyer in Karachi, Kanza Nasir, told Arab News.
Traders are aware that the sharp increase in prices is what keeps buyers at bay.
“People make two to three rounds before finally buying because they are unable to afford the goods at higher prices. Customers first buy for their children and then for themselves,” shoe seller Irshad Alam said.
Another trader, Shahryar Ahmed, added that he was not surprised their sales were much lower.
“A product that was available for Rs200 is now being sold at Rs 500,” he said. “That is why our sales have dropped to half.”


Pakistan reassures investors after Barrick announces review of Reko Diq project after attacks

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Pakistan reassures investors after Barrick announces review of Reko Diq project after attacks

  • Mining giant announced it would reassess all aspects of project after coordinated Jan. 30-31 assaults killed 58 in Balochistan
  • Copper-gold project’s development long overshadowed by decades-long separatist insurgency in remote province

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has assured foreign investors it has the “capacity and capability” to secure the multibillion-dollar Reko Diq copper-gold mine, Balochistan Chief Minister Sarfraz Bugti said on Monday after Canada’s Barrick Mining Corporation ordered a review of the project following deadly separatist attacks in the province last month.

The mining giant announced it would reassess all aspects of the project after coordinated Jan. 30-31 assaults by the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) killed 36 civilians and 22 security personnel across multiple districts of the remote southwestern province. Pakistani authorities say 216 militants were killed in follow-up operations.

The Reko Diq mine, one of the world’s largest undeveloped copper and gold deposits, is a cornerstone of Pakistan’s efforts to attract foreign investment and expand mineral exports after a prolonged economic crisis. Islamabad hopes the mines will generate $70 billion in free cash flow and $90 billion in operating cash flow. The project, expected to begin production in 2028, is jointly owned by Barrick Gold and the governments of Pakistan and Balochistan.

The project’s development, however, has repeatedly been overshadowed by security concerns in Balochistan, a sparsely populated province bordering Iran and Afghanistan that has faced a decades-long insurgency in which separatist groups target security forces, infrastructure and projects linked to foreign investment. Militants accuse the state of exploiting local resources without benefiting residents, an allegation the government denies.

“Of course, the government of Balochistan is concerned [about security], it’s not that they aren’t,” Bugti told Arab News in an interview in Islamabad.

“Barrick Gold has a very large investment and we have other international partners in that [Reko Diq mining project]. We want to assure them through your platform as well and also when our meetings will take place that we have the capacity and capability to protect our foreign investors.

“The state is intact, the government is intact. There is a functional government, there is a functional state in Balochistan.”

Bugti said authorities were redesigning security arrangements for the project, including raising a dedicated protection force in mineral-bearing areas and strengthening border controls. However, he acknowledged that attacks affected investor confidence.

“Yes, [attacks] do make a dent, when your country or province takes off [economically],” he said. “It does impact the perception.”

However, Bugti refused to describe the coordinated January attacks as a “security failure.”

“A security failure is when the [army’s] corps headquarters is captured ... when someone seizes control of the biggest cantonment in Quetta, or for that matter, captures our IG [Inspector-General of Police] headquarters, or the IG FC [Frontier Corps] headquarters, you call it a security failure,” the chief minister said. 

“I say it was a success of security forces that within hours, as I told you, other than Nushki, everything was clear.” 

The minister accused Pakistan’s neighbor and archival India of supporting insurgent groups in Balochistan, an allegation New Delhi has repeatedly denied.

“What evidence do you need? Kulbhushan Jadhav was not here to sell chickpeas. It is on record that he was an intelligence officer who came to support Baloch insurgents, and the way he was arrested highlighted this,” he said.

Jadhav is an Indian national arrested by Pakistan in 2016 and convicted by a military court on espionage charges. India disputes the allegations and challenged the case at the International Court of Justice, which ordered Pakistan to review the conviction but did not rule on guilt or innocence.

Ultimately, Bugti said long-term stability in Balochistan depended on pursuing economic development alongside security operations.

“See there is a development paradigm and the security paradigm. Both should be carried forward together,” he said. 

“My vision is that meritocracy and an anti-corruption drive are key to success in Balochistan.”