Escalation in political risks could ‘jeopardize’ positive outlook for Pakistan economy - finance ministry

A stockbroker monitors the latest share prices during a trading session at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) in Karachi on February 24, 2022. (AFP)
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Updated 29 March 2022
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Escalation in political risks could ‘jeopardize’ positive outlook for Pakistan economy - finance ministry

  • Opposition parties tabled no-trust motion against PM on Monday
  • Move comes as Pakistan is facing a recurring economic crisis

KARACHI: The Pakistani finance ministry has said in its outlook for March a further escalation in domestic political conditions in Pakistan could jeopardize a positive outlook for Pakistan’s economy and aggravate macroeconomic imbalances.

The opposition parties tabled a no-trust motion against the government of Prime Minister Imran Khan on Monday, a move that comes as Pakistan faces an enduring economic crisis, with Khan's government hoping the International Monetary Fund will bail it out with the release of the next tranche of a $6 billion rescue package to shore up dwindling foreign reserves.

With nearly 20 defections in Khan's ruling Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party and lack of certainty about support from some coalition partners, there are fears the PM will be left with less than 172 votes in parliament - a simple majority needed to hold on to power when the no-trust motion is put to a vote early next month.
 
In a bid to survive, the government announced on Monday it would give the post of chief minister of the country's largest province, Punjab, to one of its coalition partners, the Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid. But just hours later, another ruling coalition party said it was joining the opposition, which means it now has 168 votes.

“Domestic political conditions are building domestic risks,” the finance ministry said in its outlook for March 2022. “A further escalation of these risks could jeopardize the positive outlook for Pakistan’s economy and may also aggravate the macroeconomic imbalances.”

“The intensity of internal and external risks has still not been exactly realized which may adversely affect domestic economic activities,” the report added.

The threat of political turmoil in the nuclear-armed nation is growing as parliament is set on Thursday to begin debating the no-trust motion filed earlier this month by opposition parties. The vote is expected to take place within a week.


Pakistan orders four-day workweek, shuts schools to save fuel amid Middle East oil crisis

Updated 58 min 40 sec ago
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Pakistan orders four-day workweek, shuts schools to save fuel amid Middle East oil crisis

  • The development comes as ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran disrupt oil supplies in Strait of Hormuz, push prices past $119 a barrel
  • Islamabad bans government purchases, cuts fuel allocation for vehicles as well as workforce in public and private offices by 50 percent

ISLAMABAD: Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Monday announced austerity measures, including a four-day work week, cuts in government expenditures and closure of schools, to offset the impact of rising global oil prices due to an ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

Global fuel supply lines have been disrupted in the Strait of Hormuz, which supplies nearly a fourth of world oil consumption, after Tehran blocked it following United States-Israeli strikes on Iran and counterattacks against US interests in the Gulf region.

Oil prices surged more than 25 percent globally on Monday to $119.50 a barrel, the highest levels since mid-2022, as some major producers cut supplies and fears of prolonged shipping disruptions gripped the market due to the expanding US-Israeli war with Iran.

In his televised address on Sunday night, Sharif said global oil prices were expected to rise again in the coming days but vowed not to let the people bear their brunt, announcing austerity measures to lessen the impact of fuel price hikes.

“Fifty percent staff in public and private entities will work from home,” he announced, adding this would not be applicable to essential services. “Offices will remain open for four days a week. One-day additional off is being given to conserve oil, but it would not be applicable to banks.”

Sharif didn’t specify working days of the week and the government was likely to issue a notification in this regard.

He said a decrease of 50 percent was being made in fuel allocation for government vehicles immediately for the next two months, but they would not include ambulances and public buses.

“Cabinet members, advisers and special assistants will not draw salaries for the next two months, 25 percent salaries of parliamentarians are being deducted, two-day salaries of Grade 20 and above officers, or those who are paid Rs300,000 ($1,067) a month, are being deducted for public relief,” he said.

Similarly, there will be 20 percent reduction in public department expenses and a complete ban on the purchase of cars, furniture, air conditioners and other goods, according to the prime minister.

Foreign trips of ministers and other government officials will also be banned along with government dinners and iftar buffets, while teleconferences and online meetings will be given priority.

“All schools will be off for two weeks, starting from the end of this week, and all higher education institutions should immediately begin online classes,” he said.

Sharif’s comments were aired hours after Pakistani authorities said the country had “comfortable levels” of petroleum stocks and the supply chains were functioning smoothly, despite intensifying Middle East conflict.

Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik said three oil shipments were due to reach Pakistan this week, state media reported.

Meanwhile, Pakistan Navy (PN) launched ‘Operation Muhafiz-ul-Bahr’ to safeguard national energy shipments, the Pakistani military said on Monday, amid disruptions to critical sea lanes due to the conflict.

The navy is conducting escort operations in close coordination with the Pakistan National Shipping Corporation (PNSC), according to the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), the military’s media wing. It is fully cognizant of the prevailing maritime situation and is actively monitoring and controlling the movement of merchant vessels to ensure their safe and secure transit.

“With approximately 90 percent of Pakistan’s trade conducted via sea, the operation aims to ensure that vital sea routes remain safe, secure, and uninterrupted,” the ISPR said on Monday. “Currently, PN ships are escorting 2 x Merchant Vessels, one of which is scheduled to arrive Karachi today.”