Economists warn against inflation as Pakistan presents ‘mini budget’ to meet IMF conditions

Pakistan's finance minister Shaukat Tarin, front right, is seen at the National Assembly in Islamabad to present the supplementary finance bill on December 30, 2021. (Photo courtesy: @NAofPakistan/Twitter)
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Updated 30 December 2021
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Economists warn against inflation as Pakistan presents ‘mini budget’ to meet IMF conditions

  • Bill ends tax exemptions on nearly 150 items as prior action for revival of $6 billion IMF loan program
  • Government also tables bill to grant autonomy to the central bank to meet another IMF condition

KARACHI: Pakistani finance minister Shaukat Tarin on Thursday presented a much-awaited supplementary finance bill, popularly known as the mini-budget, ending tax exemptions on nearly 150 items as a prior action for the revival of a $6 billion loan program from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The executive board of the Fund will meet on January 12, 2022, to decide if it will revive the stalled loan package, approved in 2019 to rein in mounting debts and stave off a looming balance of payments crisis, in exchange for tough austerity measures.

The new finance bill will empower the government to level a uniform 17 percent General Sales Tax (GST) on goods that were taxed at 5% or 12% rates. The amendment will also enable the government to generate over Rs343 billion in additional revenue.  

“IMF wants [Pakistan] to tax all the items which are exempted,” Tarin said at a press conference after the budget session in the national assembly, which was disputed by opposition chanting and sloganeering.

The measures Pakistan has agreed to meet for the IMF would have a monetary impact of around Rs600 billion, including around Rs350 billion through tax exemption withdrawals and new tax imposition, Rs200 billion through cuts in development funds, and Rs50 billion though other adjustments.

Apart from the tax exemption withdrawals, the supplementary bill also proposes the imposition of new taxes on sectors which were earlier zero-rated.

Tarin ruled out widespread inflationary pressures due to the new measures, saying: “Only Rs2 billion worth of new tax were being levied that would not cause inflation.”  

The finance bill proposes income tax rate to be enhanced on mobile phone calls from 10% to 15%, replacing zero-rating on supplies of raw materials for imported milk with a 17% tax, and a 17% tax on bread prepared in bakeries, restaurants, food chains and shops, apart from the other measures.

The bill also proposes to increase sales tax on cars with engine capacity of more than 1,000cc to 17%. The measures now propose to increase tax on imported electric vehicles from 5% to 17%.

The finance minister said a Rs70 tax exemption had been withdrawn, mainly on luxury items.

“The impression that the common man would be burdened with new measures is baseless,” Tarin said.

The other condition of the IMF was to grant complete autonomy to the central bank through amendments in the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Amendment Bill 2021. The government also tabled the revised bill approved by the federal cabinet on Wednesday.  

But Tarin warned: “If we see that the State Bank is slipping out of our hands [after the autonomy] we can end the autonomy with a simple majority.”  

Tarin’s comment came after opposition politician accused the government of “selling” the country to the IMF.

"You're giving the control of State Bank to the IMF,” opposition politician Khawaja Asif said. “Don’t surrender Pakistan’s financial sovereignty.”
 
Economists say the bill will bring inflationary pressure and impede economic growth.

“The impact of the Finance Supplementary Bill 2021 will be highly inflationary and anti-growth,” senior economist Dr Ikram ul Haq told Arab News. “The government, instead of withdrawing exemption given to the rich, has decided to withdraw exemption of billions of items of daily use, causing further hardships for the weaker sections of society, especially fixed income groups.”

He added: ”High tax rates are detrimental for businesses.” 


US freezes immigrant visa processing for 75 countries, including Pakistan

Updated 15 January 2026
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US freezes immigrant visa processing for 75 countries, including Pakistan

  • Immigrant visas to be suspended from Jan 21, tourist visas unaffected
  • Move targets “public charge” concerns as Trump revives hard-line immigration rules

ISLAMABA: The United States will pause immigrant visa issuances for nationals of 75 countries, including Pakistan, from January 21, the State Department said on Thursday, as President Donald Trump presses ahead with a hard-line immigration agenda centered on financial self-sufficiency.

In an update published on its website, the State Department said it was conducting a comprehensive review of immigration policies to ensure that migrants from what it described as “high-risk” countries do not rely on public welfare in the United States or become a “public charge.”

“The State Department will pause immigrant visa processing from 75 countries whose migrants take welfare from the American people at unacceptable rates. The freeze will remain active until the US can ensure that new immigrants will not extract wealth from the American people,” the department said.

The pause applies specifically to immigrant visas, which are issued to people seeking permanent residence in the United States. The department said applicants from affected countries may still submit applications and attend interviews, but no immigrant visas will be issued during the suspension.

According to the State Department, the affected countries include Pakistan, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Iran, Iraq, Egypt, Nigeria, Russia, Somalia, Brazil, Thailand and dozens of others across Asia, Africa, the Middle East, Europe and Latin America.

The department said tourist and other non-immigrant visas are not affected, and that no previously issued immigrant visas have been revoked. Dual nationals applying with a valid passport from a country not on the list are exempt from the pause.

The State Department did not indicate how long the visa pause would remain in effect, saying it would continue until its review of screening and vetting procedures is completed.

The announcement underscores the breadth of the Trump administration’s renewed immigration crackdown. Since returning to office last year, Trump has revived and expanded enforcement of the “public charge” provision of US immigration law, which allows authorities to deny entry to applicants deemed likely to rely on public benefits.

During his previous term, Trump imposed sweeping travel restrictions on several Muslim-majority countries, a policy widely referred to as a “Muslim ban,” which was challenged in courts before a revised version was upheld by the Supreme Court and later rescinded under former president Joe Biden.

The visa freeze also comes amid an intensifying domestic enforcement push. US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has expanded operations nationwide, drawing scrutiny over its tactics. Last week, an ICE agent shot and killed Renee Good, a US citizen, during a federal operation in Minneapolis, sparking protests and renewed debate over immigration enforcement under the Trump administration.