Pakistani officials dismiss British claim Karachi to submerge in Arabian Sea in four decades

People gather on sea view during high tide of the Arabian Sea in Karachi on June 13, 2019. (AFP/ FILE)
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Updated 03 November 2021
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Pakistani officials dismiss British claim Karachi to submerge in Arabian Sea in four decades

  • Officials and experts maintain the British High Commission’s statement is not backed by scientific evidence
  • The director of the country’s meteorological department says the sea level has gone down in Pakistan’s coastal region

KARACHI: Pakistani officials and experts dismissed an international claim on Tuesday that Karachi would submerge in the Arabian Sea in the next 39 years due to the negative effects of climate change, saying the statement was not backed by any scientific evidence.
The British High Commission in Islamabad said on Saturday Pakistan’s seaside metropolis would completely submerge by 2060 if the current trajectory of rising sea levels continued.
Quoting experts, it said Pakistan was the eighth most vulnerable country in the world to climate change, adding the rising temperatures would cut down 36 percent of glaciers in the Hindu Kush and Himalayan mountain ranges.
The high commission said it was a critical situation for Pakistan that required immediate action.
While admitting that climate change was an urgent issue with serious implications for Karachi, however, Pakistani officials and experts said the statement that the city would soon be submerged was exaggerated and lacked scientific evidence.
“This claim has no scientific proof and it does not offer any reason why Karachi will get submerged in the sea,” Ameer Haider Laghari, director meteorological department, told Arab News.
He also challenged the claim that sea level along the Karachi coast was on the rise.
“If anything, we have witnessed in the last few decades that sea level near Karachi has gone down,” he maintained.
Leghari admitted the risk of a tsunami in Karachi could not be ruled out due to the presence of three seismic plates in the region, though he said even such a high tide was not likely to sink the city.
The World Meteorological Organization, a UN body on weather, climate and water, in its State of Climate Report 2021 said the rate of global sea level rise had “more than doubled to record high.”
It noted an increase of 4.4 millimeters per year from 2013 to 2021, saying it was “mainly due to melting glaciers and ice sheets.”
It added if this trend continued, it would have profound implications for everyone in the world.


However, environmental expert, Dr. Shahid Amjad, said the high commission’s claim seemed “far-fetched” given the current level of sea in the south of Karachi.
“As per the available data of the last 100 years, the sea level rise is two millimeters per annum. If water continues to rise at the same rate, it will be 120 millimeters in the next 60 years which is just 12 centimeters,” he explained, adding the sea erosion coupled with rising temperatures could cause sea expansion in Pakistan’s coastal areas.
“But Karachi is unlikely to be impacted,” he added.
 

 


Pakistan puts border districts on high alert amid Iran protests — official

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Pakistan puts border districts on high alert amid Iran protests — official

  • The development comes as Iranian authorities try to suppress protests over faltering economy, with over 2,600 killed
  • Militancy in Balochistan has declined following the return of nearly 1 million Afghans, the additional chief secretary says

QUETTA: Pakistan has heightened security along districts bordering Iran as violent protests continue to engulf several Iranian cities, a top official in Pakistan’s southwestern Balochistan province said on Thursday, with authorities stepping up vigilance to guard against potential spillover.

The development comes as Iranian authorities try to suppress protests, which began late last month over the country’s faltering economy and the collapse of its currency, with more than 2,600 killed in weeks of violence in the Islamic republic.

The clampdown on demonstrations, the worst since the country’s 1979 Islamic revolution, has drawn threats from the United States (US) of a military intervention on behalf of the protesters, raising fears of further tensions in an already volatile region.

Pakistan, which shares a 909-kilometer-long border with Iran in its southwest, has said that it is closely monitoring the situation in the neighboring country and advised its citizens to keep essential travel documents with them amid the unrest.

“The federal government is monitoring the situation regarding what is happening in Iran and the provincial government is in touch with the federal government,” Hamza Shafqaat, an additional chief secretary at the Balochistan Home Department, told

Arab News in an exclusive interview on Thursday.

“As far as the law and order is concerned in all bordering districts with Iran, we are on high alert and as of now, the situation is very normal and peaceful at the border.”

Asked whether Islamabad had suspended cross-border movement and trade with Iran, Shafqaat said trade was ongoing, but movement of tourists and pilgrims had been stopped.

“There were few students stuck in Iran, they were evacuated, and they reached Gwadar,” he said. “Around 200 students are being shifted to their home districts.”

SITUATION ON PAKISTAN-AFGHANISTAN BORDER

Pakistan’s Balochistan province has long been the site of an insurgency by ethnic Baloch separatists and religiously motivated groups like the Tehreek e Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Besides Iran, the province shares more around 1,000-kilometer porous border with Afghanistan.

Islamabad has frequently accused Afghanistan of allowing its soil for attacks against Pakistan, an allegation denied by Kabul. In Oct., Pakistan and Afghanistan engaged in worst border clashes in decades over a surge in militancy in Pakistan. While the neighbors agreed to a ceasefire in Doha that month, relations between them remain tensed.

Asked about the government’s measures to secure the border with Afghanistan, Shafqaat said militancy in the region had declined following the return of nearly 1 million Afghan nationals as part of a repatriation drive Islamabad announced in late 2023.

“There is news that some of them keep on coming back from one border post or some other areas because we share a porous border and it is very difficult to man every inch of this border,” he said.

“On any intervention from the Afghanistan side, our security agencies which are deputed at the border are taking daily actions.”

LAW AND ORDER CHALLENGE

Balochistan witnessed 167 bomb blasts among over 900 militant attacks in 2025, which killed more than 400 people, according to the provincial government’s annual law and order report. But officials say the law-and-order situation had improved as compared to the previous year.

“More than 720 terrorists were killed in 2025 which is a higher number of operations against terrorists in many decades, while over a hundred terrorists were detained by law enforcement agencies in 90,000-plus security operations in Balochistan,” Shafqaat said.

The provincial government often suspended mobile Internet service in the southwestern province on various occasions last year, aimed at ensuring security in Balochistan.

“With that step, I am sure we were able to secure hundreds of lives,” Shafqaat said, adding it was only suspended in certain areas for less than 25 days last year.

“The Internet service through wireless routers remained open for the people in the entire year, we closed mobile Internet only for people on the roads because the government understands the difficulties of students and business community hence we are trying to reduce the closure of mobile Internet.”