Saudi Budget 2021 Commentary: ‘Saudi private sector will play a prominent role’

Saudi Arabia’s private sector will play a prominent role in 2021 and beyond, according to Washington-based economist Albara’a Alwazir. (Shutterstock/File Photo)
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Updated 17 December 2020
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Saudi Budget 2021 Commentary: ‘Saudi private sector will play a prominent role’

  • Economist believes discipline at which Saudi government plans to execute its debt strategy will see debt to GDP gradually decrease

WASHINGTON DC: Saudi Arabia’s private sector will play a prominent role in 2021 and beyond, Albara’a Alwazir, economist at the US-Saudi Business Council (USSBC) told Arab News.

“The Kingdom has created strong fiscal buffers to withstand global shocks, as was witnessed in 2020 with the coronavirus pandemic. While it is pursuing a balanced financing policy, its renewed commitment to rely on domestic debt issuances in lieu of substantial drawdowns of its reserves will promote the sophistication of its debt market, while still remaining well below its debt ceiling of 50 percent of GDP,” he said following the Kingdom’s budget announcement on Tuesday.

“Furthermore, the discipline at which the government plans to execute its debt strategy will see its debt to GDP gradually decrease to only 4.9 percent of GDP in 2021 and further reduced to 0.4 percent of GDP by 2023,” he added.

"A noteworthy development is the reduction of capital expenditures from SR137 billion ($36.53 billion) in 2020 to SR101 billion in 2021, a 26 percent decrease. While the decline may seem considerable at first glance, the government noted that heavy investments in prior years to develop its infrastructure capabilities warranted a slowdown in its own spending while allowing the private sector to continue its growing involvement in the development of the country.

“The pandemic caused delays to a number of VRP (Vision Realization Programs) spending plans in 2020, yet the government is keen on delivering on these initiatives to deliver on its Vision 2030 mandate. The private sector will play a prominent role in developing the economy coupled with significant support from the Public Investment Fund, which has already committed SR300 billion to the domestic economy for 2021 and 2022,” he said.


Aramco CEO sees ‘catastrophic consequences’ for oil if shipping doesn’t resume in Strait of Hormuz

Updated 49 min 38 sec ago
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Aramco CEO sees ‘catastrophic consequences’ for oil if shipping doesn’t resume in Strait of Hormuz

DUBAI: Saudi Arabia’s Aramco , the world’s top oil exporter, said on Tuesday that there would be “catastrophic consequences” for the world’s oil markets if the Iran war continues to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

The disruption has not only upended the shipping and insurance sectors but ‌also promises to ‌have drastic domino effects on ​aviation, ‌agriculture, ⁠automotive and ​other industries, ⁠Aramco CEO Amin Nasser told reporters on an earnings call.

Nasser noted global inventories of oil were at a five-year low and said the crisis will lead to drawdowns at a faster rate, adding that it was critical that shipping in the strait ⁠resumed.

“There would be catastrophic consequences for ‌the world’s oil markets and ‌the longer the disruption goes ​on, and the more drastic ‌the consequences for the global economy,” he ‌said.

Nasser also said a small fire from an attack last week on Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery, its largest domestically, was quickly extinguished and brought under control, adding that ‌the refinery was in the process of being restarted.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said on Tuesday ⁠they ⁠would not allow “one liter of oil” to be shipped from the Middle East if US and Israeli attacks continue, prompting a warning from President Donald Trump that the US would hit Iran much harder if it blocked exports from the vital energy-producing region.

His comments come after Aramco reported a 12 percent drop in annual profit mainly due to lower crude prices. It also announced it would repurchase ​up to $3 billion worth ​of shares in its first-ever buyback.