OPEC+ oil producers to cut output by 9.7m barrels

Saudi Arabia's energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman chaired the OPEC+ meeting on Sunday. (Saudi Energy Ministry)
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Updated 13 April 2020
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OPEC+ oil producers to cut output by 9.7m barrels

  • OPEC+ states led by Saudi Arabia, Russia move to restore stability
  • Trump thanks King Salman, Vladimir Putin for 'great deal'

DUBAI: Big oil producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed on Sunday to cut output by 9.7 million barrels a day as energy markets grapple with the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic.

The biggest oil deal in history was clinched after three days of hard bargaining, two “virtual” meetings by video conference and a special meeting of G20 energy ministers.

 

The tipping point was a compromise by OPEC+ — the alliance of OPEC members and non-OPEC producers — to accommodate Mexico, which had resisted pressure to cut output by 400,000 barrels a day. US President Donald Trump intervened to ease through the special Mexico terms, under which it will reduce output by much less than other OPEC+ members.  

Trump thanked King Salman and President Vladimir Putin for a "great" deal.

"The big Oil Deal with OPEC Plus is done," he said. "This will save hundreds of thousands of energy jobs in the United States."

Saudi Arabia’s energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, who chaired the meeting, said the cuts would amount to 12.5 million barrels per day, because of higher output in April from Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait.

"I am honored to be a party of this historic moment and historic agreement," Prince Abdulaziz told Reuters.

The UAE's energy minister Suhail Al-Mazrouei said the Emirates is committed to reducing its oli production from the current level of 4.1 million barrels a day.

The production cuts will take about 10 percent of global oil output off the market from May 1. Global demand for crude is down by at least 20 percent.

On Tuesday, Saudi Aramco will release its “official selling prices” for crude in May, a key indicator of how the Kingdom thinks the market will go. 

Aramco agreed to cut output by 23 percent under the OPEC+ deal, and delegates at the virtual conference said there could be further reductions — about 3.5 million barrels — from other big producers such as the US, Canada and Norway, whose output is in decline because of the pandemic.

After the agreement was reached, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: “The whole world needs it. That’s because the global economy will be on the brink of uncontrolled chaos in prices, on energy supplies, unless there is such a deal.”

Leonid Fedun, head of one of Russia’s big oil companies Lukoil, said he expected the oil price to remain in the $30-$40 range after the deal. Nigeria’s energy minister, Emmanuel Kachikwu, said he hoped for a rise of at least $15 on oil’s closing price last week of $32.

Oil producers will be waiting anxiously to see how news of the cuts is received by crude markets when they open after a Western holiday weekend and the prolonged OPEC+ and G20 talks.

Matt Stanley, oil broker at Starfuels in Dubai, said: “Whatever way the 10 million barrel cut is finally agreed, it is not enough to balance the markets.”


Saudi Arabia’s economy to grow by 4.5% in 2026 on non-oil gains, report says 

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Saudi Arabia’s economy to grow by 4.5% in 2026 on non-oil gains, report says 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product is expected to expand by 4.5 percent in 2026, outperforming the global growth average of 3.4 percent, according to a Standard Chartered Global Research analysis. 

In its latest report, the firm said the robust outlook will be driven by sustained momentum in both the Kingdom’s hydrocarbon and non-oil sectors. 

The forecast places the Kingdom’s growth above that of many major economies and broadly aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s October outlook, which projects Saudi Arabia’s GDP to expand by about 4 percent in both 2025 and 2026. 

Mazen Bunyan, CEO of Standard Chartered, Saudi Arabia, said: “While the 2026 growth outlook for Saudi Arabia is strong, it comes with elevated downside risks to oil prices, a sector set to make a comeback in the next year.”  

He added: “In this context, continued non-oil sector growth will ensure sustained financial stability whilst diversifying growth sources across the Kingdom.” 

Strengthening the non-oil sector is a key objective of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 agenda, as the Kingdom continues to reduce its long-standing reliance on crude revenues. 

According to the report, Saudi Arabia’s hydrocarbon sector returned to growth this year after OPEC+ eased production cuts that had been in place since 2023. 

The non-oil sector is also expected to expand steadily at 4.5 percent, supported by investment and consumption, and will continue to underpin economic growth. 

Amid projections for twin deficits between 2026 and 2028, Standard Chartered expects Saudi Arabia’s public debt-to-GDP ratio to rise to 36 percent by the end of 2026, from 26 percent at the end of 2024, bringing it closer to the Kingdom’s self-imposed ceiling of 40 percent. 

“Even so, Standard Chartered Global Research believes that recent fiscal deficits have not been a setback, but rather a catalyst for structural macroeconomic transformation,” said the report. 

It added that policymakers are expected to continue diversifying funding sources in 2026, seeking to attract greater foreign direct investment alongside increased foreign participation in domestic debt markets. 

“Increased capital flows are likely to support the Kingdom’s capital market momentum, notably thanks to greater inclusion in leading investment indices,” added the report.