Oil falls below $57 on virus impact and OPEC+ delay

An OPEC+ meeting in March is expected to consider further supply cuts in a bid to support prices that have been hit hard by weakening global demand caused by China’s coronavirus epidemic. (Reuters)
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Updated 19 February 2020
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Oil falls below $57 on virus impact and OPEC+ delay

  • Contagion ‘is spooking market players,’ analysts say after Asian shares fall and Apple issues warning

LONDON: Oil fell below $57 a barrel on Tuesday, pressured by concerns over the impact on crude demand from the coronavirus outbreak in China and a lack of further action by OPEC and its allies to support the market.

Forecasters including the International Energy Agency (IEA) have cut 2020 oil demand estimates because of the virus. Though new cases in mainland China have dipped, global experts say it is too early to judge if the outbreak is being contained.

Brent crude was down 82 cents at $56.85 a barrel in mid-afternoon trade after rallying in the previous five sessions. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 70 cents to $51.35.

“Risk aversion has returned to the markets,” said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch.

“OPEC+ has shown no sign yet of reacting to the virus-related slump in demand by making additional production cuts.”

The virus is having a wider impact on companies and financial markets. Asian shares fell and Wall Street was poised to retreat on Tuesday after Apple said it would miss quarterly revenue guidance owing to weakened demand in China.

“This has spooked market players and triggered a sharp pullback in risk assets,” said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

The IEA last week said that first-quarter oil demand is likely to fall by 435,000 barrels per day (bpd) from the same period last year in the first quarterly decline since the financial crisis in 2009.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia, have been considering further production cuts to tighten supply and support prices.

The group, known as OPEC+, has a pact to cut oil output by 1.7 million bpd until the end of March.

The next OPEC+ meeting next month is set to consider an advisory panel’s recommendation to cut supply by a further 600,000 bpd. Talks on holding an earlier meeting in February appear to have made no progress, OPEC sources said.

As well as OPEC+ voluntary curbs, support for prices has come from involuntary losses in Libya, where output has collapsed since Jan. 18 because of a blockade of ports and oilfields.


Egypt defies African FDI trend with inflows of $11bn in 2025: UNCTAD 

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Egypt defies African FDI trend with inflows of $11bn in 2025: UNCTAD 

RIYADH: Egypt emerged as Africa’s top destination for foreign direct investment in 2025, attracting an estimated $11 billion in inflows in a year marked by declining investment across the continent. 

According to UNCTAD’s latest Global Investment Trends Monitor, the North African country ranked ahead of other major African economies despite a sharp regional slowdown. 

The performance underscores Egypt’s relative resilience at a time when foreign investment into Africa has normalized following an unusually strong 2024, which UNCTAD said was inflated by a single large project. As a result, the 2025 data reflects a return to more typical investment levels across the continent. 

“Among African economies, inflows to Angola reached an estimated $3 billion, marking a return to positive values after nine consecutive years of net divestments,” the report stated. 

It added: “Egypt, with inflows of $11 billion, remained the largest FDI host country in Africa.”  

While Egypt solidified its position as Africa’s leading FDI host, other notable movements on the continent included Mozambique, where inflows surged 80 percent to $6 billion, driven by renewed activity in major liquified natural gas projects.  

Angola also saw a positive shift, recording an estimated $3 billion in FDI after nine consecutive years of net divestments. 

UNCTAD noted that Egypt’s strength extended beyond headline inflows, with the country also contributing to an increase in greenfield investment activity across Africa. While the number of greenfield projects fell globally and across most lower-income economies, Africa recorded a 5 percent increase in project numbers in 2025, supported in part by growth in Egypt and Côte d’Ivoire. 

Globally, FDI flows rose by 14 percent in 2025 to approximately $1.6 trillion, though growth was heavily concentrated in developed economies, which saw a 43 percent increase.  

In contrast, flows to developing economies declined by 2 percent, with the least developed countries particularly affected; three-quarters experienced stagnant or falling investment. 

The report highlighted that new project announcements remained weak globally amid elevated policy uncertainty, with international project finance declining for the fourth consecutive year.  

Looking ahead, UNCTAD warned that geopolitical tensions, regional conflicts, and economic fragmentation could continue to suppress real investment activity in 2026, even as financing conditions are expected to ease.  

For Africa, sustaining FDI inflows will require navigating persistent challenges such as financing constraints, risk perceptions, and structural vulnerabilities.