Pakistan expects surge in Malaysian palm oil imports

Malaysia may expand its palm oil trade with Pakistan following controls imposed by the Indian government. (AFP/ File Photo)
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Updated 16 January 2020
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Pakistan expects surge in Malaysian palm oil imports

  • Pakistan was Malaysia’s third top importer, buying 1.09 metric tons last year
  • Last week, Malaysian industry minister was on an official visit in Karachi

KARACHI: Pakistan expects to increase its palm oil imports from Malaysia, following restrictions placed by India, the world’s largest edible oil importer, after Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad criticized its citizenship laws and Kashmir lockdown.

While last year’s international prices of palm oil increased by 36 percent, this year “rumors that India is going to ban the imports led to a decrease of 5 percent so far,” Ahsan Mehanti, commodity analysts and chief executive of Arif Habib Corporation, told Arab News.

Pakistan imports palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, which contribute around 84 percent of the commodity’s global production.

India is the world’s biggest palm oil importer. In 2019, its palm oil imports from Malaysia were nearly 4.41 million metric tons. Pakistan was Malaysia’s third top importer, buying 1.09 million metric tons last year.
According to Malaysian Palm Oil Council data, Malaysia exported 18.47 million metric tons last year.

Last week, India’s Ministry of Commerce announced general restrictions on palm oil imports.

While the controls are not officially country-specific, it has been rumored that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government had unofficially requested palm oil refiners and traders forgo Malaysian palm oil, following a diplomatic spat triggered by Mahathir’s public criticism of India’s lockdown of Kashmir and its controversial Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA), which is widely seen as anti-Muslim.

Reuters news agency reported that Indian importers have effectively stopped all palm oil purchases from Malaysia after the government privately urged them to boycott its product. 

“If India effectively walks out of the Malaysian palm oil market, the global supply market would be depressed and the prices may further decline. Pakistan will have an opportunity to increase its imports at a relatively low price,” Mehanti said.
 In a bid to mitigate the potential loss resulting from the Indian controls, Malaysian officials are trying to sell more palm oil to other buyers in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.

Last week, Malaysian Minister for Primary Industries, Teresa Kok Suh Sim, attended a conference on edible oil in Karachi and informed the participants that demand for palm oil in Pakistan “has been increasing at a rate of 4.5 percent every year for the past seven years,” mainly due to rising population, higher incomes and increased consumer spending.
Pakistan’s palm oil imports were 3.15 million tons worth $1.84 billion during the last fiscal year FY2019, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics PBS.

Palm oil has several applications, ranging from food to cosmetics, and is also a cheaper source of biofuel.
 


Pakistan cuts key rate by 50 bps to 10.5% in surprise move after holding for four meetings

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Pakistan cuts key rate by 50 bps to 10.5% in surprise move after holding for four meetings

  • An IMF staff report last week warned against premature easing, with analysts expecting SBP to hold the policy rate
  • Inflation remains within the bank’s target band, but analysts expect price pressures to rise later in the fiscal year

KARACHI: Pakistan’s central bank cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 10.5 percent on Monday, the bank said on its website, breaking a hold on the rate for four meetings in a move that surprised analysts and came despite IMF warnings to avoid premature easing.

All 12 analysts in a Reuters poll had expected the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to hold the policy rate at 11 percent.

Monday’s reduction takes the total easing since rates peaked at 22 percent to 1,150 basis points, after the SBP delivered 1,100 bps of cuts between June 2024 and May 2025 and then held the rate steady for four meetings before Monday’s move.

Inflation edged down to 6.1 percent in November from 6.2 percent in October, within the SBP’s 5 percent–7 percent target band, with analysts expecting it to rise again later in FY26 as base effects fade and food and transport prices stay volatile.

An IMF staff report last week warned against premature easing, calling for policy to remain data-dependent to anchor expectations and rebuild external buffers, even as Pakistan received a $1.2 billion disbursement under its loan program.