KARACHI: Pakistan’s external balance of payments continues to haunt Prime Minister Imran Khan as he struggles to cut down the current account deficit which swelled by 60 percent in September this year, data released by the State Bank of Pakistan on Monday showed.
Pakistan suffered $592 million in losses as part of its current account deficit in August which jumped to $952 million in September, showing an increase of $360 million or 60.8 percent.
However, the deficit in the first quarter – from July to September 2018-19 – of the current fiscal year registered a slight decline to $3.665 billion from $3.761 billion during the same period last year. The lower deficit is primarily due to a 13.1 percent increase in remittances.
The July- September current account deficit is 4.7 percent of the GDP as compared to the 4.6 percent recorded a year ago.
Pakistan’s Finance Minister Asad Umar, on Saturday said he expected the balance of payment situation to improve between August and September.
“The Finance Minister said two days before that it was improving. It shows that his team and staff at Ministry of Finance is not feeding him the correct position,” Dr. Ikram Ul Haq, an expert on economic and legal matters, told Arab News.
The current account deficit is increasing due to increasing imports and insufficient exports. The country’s balance of trade deficit was recorded at $7.8 billion in the first quarter of the current fiscal year against $7.3 billion last year.
During the first quarter of this year, the country’s imports were recorded at $13.8 billion depicting an increase of 6 percent during the same period last year, mainly due to higher petroleum imports. Exports during the period increased by 3.6 percent to $5.9 billion due to higher textile and food exports.
Analyzing the data, Dr. Haq said: “The enhancement of customs duty and regulatory duty on various imported items alone cannot reduce balance of payment situation. The outflows for debt servicing, duty free machinery and inelastic items like petroleum products etc cannot be stopped. We need inflows as foreign direct investments FDIs to reduce the gap.”
During the recent visit of officials from the Pakistan stock exchange, Umar had said that the economy was not in an alarming situation as depicted by the media.
On Monday, stock market investors expressed mixed reactions to Umar’s assurances that the government had the economic situation of the country under control, with the share markets down by 85 points.
“Stocks closed lower on investor concerns for weak economic outlook amid dismal data for the current account deficit for Jul-Sep 2018 at $3.6 billion. Government concerns over IMF [International Monetary Fund] conditions for bailout package, likely raise in power tariff and likely surge in interest rates and further rupee depreciation and uncertainty over corporate earnings outlook at PSX played a catalyst role in bearish close,” Ahsan Mehanti, Chief Executive of Arif Habib Group, said.
The government has taken measures, including the imposition of import duty on some goods, to discourage imports and focus on exports instead.
Facing imbalances on external payment accounts, the government formally requested the IMF for a bailout program recently. Though no official word is available on the deal or the amount requested by Pakistan, Umar had said earlier that “the government is facing a $12 billion external financing gap.”
Pakistan’s current account deficit up by 60%
Pakistan’s current account deficit up by 60%
- Imports recorded at $13.8bn and exports at $5.9bn
- Stock market elicits mixed responses to finance minister’s comments
Silver crosses $77 mark while gold, platinum stretch record highs
- Spot silver touched an all-time high of $77.40 earlier today, marking a 167% year-to-date surge driven by supply deficits
- Spot platinum rose 9.8% to $2,437.72 per ounce, while palladium surged 14 percent to $1,927.81, its highest level in over 3 years
Silver breached the $77 mark for the first time on Friday, while gold and platinum hit record highs, buoyed by expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical tensions that fueled safe-haven demand.
Spot silver jumped 7.5% to $77.30 per ounce, as of 1:53 p.m. ET (1853 GMT), after touching an all-time high of $77.40 earlier today, marking a 167% year-to-date surge driven by supply deficits, its designation as a US critical mineral, and strong investment inflows.
Spot gold was up 1.2% at $4,531.41 per ounce, after hitting a record $4,549.71 earlier. US gold futures for February delivery settled 1.1% higher at $4,552.70.
“Expectations for further Fed easing in 2026, a weak dollar and heightened geopolitical tensions are driving volatility in thin markets. While there is some risk of profit-taking before the year-end, the trend remains strong,” said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.
Markets are anticipating two rate cuts in 2026, with the first likely around mid-year amid speculation that US President Donald Trump could name a dovish Fed chair, reinforcing expectations for a more accommodative monetary stance.
The US dollar index was on track for a weekly decline, enhancing the appeal of dollar-priced gold for overseas buyers.
On the geopolitical front, the US carried out airstrikes against Daesh militants in northwest Nigeria, Trump said on Thursday.
“$80 in silver is within reach by year-end. For gold, the next objective is $4,686.61, with $5,000 likely in the first half of next year,” Grant added.
Gold remains poised for its strongest annual gain since 1979, underpinned by Fed policy easing, central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and ongoing de-dollarization trends.
On the physical demand side, gold discounts in India widened to their highest in more than six months this week as a relentless price rally curbed retail buying, while discounts in China narrowed sharply from last week’s five-year highs.
Elsewhere, spot platinum rose 9.8% to $2,437.72 per ounce, having earlier hit a record high of $2,454.12 while palladium surged 14% to $1,927.81, its highest level in more than three years.
All precious metals logged weekly gains, with platinum recording its strongest weekly rise on record.









