Argentina, IMF agree accelerated loan payout

Doubts over Argentina’s ability to repay heavy government borrowing have grown. (AP)
Updated 30 August 2018
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Argentina, IMF agree accelerated loan payout

  • MF chief Christine Lagarde said the Washington-based lender would look at speeding up payments of the bank’s $50 billion loan after talks with Macri earlier Wednesday
  • The Argentine peso has lost more than 40 percent of its value against the dollar this year

BUENOS AIRES: Argentina’s President Mauricio Macri said Wednesday that the International Monetary Fund has agreed to accelerate funding in support of his government’s austerity program, but the move did little to calm the market as the country’s currency came under renewed pressure.
IMF chief Christine Lagarde said the Washington-based lender would look at speeding up payments of the bank’s $50 billion loan after talks with Macri earlier Wednesday.
The IMF approved the $50 billion, three-year standby loan in June.
Lagarde said the IMF would work to strengthen its arrangement with Argentina and “re-examine the phasing of the financial program.”
The “more adverse international market conditions” battering Argentina’s economy “had not been fully anticipated,” she admitted in a statement.
Macri called for the early release of the funds in a phone call with Lagarde on Wednesday.
It came amid heightened volatility in Argentina’s financial and currency markets, which have been battered by uncertainty over inflation, an economic downturn and budget deficits.
The Argentine peso has lost more than 40 percent of its value against the dollar this year. Inflation is projected to surpass 30 percent by the end of 2018.
And the peso continued its decline Wednesday, plummeting 6.99 percent through the day to fall to 34.48 to the dollar by the close.
Macri had sought to soothe the turbulence in a statement before markets opened, assuring Argentines that help is on the way.
“Over the past week, we have had new expressions of lack of confidence in the markets, especially over our ability to obtain financing for 2019,” Macri acknowledged.
He said the IMF would provide “all the funds necessary to guarantee the fulfillment of the financial program next year.”
In return for an accelerated loan payment, the government has committed to reducing its budget deficit to 2.7 percent this year, from 3.9 percent in 2017, and to 1.3 percent of GDP next year.
Doubts over Argentina’s ability to repay heavy government borrowing have grown and analysts said the move reflected growing desperation in Macri’s center-right government.
“The announcement was vague and was made by the president, which has its risks,” said analyst Lorenzo Sigaut of consultants Ecolatina, who said it would have been more convincing if the announcement had been made by the economy minister.
Overall doubts of an Argentine default on borrowings had been assuaged “only until Macri’s term ends (in December next year) but as of 2020, they remain latent.”
“The dollarization of assets is fueled internally by Argentines’ distrust of the peso, because the government has promised much on the economy but hasn’t delivered,” said Sigaut.
Part of the $50 billion loan is to be allocated to support the budget, and the rest to the country’s central bank to shore up the peso over a three-year period.
The first $15 billion tranche has already been released.
Economist Matias Carugati said there was a lack of information coming from the government to calm the markets.
“We know that the IMF is advancing money to cover us next year, but how much will they advance us and under what conditions?” he asked.
He maintained however that “the risk of a default is exaggerated.”
“Argentina does not have a solvency problem, but more a short-term liquidity issue. It’s urgent to achieve financial calm and then see how to repair the damage.”
The economy contracted 6.7 percent in June, the third month in a row of negative growth, and the annual growth rate was a negative 0.6 percent.


Copper slips as subdued demand, high inventories weigh

Updated 10 sec ago
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Copper slips as subdued demand, high inventories weigh

LONDON: Copper fell on Thursday, giving up some gains from the previous session as rising inventories and subdued ​demand due to the holiday in top metals consumer China weighed on prices.

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange edged down 0.7 percent to $12,816 a metric tonne as of 1:10 p.m. Saudi time, after a 2.3 percent jump on Wednesday.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange is closed until February 23 for Lunar New Year, ‌with Chinese traders ‌largely out of the market.

“It’s ​really ‌difficult ⁠to ​read too ⁠much into the price action this week,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. “We need to get China back and see what happens then, both on the speculative and also on the physical demand in the following weeks.”

The dollar dipped ⁠but held above its recent lows after minutes ‌from the US ‌Federal Reserve showed policymakers did not seem ​to be in a ‌rush to cut interest rates and that ‌several were open to hikes if inflation proved sticky.

A weaker US dollar makes greenback-priced metals more affordable for holders of other currencies.

Copper stocks in LME-approved warehouses meanwhile increased by another ‌925 tonnes to 225,575 tonnes, the highest since March.

While high stocks were ⁠weighing on ⁠prices, copper was being propped up by technicals, Hansen explained. “Since last August, every time we have come down the 50-day moving average has been giving support,” he said, adding that the support level was currently at $12,670.

In other metals, zinc fell 0.3 percent to $3,342.50 a tonne and aluminum shed 0.7 percent to $3,067, after breaking a four-day losing streak on Wednesday. Lead edged up 0.1 percent to $1,965, nickel nudged up 0.6 percent to $17,375 and ​tin was up 0.5 percent ​at $46,120.