OPEC moves toward raising oil supply as Iran softens stance

Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh, above, has said that if OPEC returned to regular compliance, the group would raise output by around 460,000 barrels per day. (Reuters)
Updated 22 June 2018
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OPEC moves toward raising oil supply as Iran softens stance

  • Iran, OPEC’s third-largest producer, has so far been the main barrier to a deal as it called on OPEC to reject pressure from US President Donald Trump to pump more oil
  • OPEC and its allies have since last year been participating in a pact to cut output by 1.8 million bpd

VIENNA: OPEC moved closer on Friday toward boosting oil output as its leader Saudi Arabia appeared to have persuaded arch-rival Iran to cooperate, after major consumers warned of a supply shortage.

Saudi Arabia and non-OPEC Russia have said a production increase of about 1 million barrels per day (bpd) or around 1 percent of global supply had become a near-consensus proposal for the group and its allies.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is gathering in Vienna amid calls from the United States, China and India to cool down the price of crude and prevent an oil deficit that would hurt the global economy.

OPEC in theory needs the agreement of all members to clinch a deal but has in the past agreed production pacts without Iran, which has criticized the idea of raising supply as it faces export-crippling US sanctions.

“We are cooking something,” Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh told reporters after meeting Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih before the OPEC talks.

Iran, OPEC’s third-largest producer, has so far been the main barrier to a deal as it called on OPEC to reject pressure from US President Donald Trump to pump more oil.

Trump imposed fresh sanctions on Tehran in May and market watchers expect Iran’s output to drop by a third by the end of 2018. That means the country has little to gain from a deal to raise OPEC output, unlike top oil exporter Saudi Arabia.

Falih said the overwhelming majority of producers had recommended raising output by 1 million bpd, gradually and on a pro-rata basis.

OPEC and its allies have since last year been participating in a pact to cut output by 1.8 million bpd. The measure has helped rebalance the market in the past 18 months and lifted oil to around $74 per barrel from as low as $27 in 2016.

But unexpected outages in Venezuela, Libya and Angola have effectively brought supply cuts to around 2.8 million bpd in recent months.

Brent oil prices were up 1.8 percent on Friday.

OPEC has a history of difficult meetings as well as clashes between Iran and Saudi Arabia.

In 2000, then-US President Bill Clinton’s energy secretary, Bill Richardson, phoned Ali Al-Naimi, the Saudi oil minister at the time, during an OPEC meeting to ask for more oil.

The move infuriated Iran, and Zanganeh refused to sign up to the meeting’s decision to raise output. The dispute was settled by the time of the next OPEC talks.

The current standoff was partially triggered by the United States, with Trump calling directly on OPEC to raise output.

Falih has warned the world could face a supply deficit of up to 1.8 million bpd in the second half of 2018 and that OPEC’s responsibility was to address consumers’ worries.

“We want to prevent the shortage and the squeeze that we saw in 2007-2008,” Falih said, referring to a time when oil rallied close to $150 per barrel.

Earlier this week, Zanganeh left the door open for a deal, saying OPEC members that had overdelivered on cuts in recent months should comply with agreed quotas. That would effectively mean a modest boost from producers such as Saudi Arabia that have voluntarily cut more deeply than planned.

Zanganeh has said that if OPEC returned to regular compliance, the group would raise output by around 460,000 bpd.

On Friday, Zanganeh said OPEC would change the structure of the current deal, but declined to elaborate.

Falih also said the real increase would be smaller than the nominal gain of 1 million bpd, meaning a compromise with Iran remained possible. He said OPEC could meet again in September to adjust the deal.

OPEC sources also said Iran had demanded that US sanctions be mentioned in the group’s post-meeting communique, as Tehran has blamed US measures for the recent rise in oil prices.

The United States, which rivals Russia and Saudi Arabia for the position of world No.1 oil producer, is not participating in the current supply pact.


Canada deepens investment ties with Qatar, expands economic engagement with Egypt 

Updated 12 sec ago
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Canada deepens investment ties with Qatar, expands economic engagement with Egypt 

RIYADH: Canada and Qatar moved to formalize a more in-depth and investment-focused partnership during an official visit by the country’s Prime Minister Mark Carney to Doha.

The visit was the first by a sitting Canadian leader, with both governments agreeing to elevate bilateral ties through new economic, security, and financial frameworks. 

At the center of the meeting was an agreement to launch a foreign ministers–level strategic dialogue and advance a pipeline of trade, investment, and defense cooperation initiatives aligned with Canada’s diversification priorities and Qatar National Vision 2030. 

Several memorandums of understanding were signed, including accords on joint economic cooperation, information technology, and security collaboration for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which Canada will co-host. 

The visit underscored the rapid expansion of Qatar–Canada relations, which have gained momentum following high-level exchanges in recent years, including a 2024 visit by Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani to Ottawa. 

Both sides emphasized trade and investment as a central pillar of the relationship, with Qatar committing to significant strategic investments in Canadian nation-building projects and the North American nation pledging to send a delegation of investors, including major pension funds, to explore opportunities in Qatar. 

“Qatar is an effective, expansive, and increasing diplomatic force in the world today. They are a critical partner to Canada in many shared pursuits of peace and stability, from Ukraine to the Middle East,” Carney said. 

“It is a relationship forged over many years by profound acts of friendship, including the Qataris’ effort to evacuate more than 200 Canadians from Afghanistan in 2021. Now we’re elevating our relationship — with an ambitious, new strategic partnership across trade, commerce, investment, AI, and defense — to deliver greater stability, security, and prosperity for our peoples,” he added. 

As part of the economic agenda, the two governments agreed to conclude negotiations on a Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement by summer 2026 and to begin talks on a Double Taxation Agreement. 

They also committed to expanding bilateral air services and establishing a Joint Economic Commission to support cooperation across sectors, including mining, agriculture, telecommunications, transportation, and science. 

Financial cooperation featured prominently alongside the diplomatic talks.

Sheikh Bandar bin Mohammed bin Saoud Al-Thani, governor of the Qatar Central Bank and chairman of the Qatar Investment Authority, met with Canada’s Finance Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne to discuss cooperation in banking and finance and ways to deepen institutional collaboration. 

Separately, Canada’s economic engagement in the region extended to Egypt, where Cairo’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Immigration, and Egyptian Expatriates Affairs, Badr Abdelatty, met with a delegation of business leaders from the North American country. 

The talks focused on strengthening trade and investment ties, with Egyptian officials encouraging Canadian companies to expand investments in energy, agriculture, and water resources. 

According to Egypt’s Foreign Ministry, Abdelatty highlighted recent economic and financial reforms aimed at improving the investment climate and reaffirmed government support for the Egyptian-Canadian Business Council in attracting Canadian capital and boosting Egyptian exports. 

The discussions were built on outcomes from political consultations held in April, which included an Egyptian business delegation’s visit to Ottawa.