Cyprus votes for president with eyes on new peace push

In this file photo dated Monday, Jan. 22, 2018, with the three front running presidential candidates, from left, Cyprus’ President Nicos Anastasiades, Nicolas Papadopoulos, and Stavros Malas, prior to their live televised debate in capital Nicosia, Cyprus. Cypriots will vote upcoming Sunday in presidential elections with critical topics including the reunification of the divided island and economic recovery, likely to be decisive in the vote. (AP/Petros Karadjias, FILE)
Updated 28 January 2018
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Cyprus votes for president with eyes on new peace push

NICOSIA: Voters in Cyprus headed to the polls Sunday for a presidential election that could determine if the divided island makes another push to reunite after the collapse of talks last year.
After a lacklustre campaign, opinion polls put conservative incumbent Nicos Anastasiades, 71, ahead as he pledges to restart negotiations with the Turkish-backed north quickly after the vote.
The former lawyer — under the slogan “Steady Steps Forward” — has taken credit for an impressive recovery by the European Union’s most easterly member since a debilitating financial crisis in 2013.
But apathy appears to be growing and Anastasiades seems unlikely to win outright in the first round.
He is expected to face a February 4 run-off against either dovish communist-backed Stavros Malas or Nikolas Papadopoulos, a former president’s son who takes a tougher line on peace efforts.
“The economy is doing reasonably well — but for me the main criterion is still the Cyprus problem,” said university lecturer Andres Karageorghis after casting his ballot at a school in Nicosia.
“To carry on and hopefully find a solution.”
If the first round is not decisive there is set to be intense horse-trading, and analysts say a backroom deal between the opponents of Anastasiades could still deny him a second and final five-year term.

As always, the nearly 44-year division of the island between the internationally recognized Greek-majority Republic of Cyprus and a Turkish Cypriot statelet in the north looms large.
In July, two years of UN-backed talks between Anastasiades and Turkish Cypriot leader Mustafa Akinci came closer than ever to reunifying the island but collapsed in acrimony before a deal.
Despite the failure to bridge key issues, including the future of tens of thousands of Turkish troops in the north, Anastasiades insists he wants talks with Akinci to restart soon.
But there is deep skepticism among the international community over whether there is the political will to make a breakthrough.
During the campaign Anastasiades was attacked for being either too pliant or not keen enough to seal a deal.
Retired treasury worker George Georgallides said he voted for more hard-line Papadopoulos because he felt “Anastasiades gave up everything” at the negotiations.
“If we do restart talks then it needs to be from the very beginning again,” he said.
Signs are that the road to reunification will only get tougher as fatigue mounts after decades of failure.
For the first time ultra-nationalist party ELAM — fiercely opposed to the proposed reunification — is fielding a candidate.

While the “national problem” is ever present, this time around the economy has been a dominant issue.
When Anastasiades took over, the banking sector was in meltdown and he took a 10-billion-euro (more than $12-billion) bailout that entailed biting austerity measures.
That included a drastic haircut on accounts of over 100,000 euros held in the country’s biggest lender, Bank of Cyprus.
Since then the economy has rebounded faster than many expected and growth has been steady since 2015.
Tourism reached a record high last year and explorations are going on for oil and gas offshore.
But analysts warn there are major challenges left.
The economy is still smaller than it was before the crisis, unemployment is around 11 percent and banks are awash with bad loans.
“The recovery is relative,” said Fiona Mullen, director of Cyprus-based Sapienta Economics.
Polls close at 1600 GMT with final results expected late Sunday.


Trump threatens to halt US trade with Spain over military bases, defense spending

Updated 6 sec ago
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Trump threatens to halt US trade with Spain over military bases, defense spending

  • The US relocated 15 aircraft, including refueling tankers, from the Rota and Moron military bases in southern Spain after the country’s Socialist leadership said it would not allow them to be used to attack Iran
  • Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, one ​of a dwindling number of left-leaning voices in Europe, has ​risked Trump’s ire with a series of other policy moves, including refusing to let vessels transporting weapons to Israel dock in Spain

WASHINGTON/MADRID: US President Donald Trump threatened to impose a full US trade embargo on Spain on Tuesday ​after the European and NATO ally refused to let the US military use its bases for missions linked to strikes on Iran.
“Spain has been terrible,” Trump told reporters during a meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, adding that he had told Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to “cut off all dealings” with Spain.
“We’re going to cut off all trade with Spain. We don’t want anything to do with Spain,” he added.
The US relocated 15 aircraft, including refueling tankers, from the Rota and Moron military bases in southern Spain after the country’s Socialist leadership said it would not allow them to be used to attack Iran.
Trump again referenced Spain’s refusal to heed US calls for all NATO members to spend 5 percent of their GDP on defense, and added: “Spain has absolutely nothing that we need.”
“All business having to do ‌with Spain, I ‌have the right to stop it. Embargoes — do anything I want with it — and ​we ‌may ⁠do that with ​Spain,” ⁠he said, again expressing his frustration with the Supreme Court’s ruling last month that his broadest global tariffs were illegal under a national emergencies law.

NO SEPARATE TREATMENT FOR SPAIN
Merz, speaking with reporters after the meeting, said he told Trump privately that Spain could not be excluded from a trade agreement reached between Brussels and Washington last year.
“I said that Spain is a member of the European Union and we negotiate about tariffs with the United States only together or not at all,” he said. “There is no way to treat Spain particularly badly.”
Trump publicly asked Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer their opinions on cutting off Spanish trade.
“Well, sir, I think we’ll talk about it with you,” Greer said. “We know ⁠you can use it, and if you need to use it to assure national and economic ‌security, we’ll do it.”
Bessent said the Supreme Court affirmed Trump’s embargo powers under the ‌International Emergency Economic Powers Act, adding that the USTR and Commerce Department would ​begin investigations into how to penalize Spain under other trade laws.

HIGH BAR
Jennifer ‌Hillman, a trade law professor at Georgetown University, said the Supreme Court did not address the president’s ability to impose a trade ‌embargo under IEEPA. Trump could do so, but he would have to declare a national emergency over Spain as an “unusual and extraordinary” threat to the United States, she said, adding that such a move would go “well beyond” any previous emergency.
“It’s hard to see, however, how Spain denying us the use of air bases on its territory for us to launch an unprovoked attack on Iran poses ‘an unusual and extraordinary threat’ to our national security or foreign ‌policy,” added Peter Shane, a New York University adjunct law professor.

SPAIN RESPONDS
The Spanish government responded in a statement that the US must be mindful of the autonomy of private businesses, international law ⁠and bilateral trade agreements between ⁠the US and the European Union.
Madrid said it had the necessary resources to contain the potential impact of a trade embargo and support affected sectors, but said it would continue to push for free trade and economic cooperation with its partners.
Spain is the world’s top exporter of olive oil and also sells auto parts, steel and chemicals to the United States, but is less vulnerable to Trump’s threats of economic punishment than other European nations.
The US had a trade surplus with Spain for the fourth year in a row in 2025, at $4.8 billion, according to US Census Bureau data, with US exports of $26.1 billion and imports of $21.3 billion. US exports of crude oil and liquefied natural gas to Spain have grown in recent years.
Merz said pressure was being brought to bear on Spain from within Europe on defense spending.
“We are trying to convince Spain to catch up with the 3 percent or 3.5 percent which we agreed on in NATO,” he said, adding later that Spain’s defense spending levels had nothing to do with the trade negotiations.
Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, one ​of a dwindling number of left-leaning voices in Europe, has ​risked Trump’s ire with a series of other policy moves, including refusing to let vessels transporting weapons to Israel dock in Spain.