OPEC+ approves gradual output increase from April amid market uncertainty 

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman approved a production increase of 206,000 barrels per day for April, according to a statement. Shutterstock
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Updated 01 March 2026
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OPEC+ approves gradual output increase from April amid market uncertainty 

RIYADH: Eight OPEC+ producers agreed to raise oil output gradually from April, citing healthy market fundamentals and a stable global economic outlook, after ministers met virtually to assess market conditions and determine future supply policy. 

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman approved a production increase of 206,000 barrels per day for April, according to a statement. 

The increase marks the start of a gradual unwinding of 1.65 million barrels per day in voluntary reductions introduced in April 2023 to shore up prices.  

The move comes as the US-Israeli conflict with OPEC+ member Iran and Tehran’s retaliation have disrupted shipments in the Middle East. Oil, gas and other cargoes moving through the Strait of Hormuz have faced interruptions since Feb. 28 after shipowners received warnings from Iran that the area was closed to navigation, Reuters reported. 

In a statement released after the talks, the eight nations cited a “steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals, as reflected in the low oil inventories,” as the rationale for the measured production increase. 

The statement stressed that the full 1.65 million bpd “may be returned in part or in full subject to evolving market conditions and in a gradual manner.” 

They also stressed they retain flexibility to increase, pause or reverse the supply hike if needed. That includes the option of reinstating cuts announced in November 2023, when several members pledged additional voluntary reductions totaling 2.2 million barrels per day. 

The producers reiterated their commitment to the broader Declaration of Cooperation and said compliance with output targets, including voluntary adjustments, will continue to be monitored by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee. 

The group also reaffirmed plans to compensate for any overproduction recorded since January 2024, saying the phased increase would allow participating countries to accelerate those efforts. 

Brent crude futures jumped on Feb. 27 to $73 per barrel, the highest level since July, amid fears of a wider Middle East conflict and potential supply disruptions through Hormuz, which accounts for more than 20 percent of global oil transit, Reuters reported. 

Oil prices are expected to rise, with Barclays lifting its Brent crude forecast to around $100 a barrel from $80 a day earlier, while analysts said prices could jump by as much as $20 per barrel when trading resumes on March 2 if tensions escalate further.

The eight countries will continue holding monthly reviews of market conditions, conformity and compensation levels, with the next meeting scheduled for April 5. 


Global brands shut Middle East stores as conflict causes chaos

Updated 03 March 2026
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Global brands shut Middle East stores as conflict causes chaos

  • Luxury brands and retailers close stores in Middle East
  • Conflict threatens the region that has ‌been luxury’s fastest growing
  • Mass-market retailers monitor situation, adjust operations in region

PARIS: In Dubai and other major Middle Eastern shopping hubs, many stores are closed or operating with a skeleton staff as the escalating conflict in the ​region causes chaos for businesses and travel.

The US-Israeli air war against Iran expanded on Monday with no end in sight, with Tehran firing missiles and drones at Gulf states as it retaliates for a weekend of bombing that killed Iran’s supreme leader and reportedly killed scores of Iranian civilians, including a strike on a girls’ primary school.

Chalhoub Group, which runs 900 stores for brands from Versace and Jimmy Choo to Sephora across the region, said its stores in Bahrain were closed, while other markets, including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan remained open though staff attendance was “voluntary.”

“We operate with a lean team formed of members who volunteered and feel comfortable to come to the store,” Chalhoub’s Vice President of Communications Lynn al ‌Khatib told Reuters, adding ‌that the company’s leadership team personally visited Dubai Mall and Mall of the Emirates ​on ‌Monday ⁠morning to check ​in ⁠with workers.

E-commerce giant Amazon closed its fulfillment center operations in Abu Dhabi, suspended deliveries across the region and instructed its employees in Saudi Arabia and Jordan to remain indoors, Business Insider reported on Monday, citing an internal memo.

Gucci-owner Kering said its stores were temporarily closed in the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar and it has suspended travel to the Middle East.

Luxury growth engine under threat

Shares in luxury groups LVMH, Hermes, and Cartier-owner Richemont were down 4 percent to 5.7 percent on Monday afternoon as investors digested the knock-on impacts of the conflict.

The Middle East still accounts for a small share of global spending on luxury — between 5 percent and 10 percent, according ⁠to RBC analyst Piral Dadhania. But the region was “luxury’s brightest performer” last year, according to consultancy ‌Bain, while sales of expensive handbags have stalled in the rest of the ‌world.

Now, shuttered airports have put an abrupt stop to tourism flows into ​the region and missile strikes — including one that damaged Dubai’s ‌five-star Fairmont Palm hotel — are likely to dissuade travelers, particularly if the conflict drags on.

“If you assume that it’s ‌a $5 billion to $6 billion (travel retail) market and let’s say it’s going to be shut down for a month, we are talking about hundreds of millions of dollars that are definitely at risk,” said Victor Dijon, senior partner at consultancy Kearney.

If Middle Eastern shoppers cannot travel to Paris or Milan, that could also hurt luxury sales in Europe, he added.

Luxury brands have been investing in lavish new stores and exclusive events ‌across the region. Cartier unveiled a “high-jewelry” exhibition in Dubai’s Keturah Park just days before the conflict started.

Cartier and Richemont did not reply to requests for comment.

Luxury conglomerate LVMH ⁠has also bet big on ⁠the region. Last month, its flagship brand Louis Vuitton staged an exhibition at the Jumeirah Marsa Al Arab hotel, and beauty retailer Sephora launched its first Saudi beauty brand.

LVMH does not report specific figures for the region, but in January Chief Financial Officer Cecile Cabanis said the Middle East has been “displaying significant growth.” LVMH did not reply to a request for comment on how its business may be impacted by the conflict.

The Middle East has also attracted new investment from mass-market players. Budget fashion retailer Primark said in January that it plans to open three stores in Dubai in March, April and May, followed by stores in Bahrain and Qatar by the end of the year.

“Primark is set to open its first store in Dubai at the end of March but clearly this is a fast-moving situation which we are monitoring closely,” a spokesperson for Primark-owner Associated British Foods said.

Apple stores in Dubai will remain closed until Thursday morning, the company’s website showed, while Swedish fast-fashion retailer ​H&M said its stores in Bahrain and Israel are ​closed.

Consumer goods group Reckitt has told all employees in the Middle East to work from home, temporarily closed its Bahrain manufacturing site and suspended all business travel to the region until further notice.