Pakistan central bank says stronger forex buffers enabled $20 billion interbank purchases in three years

State Bank of Pakistan Governor, Jameel Ahmad (second from left) is attending a meetin on foreign investors on the sideline of IMF-World Bank annual meeting in Washington DC on October 17, 2025. (Finance Ministry)
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Updated 18 October 2025
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Pakistan central bank says stronger forex buffers enabled $20 billion interbank purchases in three years

  • Governor Jameel Ahmad says SBP reforms and remittance inflows helped rebuild reserves five-fold since early 2023
  • Central bank targets $17.5 billion in foreign exchange reserves by June 2026 amid improving macroeconomic stability

KARACHI: Pakistan’s central bank governor said on Friday improved foreign exchange buffers and a more stable market environment had enabled the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to purchase $20 billion from the interbank market over the past three years to rebuild reserves and strengthen its capacity to absorb external shocks.

Governor Jameel Ahmad told senior executives from global financial and investment institutions on the sidelines of the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings in Washington the SBP’s strategy to reform exchange companies and promote remittances through formal channels had stabilized the market, allowing Pakistan to increase its foreign reserves nearly five-fold since February 2023.

“SBP has improved the stability and transparency of the FX market through structural reforms in exchange companies and the promotion of remittances through formal channels,” Ahmad said, according to an official statement. “These efforts have brought stability in the FX market, allowing SBP to strategically purchase $20 billion during the last three years from the interbank market to build its FX reserves.”

He added that the central bank now aims to raise foreign exchange reserves to $17.5 billion by June 2026, emphasizing that the stronger position reflects SBP’s focus on building buffers “to withstand external shocks.”

Ahmad said headline inflation had declined sharply to 5.6 percent in September 2025, down from over 25 percent two years earlier, while core inflation had fallen below 8 percent. Despite flood-related disruptions, he projected inflation would stabilize within the 5-7 percent range in the medium term.

Pakistan’s economy grew by 3 percent in FY25, the SBP governor said, and growth in FY26 was expected to remain between 3.25 and 4.25 percent.

He added that policy consistency and fiscal discipline had created space for structural reforms, enabling Pakistan to pursue “sustainable growth and socioeconomic uplift” with support from multilateral partners such as the IMF and World Bank.


Pakistan secures $1.2 billion as IMF clears reviews, flags gains on stability and reforms

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Pakistan secures $1.2 billion as IMF clears reviews, flags gains on stability and reforms

  • IMF praises Pakistan’s policy implementation despite challenging global environment and climate-driven shocks
  • The Executive Board urges faster energy, SOE and governance reforms for macroeconomic and fiscal sustainability

KARACHI: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved Pakistan’s second review under its Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the first review of its Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), said a statement on Tuesday, unlocking about $1.2 billion in new financing while praising the country’s progress in stabilizing the economy despite recent floods.

The decision taken by the IMF Executive Board allows Islamabad to draw $1 billion under the EFF and $200 million under the RSF, bringing total disbursements under both arrangements to about $3.3 billion. The Fund said Pakistan’s policy implementation had improved financing conditions, strengthened reserves and preserved stability even as the country faced a challenging global environment and climate-driven shocks.

Under the 37-month EFF, approved last year in September, the IMF noted strong fiscal performance, including a primary surplus of 1.3 percent of GDP, a rebound in gross reserves to $14.5 billion by end-FY25 from $9.4 billion a year earlier and progress on rebuilding confidence. It noted a surge in inflation due to flood-related food price spikes but said it was expected to ease.

“Pakistan’s reform implementation under the EFF arrangement has helped preserve macroeconomic stability in the face of several recent shocks,” IMF Deputy Managing Director Nigel Clarke said. “Real GDP growth has accelerated, inflation expectations have remained anchored, and fiscal and external imbalances have continued to moderate.”

Clarke said Islamabad’s commitment to meeting its FY26 primary balance target while also addressing urgent post-flood relief signaled strong fiscal intent. He urged continued tax policy simplification and base broadening to build space for climate resilience, social protection and public investment.

The IMF official maintained a tight monetary stance should be continued to keep inflation within the State Bank Pakistan’s target range, while allowing exchange-rate flexibility and deepening the interbank market.

Additionally, he said financial regulation enforcement and capital market development were essential for a resilient financial sector.

The IMF also flagged energy sector reforms as “critical to safeguarding viability,” noting that timely tariff adjustments had helped curb circular debt but that Pakistan must now focus on reducing electricity production and distribution costs and addressing operational inefficiencies in both the power and gas sectors.

The statement also welcomed the publication of Pakistan’s Governance and Corruption Diagnostic report, a detailed IMF-supported assessment that maps out where government systems are vulnerable to inefficiency or misuse and recommends reforms to improve transparency, accountability and service delivery.

Further priorities include the privatization of state-owned enterprises and strengthening economic data quality.
Clarke said reducing Pakistan’s climate vulnerability was vital for long-term stability, referring to the RSF, a financing tool that provides long-term, low-cost loans to help countries address climate risks.

“The RSF arrangement is supporting efforts to strengthen natural disaster response and financing coordination, improve the use of scarce water resources, raise climate considerations in project selection and budgeting, and improve the information on climate-related risks in financing decisions,” he said.

Pakistan faced a prolonged economic crisis in recent years before it began implementing stringent IMF-recommended reforms, which have driven a gradual improvement in macroeconomic indicators over the past two years.

The country also remains one of the world’s most climate-vulnerable nations despite contributing less than one percent of global greenhouse-gas emissions.

It has endured a series of extreme weather events in recent years, most notably the 2022 super-floods that submerged one-third of the country, displaced millions and caused an estimated $30 billion in losses.

This year’s floods killed over 1,000 people and caused at least $2.9 billion in damage to agriculture and infrastructure, underscoring the scale of climate pressures facing the economy.

Economic experts told Arab News a day earlier that the Fund’s disbursements under the two loan programs would support the cash-strapped nation, which has relied heavily on financing from bilateral partners such as Saudi Arabia, China and the United Arab Emirates, as well as multilateral lenders.

“It obviously will help strengthen the external sector, the balance of payments,” said Samiullah Tariq, group head of research at Pakistan Kuwait Investment Company.

Another analyst, Shankar Talreja, head of research at Karachi-based Topline Securities, said the move was likely to send a positive signal to domestic and international investors about the government’s commitment to its reform agenda.

“This will help strengthen reserves and will eventually help a rating upgrade going forward,” he said.