Moody’s upgrade underscores Pakistan recovery, reforms fueling stability — central bank governor 

State Bank of Pakistan Governor Jameel Ahmad speaks at the Reuters NEXT Asia summit in Singapore July 9, 2025. (Reuters/ file)
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Updated 14 August 2025
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Moody’s upgrade underscores Pakistan recovery, reforms fueling stability — central bank governor 

  • Rating agency lifted Pakistan’s sovereign credit score on Wednesday, citing stronger reserves and external stability
  • SBP governor says inflation has dropped to a historic low and reforms will support long-term growth

KARACHI: Pakistan’s central bank said on Thursday recent credit rating upgrades underscored the country’s improving macroeconomic outlook, as Governor Jameel Ahmad used an Independence Day address to stress economic resilience and reforms.

The remarks came a day after Moody’s Investors Service upgraded Pakistan’s sovereign rating, citing stronger foreign exchange reserves, a current account surplus and fiscal consolidation. Analysts said the move could ease access to global capital markets and attract investment as Pakistan looks to consolidate gains under its $7 billion IMF program approved in September 2024.

“International credit rating agencies have upgraded Pakistan’s ratings in recognition of recent measures which will help unlock foreign investment opportunities,” Ahmad said at the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) flag-hoisting ceremony in Karachi.

Ahmad noted the dramatic improvement in inflation, which had soared to 38 percent in May 2023 before easing to 11.8 percent by May 2024 and reaching a record low of 3.2 percent in June 2025.

“Our monetary policy remains geared toward maintaining the hard-earned gains in price stability, while ensuring inflation remains within 5–7 percent,” he said, adding that this would help “unlock broader economic and business opportunities.”

The SBP has reduced its policy rate in seven steps from 22 percent to 11 percent since June 2024 in line with the improved outlook.

External accounts have also strengthened, with reserves nearly tripling to $14.5 billion by the end of FY25 from $4.4 billion two years earlier. Ahmad said the turnaround was achieved through a $2.1 billion current account surplus – the first in 14 years – and record remittances of $38.3 billion from overseas Pakistanis, without adding to external debt.

The governor also highlighted SBP’s digital push, including spinning off the Raast instant payment system into a separate subsidiary, easing account opening procedures and modernizing payment infrastructure to widen financial inclusion. He said such steps would particularly benefit women and small businesses.

Pakistan’s economic rebound follows two years of crisis, when the country averted default through IMF disbursements, painful reforms, and strict fiscal consolidation. The IMF has urged Pakistan to maintain exchange rate flexibility, broaden its tax base and strengthen the energy sector to lock in recent stability.


IMF says has made ‘considerable progress’ as Pakistan funding talks continue

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IMF says has made ‘considerable progress’ as Pakistan funding talks continue

  • Discussions covered the impact of the Middle East conflict on Pakistan, balance of payments and external financing needs
  • Pakistan’s program implementation under a $7 billion program remained broadly aligned with authorities’ commitments, IMF says

KARACHI: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has made “considerable ‌progress” ‌in ​talks with ‌Pakistan ⁠over ​its funding ⁠facilities, the Fund said late Wednesday, adding that discussions will continue in the coming days.

The IMF mission, led by Iva Petrova, had started talks with Pakistani officials on the third review of a $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) multi-year program and for the second review of the $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) from Feb. 25 to Mar. 11, according to the IMF.

The mission observed that Pakistan’s program implementation under the EFF remained broadly aligned with the authorities’ commitments through end-Feb., with both sides making progress on policies, including fiscal consolidation, a sufficiently tight monetary policy and advancing energy sector reforms.

“While considerable progress was made in the discussions, these will continue in the coming days, including to more fully assess the impact of recent global developments on Pakistan’s economy and the EFF-supported program,” the IMF quoted Petrova as saying.

Both EFF, secured in Sept. 2024, and the RSF, secured in May 2025, are key programs crucial for stabilizing Pakistan’s fragile economy. The IMF team was in the country to assess fiscal performance, energy-sector reforms, and external financing needs before approving the next disbursement.

The ongoing IMF engagement is seen as vital for Pakistan as geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices pose renewed risks for its economic recovery.

The IMF mission observed that Islamabad paid “particular attention” to deepening structural reforms and made “good progress” in the implementation of their agenda to strengthen climate resilience, including through the completion of reform measures under the RSF.

“Discussions also covered the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on Pakistan’s economic outlook, the balance of payments and external financing needs amid volatile and rising energy prices and tighter global financial conditions,” Petrova said, adding:

“The IMF team and the authorities will continue these discussions with a view to conclude them in the coming days.”