Nearly half of Pakistani businessmen confident in country’s direction — Gallup

A salesman uses his mobile phone as he sits under a television screen displaying the live broadcast of Pakistan Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb presenting the 2024/25 budget, at an electronics market in Karachi, Pakistan June 12, 2024. (Reuters/File)
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Updated 11 August 2025
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Nearly half of Pakistani businessmen confident in country’s direction — Gallup

  • Survey of 524 firms shows optimism at highest since 2021 as political and economic uncertainty eases, inflation and energy costs remain top concerns
  • Net confidence score rises sharply from last year’s deep pessimism amid signs of economic stabilization, but businesses warn reforms must continue

KARACHI: Nearly half of Pakistani businessmen believe the country is moving in the right direction, a Gallup Pakistan survey published on Monday showed, with sentiment climbing to its highest level since late 2021 amid signs of political and economic stabilization.

The “direction of country” score — the percentage of respondents who think Pakistan is on the right track minus those who think it is headed the wrong way — rose 62 points in the second quarter of 2025 to –2 percent from –64 percent a year earlier, according to the Gallup survey, whose results are based on interviews with 524 businesses in the manufacturing, services and trade sectors conducted between July 23 and 27.

The improvement comes after Pakistan secured a $7 billion IMF bailout in September 2024 to avert a sovereign default and began implementing fiscal and structural reforms aimed at stabilizing its crisis-hit economy.

“46 percent of businessmen rated the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) government’s management of the economy as better than its predecessor, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), compared to just 24 percent a year ago,” the Gallup report said.

“While the score remains marginally negative, it marks the highest level of confidence in national direction since Q4 2021,” it added. “This uptick suggests a moderate easing of political and economic uncertainty from the perspective of the business community.”

Sixty-one percent of surveyed businessmen rated their ongoing operations as “good” or “very good,” up six percentage points from the previous survey wave. The manufacturing sector showed slower signs of recovery than trade and services.

Top concerns were rising prices, high energy costs and taxes. Twenty-eight percent of respondents said controlling inflation should be the government’s highest priority.

Pakistan’s consumer inflation rose to 4.1 percent year-on-year in July, up from 3.2 percent in June, driven by higher food, fuel and medicine prices.

High utility costs were cited by 18 percent of respondents, while 11 percent pointed to taxation.

The survey also recorded a notable decline in reported bribery, with 15 percent admitting to paying a bribe in the past six months, down from 34 percent in Q4 2024. Traders reported the highest bribery rate at 20 percent, followed by 13 percent among service providers and 12 percent among manufacturers.

Gallup Pakistan Executive Director Bilal Ijaz Gilani described the results as reflecting a “cautiously improving mood” among businesses.

“While the shift is incremental, it reflects a growing sense of stabilization among economic actors,” he said. “As always, sustained momentum will depend on continued macroeconomic reforms, policy consistency, and greater institutional responsiveness, especially toward businesses operating outside the formal sector.”

Gilani said the most notable change was improved perceptions of the country’s direction and growing trust in the government’s economic management.

While the survey points to a rebound in business confidence, analysts say Pakistan’s long-term economic trajectory will depend on its ability to sustain reforms, rein in inflation, and ease the cost of doing business in the $375 billion South Asian economy.


Pakistan disburses record $9.2 billion agricultural loans in FY25, central bank says

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Pakistan disburses record $9.2 billion agricultural loans in FY25, central bank says

  • State Bank says farm lending rose 16 percent year-on-year to Rs2.58 trillion
  • Inflation eased to 5.8 percent in January as GDP growth hits 3.7 percent in Q1 FY26

KARACHI: Pakistan disbursed a record Rs2.58 trillion ($9.2 billion) in agricultural loans during fiscal year 2024–25, a 16 percent increase from the previous year, State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Jameel Ahmad said on Thursday while chairing a meeting of the Agricultural Credit Advisory Committee (ACAC).

Agricultural financing is considered critical to Pakistan’s rural economy, where farming contributes nearly one-fifth of GDP and employs a large share of the workforce. The government has repeatedly emphasized expanding credit access to small farmers as part of broader efforts to boost productivity, stabilize food supply and support economic recovery under an IMF-backed reform program.

According to official data shared at the meeting, agricultural credit disbursement reached Rs2.58 trillion in FY25, marking a record high. In the first half of FY26 alone, banks disbursed Rs1,412 billion in agricultural loans, while the number of borrowers increased to 2.97 million.

“During fiscal year 2025, record agricultural loans of Rs2.58 trillion were disbursed, reflecting an annual growth of 16 percent,” the State Bank governor said, according to a statement issued after the meeting.

He added that Pakistan had regained macroeconomic stability and that the economy was moving toward sustainable growth.

The governor said GDP growth in the first quarter of FY26 stood at 3.7 percent, while full-year growth was projected between 3.75 percent and 4.75 percent.

He also noted that headline inflation had declined to 5.8 percent in January 2026.

The committee reviewed measures to further expand credit access, including greater use of the central bank’s Zarkhez-e scheme to facilitate agricultural lending. Members also discussed promoting electronic warehouse receipt financing to enhance post-harvest liquidity and reduce distress sales of crops.

The statement said the purpose of electronic warehouse receipt financing was to “reduce forced sales of crops and strengthen linkages within the agricultural market.”

Agricultural lending has been a focus of Pakistan’s financial inclusion strategy, particularly as policymakers seek to improve rural incomes, stabilize food prices and strengthen export-oriented crop production amid broader economic reforms.