International Court of Justice to deliver landmark climate ruling

Vanuatu has pushed the UN to ask the International Court of Justice to answer questions on countries’ obligations to prevent climate change and the consequences for polluters whose emissions have harmed the planet. Above, cyclone-hit Port Vila, Vanuatu on March 1, 2023. (French Embassy in Vanuatu and Solomon Islands/AFP)
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Updated 21 July 2025
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International Court of Justice to deliver landmark climate ruling

  • Experts say this is the most significant in a string of recent rulings on climate change in international law
  • Landmark ruling expected to have major potential repercussions for states and firms around the world

THE HAGUE: The top United Nations court will on Wednesday hand down a landmark global legal blueprint for tackling climate change that also sets out top polluters’ responsibilities toward the countries suffering most.

The International Court of Justice (ICJ) has been tasked with crafting a so-called advisory opinion on countries’ obligations to prevent climate change and the consequences for polluters whose emissions have harmed the planet.

Experts say this is the most significant in a string of recent rulings on climate change in international law, with major potential repercussions for states and firms around the world.

Climate-vulnerable countries and campaign groups hope it will have far-reaching legal consequences in the fight against climate change, unifying existing law, shaping national and international legislation, and impacting current court cases.

“It will be the compass the world needs to course correct,” said Vishal Prasad, director of the Pacific Islands Students Fighting Climate Change.

“It will give new strength to climate litigation, inspire more ambitious national policies and guide states toward decisions that uphold their legal duties to protect both people and planet,” said Prasad.

But some critics argue the ruling will be toothless, as ICJ advisory opinions are not binding and major polluters can choose simply to ignore it.

The UN, pushed by tiny island state Vanuatu, asked the court to answer two questions.

First, what obligations do states have under international law to protect the Earth’s climate from polluting greenhouse gas emissions?

Second, what are the legal consequences for states which “by their acts and omissions have caused significant harm to the climate system and other parts of the environment?”

The second question was explicitly linked to the damage that climate change is causing to small, more vulnerable, countries and their populations.

This applies to countries facing increasingly damaging weather disasters and especially to island nations under threat from rising sea levels like those in the Pacific Ocean.

In what was termed a “David versus Goliath” battle, advanced economies and developing nations clashed at the ICJ during December hearings on the case.

The iconic Peace Palace in the Hague, the seat of the ICJ, played host to more than 100 oral submissions — the largest number ever, many from tiny states making their first appearance.

“This may well be the most consequential case in the history of humanity,” said Vanuatu’s representative Ralph Regenvanu, opening the two weeks of hearings.

“The outcome of these proceedings will reverberate across generations, determining the fate of nations like mine and the future of our planet,” he told the 15-judge panel.

Major polluters argued the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was sufficient and new guidelines on countries’ obligations were not necessary.

US representative Margaret Taylor said this framework was “the most current expression of states’ consent to be bound by international law in respect of climate change.”

Taylor urged the court “to ensure its opinion preserves and promotes the centrality of this regime.”

Meanwhile, the speaker from India was even more explicit.

“The court should avoid the creation of any new or additional obligations beyond those already existing under the climate change regime,” said Luther Rangreji.

The United States under President Donald Trump has since pulled funding for the UNFCCC and withdrawn from its landmark pact, the Paris climate agreement.

But smaller states said this framework was inadequate to mitigate climate change’s devastating effects.

“As seas rise faster than predicted, these states must stop.

“This court must not permit them to condemn our lands and our people to watery graves,” said John Silk from the Marshall Islands.

After bitterly fought UN climate talks in Azerbaijan in November, wealthy countries agreed to provide at least $300 billion a year by 2035 to help developing nations transition to clean energy and prepare for an increase in extreme weather.

The vulnerable nations argued this is simply not enough and urged the ICJ to push for more.

“This is a crisis of survival. It is also a crisis of equity,” said Fiji’s representative Luke Daunivalu.

“Our people... are unfairly and unjustly footing the bill for a crisis they did not create.

“They look to this court for clarity, for decisiveness and justice.”


Russia-ally Touadera seeks third term in Central African Republic

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Russia-ally Touadera seeks third term in Central African Republic

BANGUI: Central African Republic President Faustin-Archange Touadera is seeking a third term in an election on Sunday, campaigning on security gains after signing deals with rebel groups and enlisting support from Russian mercenaries and Rwandan ​forces.
He faces six opposition candidates including Anicet-Georges Dologuele, a former prime minister and runner-up in the 2020 election, but is likely to win in part due to his control over state institutions, analysts say.
Such a result would likely further the interests of Russia, which has traded security assistance for access to resources including gold and diamonds. Touadera is also offering access to the country’s lithium and uranium reserves to anyone interested.
The 68-year-old mathematician took power in 2016 after the worst crisis in the chronically unstable country’s history, when three years of intercommunal strife forced a fifth of the population to flee their homes, either internally or abroad.
Touadera has signed peace deals this year with several rebel groups, while ‌others have been ‌weakened in the face of Russian mercenaries and troops from Rwanda deployed to ‌shore ⁠up Touadera’s ​government as ‌well as UN peacekeepers.
“During the 10 years that we have been working together, you yourselves have seen that peace is beginning to return, starting from all our borders and reaching the capital,” Touadera told a rally at a stadium in the capital Bangui this month.
His opponents, meanwhile, have denounced a constitutional referendum in 2023 that scrapped the presidential term limit, saying it was proof Touadera wants to be president for life.
They have also accused him of failing to make significant progress toward lifting the 5.5 million population out of poverty.
“The administrative infrastructure has been destroyed and, as you know, the roads are in a ⁠very poor state of repair,” Dologuele told a recent press conference.
“In short, the Central African economy is in ruins.”
SECURITY THREATS REMAIN DESPITE PEACE DEALS
The presidential ‌contest is taking place alongside legislative, regional and municipal elections, with provisional results ‍expected to be announced by January 5.
If no ‍candidate gets more than 50 percent of the vote, a presidential runoff will take place on February 15, while legislative ‍runoffs will take place on April 5.
A smooth voting process could reinforce Touadera’s claim that stability is returning, which was buttressed last year with the UN Security Council’s lifting of an arms embargo and the lifting of a separate embargo on diamond exports.
“The fact that these measures were lifted, it shows that we’re gradually getting back to normal. Or at least that’s the narrative,” said Romain ​Esmenjaud, associate researcher at the Institut Francais de Geopolitique.
The peace deals are credited with a decline in violence in some areas and an expected boost in economic growth projections to 3 percent this ⁠year, according to the International Monetary Fund. US President Donald Trump’s administration has said the UN should hand security back to the government soon.
But serious security threats remain. Rebels have not fully disarmed, reintegration is incomplete, and incursions by combatants from neighboring Sudan fuel insecurity in the east.
Pangea-Risk, a consultancy, wrote in a note to clients that the risk of unrest after the election was high as opponents were likely to challenge Touadera’s expected victory.
“The election will take place in an atmosphere marked by heightened grievances over political marginalization, increasing repression, and allegations of electoral fraud,” said chief executive Robert Besseling.
Dologuele alleged fraud after he was recorded as winning 21.6 percent of the vote in 2020, when rebel groups still threatened the capital and prevented voting at 800 polling stations across the country, or 14 percent of the total. A court upheld Touadera’s win.
Paul-Crescent Beninga, a political analyst, said voters will be closely scrutinizing the voting and counting processes.
“If they do not go well, it gives those ‌who promote violence an excuse to mobilize violence and sow panic among the population of the Central African Republic. So that is why we must ensure that the elections take place in relatively acceptable conditions,” he said.