Pakistan posts first annual current account surplus in 14 years

A foreign currency dealer counts US dollars at a shop in Karachi, Pakistan, on May 19, 2022. (AFP/File)
Short Url
Updated 18 July 2025
Follow

Pakistan posts first annual current account surplus in 14 years

  • Stock market hits record 140,000 points amid macroeconomic rebound under IMF program
  • Remittances top $38 billion, foreign direct investment, textile exports also rise in FY25

KARACHI: Pakistan has posted a full-year current account surplus for the first time in 14 years, alongside record-breaking performance in its equity market, reflecting broad signs of economic stabilization under the country’s $7 billion IMF program approved in September 2024.

Khurram Schehzad, adviser to the finance ministry, shared the data on social media, highlighting a $328 million current account surplus in June 2025.

“Country’s Current Account (CA) for June 2025 closes in $328Mn Surplus, taking full-year Surplus to over $2.1Bn — annual Surplus recorded after 14 years, and the largest Surplus in 22 years,” the adviser wrote on X. 

He said textile exports rose by 7.4 percent year-on-year to $17.9 billion, foreign direct investment increased 5 percent to $2.5 billion, and remittances surged 27 percent to a record $38 billion.

The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) dropped further to 96.6, enhancing the Pakistani rupee’s competitiveness against the dollar, which would support the country’s exports and keep the external account in check, Schehzad said.

He also cited a rally in the Pakistan Stock Exchange, where the benchmark KSE-100 index crossed 140,000 points for the first time, with market capitalization exceeding Rs16.8 trillion (about $60 billion). He noted that Pakistan is currently ranked the fourth-best performing equity market globally in July 2025 to date.

According to Topline Securities, the FY25 current account surplus of $2.1 billion (0.5 percent of GDP) marks a sharp turnaround from a $2 billion deficit in FY24, driven by a 27 percent increase in remittances and a 16 percent drop in services deficit. The goods deficit, however, grew to $27 billion.

Topline added that the surplus was bolstered by record-high March remittances of over $4 billion and structural reforms that reduced the exchange rate differential between official and informal channels.

Looking ahead, the brokerage house expects a mild current account deficit of $0.5–1.5 billion (0.1–0.3 percent of GDP) in FY26.

The economic turnaround follows structural reforms implemented under the IMF program, including currency market liberalization, energy pricing reforms and taxation measures aimed at unlocking further global financing and restoring investor confidence.


Pakistani stocks breach 176,000 points barrier as investors expect further rate cuts

Updated 01 January 2026
Follow

Pakistani stocks breach 176,000 points barrier as investors expect further rate cuts

  • Pakistani financial analyst attributes surge to falling inflation, investors expecting further policy rate cuts
  • Pakistan’s finance ministry said Thursday that inflation had slowed to 5.6 percent year-on-year in December 

KARACHI: Pakistani stocks continued their bullish run on Thursday, breaching the 176,000 points barrier for the first time after trading ended, with analysts attributing the surge to investors expecting further cuts in the policy rate. 

The KSE-100 benchmark gained 2,301.17 points at close of business on Thursday, marking an increase of 1.32 percent to settle at 176,355.49 points. 

Pakistan’s central bank cut its key policy rate by 50 basis points to 10.5 percent last ‌month, breaking a four-meeting ‌hold in a move ‌that ⁠surprised ​markets. Pakistan’s consumer price inflation slowed to 5.6 percent year-on-year in December, while prices fell on a monthly basis as per data from the finance ministry. 

“Upbeat data for consumer price index (CPI) inflation at 5.6pc in December 2025 [with] investors expecting a further State Bank of Pakistan rate cuts on falling inflation data,” Ahsan Mehanti, CEO of Arif Habib Commodities Ltd., told Arab News. 

The stock market witnessed a trading volume of 1,402.650 million shares, with a traded value of Rs48.424 billion ($173 million), compared with 957.239 million shares valued at Rs44.231 billion ($158 million) during the previous session.

Topline Securities, a leading brokerage firm in Pakistan, credited the surge to strong buying at the first session.

“This positivity can be accredited to buying by local institutions on the start of the new calendar year,” it said. 

Pakistan’s Finance Adviser Khurram Schehzad highlighted that the bullish trend at the stock market reflected “strong investor confidence.”

“With lower inflation, affordable fuel, stronger reserves, rising digitization and a buoyant capital market, Pakistan’s economic outlook is clearly improving--supporting greater confidence, better investment sentiment and more positive momentum for 2026,” he said on social media platform X.