State-led startup momentum poised for sustainable growth under Vision 2030

Saudi Venture Capital engaged with entrepreneurs and investors during its participation at Biban24 last year, underscoring its pivotal role in fueling the Kingdom’s startup ecosystem under Vision 2030. File/Supplied
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Updated 13 June 2025
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State-led startup momentum poised for sustainable growth under Vision 2030

RIYADH: Amid a record-breaking surge in venture funding and a wave of regulatory reforms, Saudi Arabia is drawing global attention for its ambitious push to build a vibrant startup economy. 

The Kingdom’s entrepreneurial landscape is being reshaped thanks to the work of Saudi Venture Capital, a subsidiary of the National Development Fund, and incubation support from the Small and Medium Enterprises General Authority, known as Monsha’at.

With government capital underwriting much of the early momentum, the challenge now lies in translating that support into private-sector-driven sustainability, with some market observers cautioning against confusing rapid growth with long-term sustainability. 




Philip Bahoshy, CEO of MAGNiTT. Supplied

“The long-term sustainability of this support will depend on continued private-sector participation and market-driven investment flows,” Philip Bahoshy, CEO of MAGNiTT, told Arab News in an interview. 

He accepted that sovereign-led investment vehicles have played a foundational part in catalyzing early-stage innovation, saying: “Saudi initiatives like SVC and Monsha’at have played a critical role in expanding access to capital, fostering entrepreneurship, and developing the broader startup ecosystem.” 

Bahoshy cited SVC’s strategy of acting as a fund-of-funds as a key mechanism for increasing market liquidity, alongside new instruments such as venture debt and private equity.

These tools are designed not only to finance startups but to build institutional depth across the capital stack. 

Beyond financial capital, the initiatives have emphasized ecosystem development through mentorship and education. 

“Another key pillar is their focus on education — whether they be in-person events or the content they share through sponsorships like MAGNiTT — to educate the market,” Bahoshy added.

Monsha’at, he added, has expanded its support through physical incubators and SME-focused regulatory facilitation, helping reduce barriers for company formation and early operations. 

Capital drives diversification

For Said Murad, senior partner at Global Ventures, these efforts are not just supportive — they are catalytic. 

“SVC has invested in 54 private capital funds that invested in over 800 startups and SMEs via $3 billion in AUM (assets under management). This has resulted in entrepreneurship growth and economic diversification,” the venture capitalist told Arab News in an interview. 




Said Murad, senior partner at Global Ventures. Supplied

Murad added that this flow of capital has had knock-on effects beyond startups, helping to “drive jobs and economic growth” across sectors and enabling venture firms like his to back “emerging technologies across platforms built by exceptional founders.” 

In assessing sustainability, the venture community is looking for more than just headline investment totals. 

Bahoshy pointed to a broadening of sector focus as a positive indicator. “Indicators of sustainable growth include diversified sector investment, rising follow-on funding rounds, and an increasing number of successful exits,” he said. 

MAGNiTT’s recent report with the National Technology Development Program, he noted, shows Saudi Arabia outperforming the wider Middle East and North Africa region on follow-on investment metrics — evidence of startups moving successfully through the funding pipeline. 

Murad emphasized deal activity and capital market maturation. “Achieving a record number of deals in 2024 (178), which was 31 percent of MENA’s total deal number, reflects positively on activity,” he said. 

He also cited the growing pipeline of exits and public listings, saying: “More than 50 IPO applications are currently under review by the regulator and the exchange, showing further momentum in the Saudi market.” 

The increase in mergers and acquisitions transactions — up 17.4 percent year on year — suggests the market is entering a phase of consolidation and liquidity, which is critical for long-term investor confidence, he stated.  

Still, the pace and scale of state-backed capital injections have prompted some caution. 

“Concerns about government-driven funding inflating valuations remain,” Bahoshy warned. 

He stressed the need to monitor startup profitability, organic market demand, and the inflow of non-government capital to guard against artificial inflation.

In his view, sustainable ecosystems are those where “startups demonstrate strong unit economics” and attract both domestic and international private capital. 

Murad agreed that macroeconomic indicators must be matched with real operational progress. 

“From an investor’s perspective, distinguishing between real market development and an overheated ecosystem requires a mix of macroeconomic signals and sector-specific insight,” he said. 

Those metrics include gross domestic product growth, employment contribution, and non-oil revenue gains. 

At a sectoral level, fintech remains a bellwether. “In fintech, for example, sustained growth in digital payment adoption, rising financial inclusion, and tangible collaboration between fintech and incumbent banks signal structural integration rather than hype,” Murad explained. 

On the structural side, Saudi startups face a different set of challenges as they scale regionally and globally. 

While local capital and infrastructure offer a strong base, market fragmentation across the MENA region presents real operational hurdles. 

“Key challenges include regulatory differences, talent mobility constraints, and fragmented market demand,” Bahoshy said. 

In particular, sectors such as fintech and health tech often require jurisdiction-specific compliance, which can stretch the resources of scaling companies. 

Murad underscored the importance of localization and talent strategy in overcoming those barriers. 

“Startups operating in sectors such as fintech or health tech may find it particularly difficult to navigate differing compliance standards and approval timelines,” he said, adding that hiring local talent is often critical. 

“Our portfolio company Rabbit, a hyperlocal e-commerce platform, has made the recruitment of local employees a key part of its Saudi market entry strategy,” said Murad. 

Despite these headwinds, both Bahoshy and Murad see a strategic shift toward long-term market integration. 

“Saudi startups are increasingly positioning themselves as regional leaders within MENA,” Bahoshy said, with many expanding into the UAE, Egypt, and other Gulf Cooperation Council markets. 

Murad added that founders are building their businesses “with scalability in mind,” and are “leveraging the Kingdom’s strong capital base, infrastructure, and Vision 2030 momentum to compete across borders.” 

Next growth phase

Ultimately, the next phase for Saudi Arabia’s startup ecosystem will depend on how effectively it balances public ambition with private execution. 

While Vision 2030 provides a powerful narrative and institutional backing, sustained impact will be measured by market maturity, depth of innovation, and the ability of startups to solve real problems across borders and sectors. 

As Saudi Arabia’s startup ecosystem transitions from state-backed momentum to market maturity, investors and policymakers are shifting their focus from funding volume to long-term value creation. 

This next phase will test whether startups can scale beyond subsidized growth and become embedded drivers of innovation across sectors and borders. 

“What often matters most is on-the-ground visibility: how embedded startups are in daily life, how their products are solving real problems, and how much institutional trust they’ve earned,” said Murad. 

That visibility — whether in finance, healthcare, or logistics — is increasingly seen as a litmus test for lasting impact. 

Startups that succeed in the Kingdom are now expected to meet regulatory standards, address market needs, and contribute to non-oil GDP. 

Murad pointed to the fintech sector, where startups are not only attracting investment but also becoming integral to the financial system through collaboration with banks and the adoption of digital infrastructure. 

He noted that alignment with national priorities, like those in the Financial Sector Development Programme, helps reinforce sector-wide progress. 

Regional expansion remains an important strategic goal, but the road to cross-border growth is uneven. 

Bahoshy pointed out that as Saudi startups expand into nearby markets, they encounter challenges such as varying regulations, limited movement of skilled talent, and inconsistent consumer demand across the region.

To mitigate these challenges, firms are increasingly investing in local knowledge and partnerships rather than applying one-size-fits-all models.


Saudi Arabia’s retail real estate growth prospects strong: S&P Global 

Updated 17 July 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s retail real estate growth prospects strong: S&P Global 

RIYADH: International retail brands attracted by social and economic shifts in Saudi Arabia are set to deliver real estate sector growth to the Kingdom, according to an analysis.

In its latest report, S&P Global stated that the residential real estate sector in the nation also appears strong, with young Saudi families relocating to cities in search of work opportunities. 

Strengthening the real estate sector is one of the crucial goals outlined in Vision 2030, as Saudi Arabia continues to diversify its economy away from oil and position itself as a global business and tourist destination. 

The Kingdom’s Real Estate General Authority expects the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, with an anticipated compound annual growth rate of 8 percent from 2024.

In its latest report, S&P Global said: “Saudi retail real estate growth prospects are strong. Significant social and economic changes in the Kingdom are making it a major target market for international brands in the fashion, luxury, and food and beverage segments. As a result, demand for premium retail space is increasing.” 

In June, global real estate consultancy Knight Frank, also echoed similar views, stating that Saudi Arabia’s commercial real estate sector is witnessing exponential growth, with rents for Grade A office spaces in the Kingdom’s capital reaching SR2,700 ($719.95) per sq. meter by the end of the first quarter, representing a 23 percent rise compared to the same period in the previous year. 

In its latest analysis, S&P Global noted that Saudi Arabia’s retail landscape is expected to face several challenges, including oversupply, particularly in the shopping mall sector. 

“Saudi retail real estate could face a supply wall. Knight Frank forecasts Riyadh’s supply to grow by 50 percent by 2027 and Jeddah’s to grow 75 percent over the same period. This could lead to rental discounts, revenue-sharing lease models, and other incentives to maintain occupancies,” said S&P Global. 

The US-based agency further stated that the Kingdom’s retail real estate sector has strong growth prospects, provided that careful planning and market positioning are implemented, which are expected to help mall owners ensure long-term success.

In a broader context, the report projected that Dubai and Abu Dhabi are experiencing resilient demand and modest rental growth for retail real estate, with prime super-regional malls continuing to dominate the market, which has led to mall owners expanding their offerings.

S&P Global added that Dubai’s commercial real estate sector is booming, as vacancy rates remain at an all-time low of 8.6 percent, and demand for grade-A offices drives up rentals. 

“Supportive regulations for businesses, dynamic economic environment, and the low tax regime sustains the city’s attractiveness for global businesses and family offices,” said the report. 

S&P Global cautioned that oversupply in the oil market will continue to outweigh slow oil demand growth through 2025 and beyond, and this could negatively impact the growth of real estate sectors in both Saudi Arabia and Dubai. 

“Unfavorable tariffs could also lead to economic slowdown and weaker market sentiment. This could have some impact on residential prices and rents as we believe there is good correlation, despite Dubai’s economy being less reliant on oil. Saudi Arabia and its spending on Vision 2030 remain highly dependent on oil prices,” added the report. 

According to the analysis, the current ceasefire between Israel and Iran has reduced immediate regional credit stress; however, an escalated, prolonged geopolitical conflict could lead to an expatriate exodus from the region, severely impacting real estate prices and rents.


Syria announces sweeping tax reforms to boost transparency, investment

Updated 17 July 2025
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Syria announces sweeping tax reforms to boost transparency, investment

RIYADH: Syria’s Finance Ministry has announced a major overhaul of the country’s tax system, set to take effect in early 2026, as part of broader efforts to modernize fiscal policy, enhance transparency, and attract investment.

According to a statement carried by the state-run SANA news agency, the draft law for the new income tax system is currently open for public consultation until July 30. The reforms are designed to ease the burden on taxpayers, promote fairness, and stimulate economic activity through clearer and more equitable rules.

Under the proposed system, individuals earning less than $12,000 annually will be fully exempt from income tax, in a move aimed at supporting low-income earners.

Corporate tax rates will be tailored by sector, replacing the current “flat income committees” with a more transparent and structured mechanism.

The reforms will also unify multiple charges into a single tax fee to eliminate double taxation, while offering deductions for taxpayers who make verified social contributions.

Enhanced digital systems—including mandatory electronic invoicing and QR code integration—will be introduced to curb tax evasion and strengthen compliance.

To improve trust and streamline the resolution of tax disputes, the ministry plans to implement simplified procedures, with complex cases referred to a specialized tax court. Notably, the burden of proving income sources will shift from the taxpayer to the tax authority—a significant change from the existing framework.

In addition, incentives will be introduced for timely payment, and a separate initiative will address the settlement of outstanding tax dues to protect public funds without overburdening taxpayers.

The Finance Ministry said the changes reflect its commitment to building a fair, flexible, and modern tax environment that can support Syria’s broader economic recovery.


Saudi MSME lending surges 31% in Q1 amid digital optimism and financial reform

Updated 17 July 2025
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Saudi MSME lending surges 31% in Q1 amid digital optimism and financial reform

  • Total value of facilities reached SR383.2 billion
  • 95.12 percent was disbursed by banks

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s lending to small, medium, and micro enterprises rose by 31 percent year on year in the first quarter of 2025, according to recent data from the Saudi Central Bank. 

The total value of facilities reached SR383.2 billion ($102.18 billion), up from SR293.43 billion in the same period last year. 

Of this, 95.12 percent was disbursed by banks, while the remaining 4.88 percent came from finance companies, highlighting the formal sector’s growing involvement in SME credit provision. 

Medium-sized companies — defined as those with revenues between SR40 million and SR200 million and 50–249 employees — accounted for the largest share of loans, receiving SR190.18 billion. 

Small enterprises followed with SR139.6 billion, while micro-enterprises received SR53.43 billion. Notably, micro-enterprises saw the fastest growth, with loan volumes surging by 82 percent year on year, compared to 35 percent for small enterprises and 18 percent for medium-sized firms. 

The lending boom reflects the expanding role of SMEs in Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification strategy under Vision 2030. 

Monsha’at, the General Authority for Small and Medium Enterprises, has played a pivotal role through programs like Kafalah — a loan guarantee initiative designed to de-risk lending to SMEs by assuring a portion of the loan value to participating financial institutions. 

This has been instrumental in extending access to credit, particularly for micro and first-time borrowers. 

Despite rising loan volumes, credit access remains a structural challenge. According to the World Bank, SMEs across the Middle East and North Africa region receive only 8 percent of total bank credit, compared to 22 percent in high-income economies. In Saudi Arabia, SMEs accounted for just over 9 percent of total loans in 2024 — far below the Vision 2030 target of 20 percent. 

New players are helping bridge the gap. Saudi-based fintech platform Erad recently raised $16 million in a pre-Series A funding round to expand its Shariah-compliant, data-driven SME financing offering, according to Wamda in April. 
The company, which provides funding in as little as 48 hours, says over 60 percent of its clients are first-time credit takers. Since launch, it has processed more than SR100 million in funding and received over SR2 billion in applications, underscoring pent-up demand for fast, flexible finance. 

Meanwhile, digital optimism among Saudi entrepreneurs is on the rise. According to the 2025 Mastercard SME Confidence Index, 93 percent of surveyed SMEs expressed confidence in the year ahead. 

The adoption of digital payments has risen sharply, with 99 percent now accepting them, up from 88 percent in 2023. SMEs cited faster access to revenues, enhanced credibility with financial institutions, and more streamlined transactions as key benefits. 

Data and AI are also seen as enablers of smarter, more inclusive lending. Nearly 97 percent of surveyed SMEs said better data and analytics tools were essential to scaling operations. 

A growing number are prioritizing AI, automation, and cybersecurity in their growth strategies — trends that align with broader efforts to digitize financial infrastructure. 

Lending models must evolve alongside SME needs. Traditional bank lending often requires fixed-asset collateral and extensive documentation, limiting access for tech-oriented or service-based SMEs, according to a June article by International Banker. 

Risk assessment remains based on backward-looking financials, rather than dynamic indicators like sales or payroll data. Fintechs like Erad are disrupting this model by using real-time revenue data to underwrite loans. 

Globally, the credit gap for SMEs stands at $5.7 trillion, with Gulf Cooperation Council countries accounting for roughly $250 billion of that, according to International Banker. Saudi Arabia’s efforts to close this gap are gaining momentum. In addition to loan guarantees and fintech innovations, open banking frameworks, SME-focused digital banks, and embedded finance models are helping to lower access barriers. 

Vision 2030 sets a clear target: raise SME contribution to GDP from 30 percent to 35 percent. With over 1.8 million SMEs now operating in the Kingdom, financial empowerment of this sector is not just a policy goal — it is a macroeconomic imperative. 

The path ahead will require deeper ecosystem alignment, tailored credit models, and continued innovation. But the first quarter of 2025 has already signaled a strong start — one that reflects both institutional commitment and entrepreneurial momentum across the Kingdom. 


Oil Updates — prices up as demand expectations, economic data lift sentiment

Updated 17 July 2025
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Oil Updates — prices up as demand expectations, economic data lift sentiment

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose on Thursday, reversing declines in the previous three sessions, buoyed by stronger-than-expected economic data from the world’s top oil consumers and signs of easing trade tensions.

Brent crude futures rose 8 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $68.60 a barrel at 8:30 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 16 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $66.54. Both benchmarks fell more than 0.2 percent in the previous session.

US President Donald Trump has said letters notifying smaller countries of their US tariff rates would go out soon, and said on Wednesday that he would probably put a blanket 10 percent or 15 percent tariff on smaller countries.

New agreements with Indonesia and Vietnam were announced this week.

Trump also offered renewed optimism about prospects of a deal with Beijing on illicit drugs and hinted that a trade deal with India was very close, while an agreement could possibly be reached with Europe as well.

“Trump softened tones on China and proposed lower tariff rates on smaller countries, which are seen as positive developments in the global trade outlooks,” said independent analyst Tina Teng.

“China’s better-than-expected economic data and the US’s larger-than-expected oil inventory draw have both been bullish factors for oil prices.”

US crude inventories fell by 3.9 million barrels to 422.2 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, a steeper decline than forecast for a 552,000-barrel draw, suggesting stronger refinery activity, tighter supply, and increased demand.

However, larger-than-expected builds in gasoline and diesel inventories capped price gains. This raised concerns of weakening demand from summer travel, ANZ analysts said in a note on Thursday.

The latest snapshot of the US economy by the central bank, released on Wednesday, showed activity picked up in recent weeks. However, the outlook was “neutral to slightly pessimistic” as businesses reported that higher import tariffs were putting upward pressure on prices.

Meanwhile, China data showed growth slowed in the second quarter, but not by as much as previously feared, in part because of front-loading to beat US tariffs, easing fears over the state of the world’s largest crude importer’s economy.

Data also showed that China’s June crude oil throughput was up 8.5 percent from a year ago, implying stronger fuel demand.

“Support has come from the positive news pertaining to some easing of trade tensions between China and the US with President Trump lifting the ban on the sale of AI chips to China along with the announcement of a trade deal with Indonesia,” said John Paisie, president of Stratas Advisers. 


Most Gulf markets in red on US inflation concerns, rate uncertainty

Updated 16 July 2025
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Most Gulf markets in red on US inflation concerns, rate uncertainty

  • Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index dropped 0.5%
  • Dubai’s benchmark index jumped 1%

DUBAI: Most Gulf markets ended lower on Wednesday as investors weighed US trade policy developments and signs that tariffs may be fueling inflation, while awaiting cues on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. 

US consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in five months in June, raising concerns that tariffs were beginning to pressure inflation. 

On Tuesday, President Donald Trump said letters notifying smaller countries of their tariff rates would be sent soon. 

Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index dropped 0.5 percent, hit by a 0.4 percent fall in Al Rajhi Bank. Oil giant Saudi Aramco fell 0.7 percent. About 217.4 million shares changed hands, compared with an average of 314.3 million shares over the previous 10 sessions. 

Oil prices — a catalyst for the Gulf’s financial markets — fell by about 1 percent, as signs of stronger Chinese crude consumption were outweighed by investor caution about the wider economic impact from US tariffs. 

Dubai’s benchmark index jumped 1 percent to 5,974 dirhams, having crossed the mark for the first time in nearly 17.5 years. Financial stocks led gains with a 3.7 percent jump in Emirates NBD after concluding 3.9 billion dirhams in syndicated loans for Dubai Metro’s Blue Line Project. 

Abu Dhabi index added 0.3 percent, helped by a 2.6 percent increase in top lender First Abu Dhabi Bank. Strong bank earnings lifted sentiment across both Abu Dhabi and Dubai financials. 

Qatar’s stock index inched 0.1 percent lower. In the US, data on Tuesday showed consumer prices rose 0.3 percent in June, in line with forecasts, but the largest gain since January. 

Trump, however, reiterated his call for lower interest rates from the Fed, saying that consumer prices remain low. Monetary policy in the Gulf tends to mirror the Fed’s moves, given the region’s currency pegs to the US dollar. 

Outside the Gulf, Egypt’s blue-chip index, which is trading at a near all-time high, dropped 1 percent, weighed by a 5.3 percent slide in tobacco monopoly Eastern Company. 

Egypt’s progress on structural reforms under an $8 billion International Monetary Fund loan agreement has been mixed, the fund said, citing the public sector’s continued dominance of the economy as a problem.