Pakistan inflation inches up 3.5% year-on-year in May 2025

Labourers sort mangoes before packing them into boxes at a farm on the outskirts of Hyderabad in Pakistan's southern Sindh province on May 31, 2025. (AFP)
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Updated 03 June 2025
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Pakistan inflation inches up 3.5% year-on-year in May 2025

  • Inflation has cooled significantly, easing from 37.97% in May 2023
  • Federal budget for fiscal year 2025-26 will be released on June 10

KARACHI: Pakistan’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.5% in May, higher than the April 2025 reading of 0.3%, data from the statistics bureau showed on Monday.

On a month-on-month basis, inflation decreased by 0.2% in May 2025, as compared to a decrease of 0.8% in the previous month and a decrease of 3.2% in May 2024. The CPI inflation average during 11MFY25 stood at 4.61%, compared to 24.52% in 11MFY24.

Inflation has cooled significantly, easing from 37.97% in May 2023.

The CPI reading is higher than the government’s expectations. In its monthly economic report released last week, the finance ministry expected inflation to ease to between 1.5% and 2% year-on-year in May, before picking up to 3%-4% in June.

“CPI inflation General, increased to 3.5% on year-on-year basis in May 2025 as compared to 0.3% of the previous month and 11.8% in May 2024,” the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) said in its monthly report.

“On month-on-month basis, it decreased by 0.2% in May 2025 as compared to a decrease of 0.8% in the previous month and a decrease of 3.2% in May 2024.”

Food items, whose prices recorded an increase, included Eggs (24.38%), Chicken (8.63%), Condiments and Spices (5.50%), Sugar (4.07%), Gur (3.66%), Milk Powder (2.80%), Potatoes (1.64%), Butter (1.31%), Fresh Fruits (1.21%), Pulse Gram (1.09%), Beverages (0.87%), Meat (0.82%), Sweetmeat (0.79%) and Pulse Moong (0.53%).

Non-food items that witnessed an increase in rates were Cotton Cloth (3.20%), Motor Vehicles (1.86%), Postal Services (1.74%), Major Tools & Equipment (1.23%), Readymade Garments (1.02%), Tailoring (0.95%) and Cleaning & Laundry (0.65%).

The latest CPI reading was also higher than projections made by several brokerage houses.

JS Global projected Pakistan’s headline inflation to inch up to 2.7% in May.

“Pakistan’s CPI is expected to clock in at 2.7% for May. The base effect is now fading, signaling a return to normalized price trends. This is likely to take 11MFY25 average inflation to 4.7%, down from 11MFY24 average of 24.9%,” JS Global had said in a report.

Last month, the State Bank of Pakistan cut the key interest rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 11%, the lowest policy rate since March 2022 (9.75%). The central bank has cut the rate by 1,100 bps since June from an all-time high of 22%.


Pakistan says it seized 32 square kilometers inside Afghanistan as border clashes escalate

Updated 28 February 2026
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Pakistan says it seized 32 square kilometers inside Afghanistan as border clashes escalate

  • Security official describes ‘limited tactical action’ in Gudwana after Afghan assaults
  • Islamabad accuses Kabul of sheltering militants as UN, China and Russia urge restraint

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has seized a 32-square-kilometer area inside Afghanistan following overnight fighting, a security official said on Saturday, as cross-border clashes between the two countries escalated sharply.

A Pakistani security official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said troops carried out a “limited tactical action” in the Gudwana area opposite the Zhob sector along the frontier, capturing Afghan territory after responding to attacks on Pakistani positions.

“On the night of Feb. 26/27, posts opposite the Zhob sector launched anticipated physical attacks on multiple Pakistani positions,” the official said, referring to fighters linked to Afghanistan’s Taliban authorities, whom Islamabad identifies as Tehreek-e-Taliban Afghanistan (TTA).

“In response to aggressive unprovoked fire and physical attacks, Pakistan security forces launched a limited tactical action on the night of Feb. 27/28 in the general area of Gudwana with a view to capture TTA Tahir Post,” he continued, adding that 32 square kilometers of Afghan territory were seized.

The official said special combat teams crossed the border after preparatory bombardment, supported by intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance assets providing “real-time battlefield awareness.”

He said 24 Afghan Taliban fighters were killed and 37 wounded, with no Pakistani casualties reported.

The claims could not be independently verified, and there was no immediate confirmation from Taliban authorities in Kabul of any territorial loss in the Gudwana area.

The latest clashes erupted after Pakistani airstrikes targeted what Islamabad described as militant hideouts inside Afghanistan over the weekend, triggering retaliatory fire along the frontier and sharply escalating long-running tensions. Islamabad accuses Kabul of sheltering Pakistani Taliban militants responsible for attacks inside Pakistan, an allegation that Afghanistan denies.

Pakistan’s Information Minister Attaullah Tarar said on Saturday evening that 352 Afghan Taliban fighters had been killed and more than 535 wounded since the latest phase of hostilities began.

Tarar said Pakistani strikes had destroyed 130 check posts, 171 tanks and armored vehicles and targeted 41 locations across Afghanistan by air. Those figures could not be independently verified.

The United Nations, as well as China and Russia, have called for restraint.

The United States said Pakistan has the right to defend itself against cross-border militancy.