AI set to double data center electricity demand by 2030: IEA

Data centers are set to account for around one-tenth of global electricity demand growth to 2030. Shutterstock
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Updated 11 April 2025
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AI set to double data center electricity demand by 2030: IEA

RIYADH: Electricity consumption by data centers is expected to double by 2030 to reach 945 terawatts per hour, driven by the rapid use of applications powered by artificial intelligence, according to a think tank. 

In its latest report, the International Energy Agency said that this rise in electricity demand will create new challenges for energy security and carbon dioxide emission goals. 

According to the IEA, electricity consumption by data centers has increased by 12 percent annually since 2019 to reach 1.5 percent of the global amount in 2024.

The agency added that even though AI is driving the use, the technology can also unlock opportunities to produce and consume electricity more efficiently. 

“AI is one of the biggest stories in the energy world today — but until now, policymakers and markets lacked the tools to fully understand the wide-ranging impacts. Global electricity demand from data centers is set to more than double over the next five years, consuming as much electricity by 2030 as the whole of Japan does today,” said Fatih Birol, executive director of the IEA. 

He added: “The effects will be particularly strong in some countries. For example, in the US, data centers are on course to account for almost half of the growth in electricity demand; in Japan, more than half; and in Malaysia, as much as one-fifth.” 

The IEA further said that generative AI requires colossal computing power to process information accumulated in gigantic databases. 

The report added that data centers in the US are set to consume more electricity than the cumulative power used for the production of aluminum, steel, cement, chemicals and all other energy-intensive goods combined by the end of this decade. 

In advanced economies more broadly, data centers are projected to drive more than 20 percent of the growth in electricity demand between now and 2030, putting the power sector in those economies back on a growth footing after years of stagnating or declining demand in many of them. 

In March, another report by the IEA revealed that energy demand globally rose by 2.2 percent in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by usage of electricity and growth in emerging and developing economies. 

In that analysis, the agency revealed that energy demand growth last year was also faster than the average annual increase of 1.3 percent between 2013 and 2023. 

Meeting rising demand 

According to the IEA, the world should tap a diverse range of energy sources to meet data centers’ rising electricity needs. 

Data centers are set to account for around one-tenth of global electricity demand growth to 2030, less than the share from industrial motors, air conditioning in homes and offices, or electric vehicles. 

The report projected that renewables and natural gas are set to take the lead in this journey due to their cost-competitiveness and availability in key markets.

“Renewables generation is projected to grow by over 450 TWh to meet data center demand to 2035, building on short lead times, economic competitiveness and the procurement strategies of tech companies,” said the IEA. 

It added: “Dispatchable sources, led by natural gas, also have a crucial role to play, with the tech sector helping to bring forward new nuclear and geothermal technologies as well.” 

The report further said that natural gas and nuclear power capacity is projected to grow by over 175TWh each by the end of this decade to meet electricity demand in data centers. 

Aligning with this trend, in October Google signed a deal with Kairos Power to to use small nuclear reactors to generate the vast amounts of energy needed to power its AI-based data centers. 

In the same month, Amazon also signed three agreements with X-Energy to develop nuclear power technology called small modular reactors to power its data centers. 

Microsoft is also eyeing to use nuclear energy from new reactors at Three Mile Island, the site of America’s worst nuclear accident. 

Earlier this month, in a separate report, the IEA said that the range of new energy technologies under development globally is broader and appears more promising than ever before, catering to the rising demand. 

The think tank added that modern energy technology landscape is highly dynamic, with both emerging and established economies contributing to the growth of innovation in the sector. 
Unlocking opportunities through AI 

According to the IEA, while data centers could negatively impact energy security, wise implementation of AI has the potential to transform the energy sector in the coming decade. 

The report said that effective use of the technology could unlock significant opportunities to cut costs, enhance competitiveness, and reduce emissions.

“With the rise of AI, the energy sector is at the forefront of one of the most important technological revolutions of our time,” said Birol. 

He added: “AI is a tool, potentially an incredibly powerful one, but it is up to us – our societies, governments and companies – how we use it.”

According to the report, countries that want to benefit from the potential of AI need to quickly accelerate new investments in electricity generation and grids. 

The IEA also urged these nations to improve the efficiency and flexibility of data centers, and strengthen the dialogue between policymakers, the tech sector and the energy industry.

The report added that countries should also consider establishing new data centers in areas of high power and grid availability. 

The Paris-based agency further said that AI could intensify some energy security strains while helping to address others. 

“Cyberattacks on energy utilities have tripled in the past four years and become more sophisticated because of AI. At the same time, AI is becoming a critical tool for energy companies to defend against such attacks,” said the IEA. 

The emission factor

The IEA said that the growth of data centers will inevitably increase carbon emissions linked to electricity consumption, from 180 million tons of CO2 today to 300 million tonnes by 2035. 

However, these emissions remain a minimal share of the 41.6 billion tonnes of overall global emissions estimated in 2024. 

“While the increase in electricity demand for data centers is set to drive up emissions, this increase will be small in the context of the overall energy sector and could potentially be offset by emissions reductions enabled by AI if adoption of the technology is widespread,” said the report. 

The think tank added that AI could also accelerate innovation in sustainable energy technologies such as batteries and solar photovoltaics, thus contributing to the global climate goals. 


Mapping Saudi soils to grow better crops

Updated 19 December 2025
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Mapping Saudi soils to grow better crops

  • Palm trees, root crops, and coastal plants reveal the land’s story

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s land tells stories written beneath the feet. From fertile plains and rugged highlands to vast deserts, the Kingdom’s diverse landscapes shape what can grow, where it grows, and how agriculture can thrive.

Alongside geography and climate, soil conditions play a decisive role in agricultural success. Understanding soil types across the Kingdom helps determine which crops can flourish and what interventions may be needed to sustain them.

In an interview with Arab News, Turki Almutairi, a senior environmental specialist at the National Afforestation Center under the National Center for Vegetation Cover Development and Combating Desertification, outlined the main soil types found across Saudi Arabia.

High amount of salt makes the soil unfit for the production of most crops, even if the soil is fertile. (Supplied)

“The dominant soil in the Kingdom are sandy desert soils, alongside calcareous soils in the central region. Rocky and stony soils are present along mountainous and hilly landscapes,” he said.

“Alluvial soils are common in wadies (valleys), while saline and sodic soils are located in depressions (Sabkhas) and along coastlines. Pockets of clayed soils can be also found around few sites along the Kingdom.”

The Kingdom’s vast territory gives rise to unique soil characteristics in each region, enabling different crops to grow depending on local conditions.

“Soil is the growing medium for plants. The role of soil includes structural stabilization, providing nutrients and a communication medium for plants,” Basil Nasir, soil lead at engineering consultancy William Sale Partnership, told Arab News.

Basil Nasir, soil lead at the engineering consultant company, William Sale Partnership (WSP). (Supplied)

According to Nasir, assessing soil use is essential before determining whether it is fertile or infertile, as different soils support different plant types.

“The soil used for trees differs from the soil used for ornamental plants and from the soil used for aquatic plants. It varies according to the specific needs of each plant, and based on this, we determine what the soil requires and assess its fertility,” he said.

Nasir explained that soil characteristics are shaped by both physical and chemical components. In addition to water and air, mineral particles such as sand, silt and clay are key indicators of soil health. Organic matter, derived from plant and animal remains, forms the fourth major component.

The balance between these elements determines soil behavior. One important physical trait is water-holding capacity, which influences what types of plants a soil can support.

 

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“If the soil is like dunes, adding water will cause it to run off, but if the soil is clay, its ability to retain water will be very high. If you add water and return the next day, you will find that the water is still there,” said Nasir.

Chemical properties, such as whether soil is alkaline or acidic, are equally important. Understanding both physical and chemical traits allows for proper assessment and treatment when needed.

“What determines whether a plant is suitable for a particular environment is primarily the plant's nature. For example, some plants have fibrous roots and therefore do not require well-draining soil,” Nasir added.

“A palm tree, for example, does not care whether it was planted in one soil or the other because its roots are fibrous. Therefore, palm trees are strong plants and are suitable to grow in both dry and wetlands, while preferring sandy areas.”

Soil Salinity can be treated through Soil leaching which means washing the soil with certain amount of water to reduce the salt in it. (Supplied)

Crops such as potatoes, onions, carrots and beetroots — where the edible part grows underground — typically thrive in sandy soils. As a result, plantations of these crops are commonly found in northern regions such as Hail and in Wadi Ad-Dawasir.

In the eastern region, including Al-Ahsa, wetlands are more common due to climatic conditions. Growing plants in such environments often requires human intervention.

“Plants that are coastal or could be found in lagoons or lakes must have some sort of soil around them, like lotus flowers and mangrove trees.”

“An important parameter to keep in mind is that there is no air in its soil, and they are adapted to this condition. However, the lack of air, along with the presence of organic matter, will create a situation where anaerobic bacteria react with the soil, potentially causing diseases we can easily avoid,” said Nasir.

He emphasized that removing organic matter from such soils is essential to ensure plant survival in aquatic environments.

Mountainous and rocky regions in Saudi Arabia are generally volcanic, resulting in low water-holding capacity and challenging growing conditions. However, volcanic ash contributes to high fertility, allowing certain crops to flourish.

As a result, western regions support tree crops such as coffee, mangoes, some banana varieties and pomegranates.

There are various types of soils such as clay, sandy, silty and loamy. Each type provides excellent conditions for specific plants. (Supplied)

As development accelerates across the Kingdom, soil improvement efforts are expanding under the National Greening Program.

“Soil is considered fundamental for the National Greening Program’s objectives. Understanding the soil variability along the Kingdom is a precondition for fostering sustainable soil management,” Almutairi told Arab News.

Adding, “In this line, the NGP is working towards the establishment of the Saudi Soil Information System (TURBA-KSA), which consists of mapping soils and its functional properties in the Kingdom using state-of-the-art technology.”

He also noted the creation of the “Land Rehabilitation Watch” to report, verify and monitor land rehabilitation nationwide.

“This milestone allows the Kingdom to understand how soil and land health are progressing against national and international targets of land degradation neutrality. Documenting good soil and land management practices is also important, so that those successful practices could be scaled up along the Kingdom, which is a priority task for NGP,” he said.

Raising public awareness is another key pillar of the program.

“Assessing different emerging technologies and soil amendments is a daily activity of NGP, as it then provides technical support to partners on the selection and application of these technologies.”

DID YOU KNOW?

• Saudi Arabia cultivates around 1 million hectares, mainly in Riyadh, Qassim, Hail, and Jouf.

• Farming follows the seasons: winter brings onions, garlic, and carrots, while summer yields watermelon, tomatoes, and cucumbers.

• The Kingdom is a top date producer, with over 31 million palm trees generating nearly 1.54 million tons, especially in Riyadh and Qassim.

Almutairi stressed that soil is often overlooked because it lies unseen beneath the surface, despite its critical role.

Yet soil produces 95 percent of food, stores water, holds more carbon than vegetation and the atmosphere, suppresses contaminants, regulates water, carbon and nutrient cycles, and hosts microorganisms linked to the human microbiome.

He emphasized the need to engage the general public, particularly urban communities disconnected from nature. Education helps people understand where food comes from and how contact with soil — such as walking barefoot — can support well-being. Healthy soils also contribute to cleaner water and air, he added.

Almutairi also called for stronger advocacy among decision-makers, noting that investment in healthy soils supports climate action, food security and sustainable development.

He concluded that key strategies include officially observing UN World Soil Day on Dec. 5, integrating soil education into curricula, launching annual social media campaigns, using art to raise awareness, and organizing public events that connect soils to everyday life.