Pakistan says inflation expected to remain within 1-1.5% range in March 

People visit a market to shop for the upcoming Eid al-Fitr celebrations, which marks the end of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Peshawar, Pakistan, on March 24, 2025. (AP)
Short Url
Updated 25 March 2025
Follow

Pakistan says inflation expected to remain within 1-1.5% range in March 

  • Inflation may inch up to 2-3% in April 2025, says Finance Division in monthly economic outlook report
  • Says Pakistan may record likely increase in remittances due to “seasonal factors” such as Ramadan, Eid festivals

KARACHI: Inflation is expected to remain within the 1-1.5% range in Pakistan during the month of March, the country’s Finance Division said in its monthly outlook report on Tuesday, as Islamabad navigates a tricky path to recovery from a macroeconomic crisis. 

Aggressive policy rate cuts by Pakistan’s central bank and a series of economic reforms by the government has led to a substantial decline in Pakistan’s annual inflation rate, bringing it down to 1.5% in February 2025.

Pakistan’s inflation rate peaked to a record high of 38% in May 2023 on account of surging food and fuel costs as Islamabad withdrew energy and fuel subsidies under a deal agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a financial bailout package. 

“Inflation is anticipated to remain within the range of 1.0-1.5% for March 2025 and inching up to 2.0-3.0% in April 2025,” the Finance Division said in the outlook report. 

It added that high frequency indicators, such as a “positive” growth in cement sales, increased automobile production and higher imports with an easy monetary policy, suggest a potential uptick in production if demand conditions remain supportive. 

The report highlighted that Pakistan may record a likely increase in foreign remittances due to “seasonal factors” such as the holy month of Ramadan and the upcoming Eid festivals. 

“Similarly, exports and imports are expected to improve owing to the expansion in economic activity,” the report said. “Collectively, these factors will help to keep the current account within manageable limits.”

The report praised the government’s resource mobilization, saying it had led to an increase in tax collection during the month and also noted the “favorable” performance of the Pakistan Stock Exchange compared to major global indices.

Pakistan’s government has claimed the country is finally on the path to sustainable economic growth, vowing to undertake long-term financial reforms. The nation expects its foreign exchange reserves to increase beyond $13 billion by June despite weak net financial inflows caused by a shortfall in the planned official inflows. 

Pakistan has also repaid the majority of its external debt due this year, according to the central bank.


Growing pressure on Arab banks amid complex cross-border contracts, legal risks 

Updated 7 sec ago
Follow

Growing pressure on Arab banks amid complex cross-border contracts, legal risks 

DAMMAM: Arab banks — numbering around 520 this year — are facing mounting challenges, led by the growing complexity of cross-border banking contracts and rising legal risks tied to modern financial products, Wissam Fattouh, secretary-general of the Union of Arab Banks, told Al-Eqtisadiah. 

Fattouh said addressing these challenges, driven by global economic and financial shifts, requires Arab banks — whose combined assets exceed $5.5 trillion — to strengthen risk management, continue structural reforms, and expand cooperation with foreign banks and financial institutions in line with the nature of global financial markets. 

He noted that the “Certified International Arbitrator” credential offered by the UAB to Arab banks is one of the professional tools supporting governance in banking transactions and providing effective, specialized alternatives to traditional litigation, particularly in cross-border disputes. 

Growing complexity of financial products and services 

Fattouh said the certification represents a specialized professional program aimed at preparing qualified banking and legal professionals to handle international commercial and banking disputes, particularly those linked to the financial sector, as financial products and services become more complex, regulations tighten, and global compliance requirements increase. 

In November, the UAB told Al-Eqtisadiah that the assets of 11 Saudi banks included among the 100 largest Arab banks last year, accounted for 24 percent of the total, reaching $1.1 trillion out of $4.5 trillion. 

The top 10 Arab banks were led by Qatar National Bank, followed by First Abu Dhabi Bank, Saudi National Bank, Emirates NBD, Al-Rajhi Bank, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, National Bank of Egypt, National Bank of Kuwait, Riyad Bank, and Kuwait Finance House. 

Fattouh said Arab banks have demonstrated a clear ability in recent years to withstand global economic shocks, supported by solid capitalization and liquidity levels, as well as a relative improvement in asset quality, strengthening the sector compared with several other emerging markets. 

Betting on continued development of regulatory frameworks 

Fattouh expects the Arab banking sector to continue playing a pivotal role in financing productive sectors, supporting small and medium-sized enterprises, and contributing to funding the transition toward a green economy, as well as advancing digital transformation across Arab economies. 

He stressed that this role depends on the continued development of regulatory frameworks and stronger risk management, particularly amid rising cyber risks, compliance challenges, and global market volatility. 

He added that digitalization has become essential for improving operational efficiency, noting that the UAB will focus in 2026 on enhancing dialogue between Arab banks and regulators, supporting the development of banking and financial policies, and contributing to regional financial stability. 

He further said that the Union also plans to organize specialized training programs in risk management, compliance, digitalization, and finance.