COP16: Largest-ever UN meeting on desertification starts in Riyadh

COP16 will run from Dec. 2 to 13. AN
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Updated 02 December 2024
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COP16: Largest-ever UN meeting on desertification starts in Riyadh

RIYADH: The largest-ever meeting of the UN Convention to Combat Desertification has kicked off in Riyadh, with bolstering global drought resilience one of the key goals.

Running from Dec. 2 to 13, the first few days of COP16 are set to see a number of high-profile summits, ministerial dialogues, and announcements to address the pressing challenges associated with land degradation, degradation and drought. 

French President Emmanuel Macron is expected to be among the attendees, as is the President of the World Bank Ajay Banga. 

The opening day of the event will see Saudi Arabia use its presidency of the event to launch the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Initiative, in a bid to accelerate international action in this area.

In tandem, the Saudi Green Initiative Forum, running from Dec. 2 to 3, will include hundreds of policymakers, business leaders and subject matter experts from across the world in a dedicated pavilion in the COP16 Green Zone.

The Second International Forum on Greening Technologies is also set to take place in the Green Zone between Dec 6-8, including dozens of tailored sessions to explore solutions, innovations, and lessons learned from global greening projects, alongside showcasing the scientific research associated with restoration projects around the world.

3:15 p.m. - Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership announced 

Saudi Arabia has announced the launch of the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership, supported by a $150 million investment, according to a top official.

Speaking during the first plenary meeting, COP16 president Abdulrahman Abdulmohsen Al-Fadhley explained that the initiative aims to promote multilateral efforts in the countries most impacted by drought.

“The launching of the Riyadh Global Drought Resilience Partnership aims at promoting multilateral efforts to promote resilience, namely in the countries most impacted by drought. It includes proactive partnerships to support the UNCCD,” Al-Fadhley said.

“It is my pleasure to announce that the government of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will support this initiative with the amount of $150 million in the coming 10 years,” he added.

2:46 p.m. - EU to ramp up colloboration

 The EU is set to intensify global collaboration at COP16 in Riyadh, working with international partners to tackle desertification, land degradation, and drought while addressing food security, biodiversity loss, and water scarcity.

In a press release, the 27 member-state union said these issues are global challenges that require urgent action and scaling up of viable solutions, adding that they, exacerbated by climate change, also aggravate economic, social problems such as migration and forced displacement.

Jessika Roswall, commissioner for environment, water resilience, and competitive circular economy, who is representing the EU at COP16, said: “The world loses 100 million hectares of healthy and productive land every year - around twice the size of France. Without rich and fertile soils, we have no food. Without healthy land, people lose their livelihoods.”

The statement further said that the EU advocates for strengthening the implementation of the UNCCD both within the current framework and beyond 2030, underlining that it is crucial for the union that parties agree on a ‘solid budget’ for the Convention secretariat to carry out the decisions made at the COP.

1:58 p.m. – New group announced to support COP16 policy making




Osama Faqeeha, Saudi deputy minister of environment and advisor to the COP16 president.

Saudi Arabia aims to secure concrete outcomes from COP16 with the establishment of a “Friends of the Chair” group, tasked with drafting the Riyadh Policy Declaration, a key outcome document of the conference.  

Osama Faqeeha, Saudi deputy minister of environment and advisor to the COP16 president, announced the formation of the group, emphasizing its role in shaping the conference’s ministerial declaration. 

“The Friends of the Chair group will be facilitated by a group representing the COP presidency, and a report on the outcomes of its work will be submitted directly to me in my capacity as President,” Faqeeha stated.

12:52 p.m. – ‘Action cannot wait’

Amina Mohammed, deputy secretary-general of the UN, called for urgent global action, particularly around strengthening international cooperation on land degradation, ramping up restoration work, and mobilizing finance at scale. 

“Land sustains us, and we are destroying it. Action cannot wait,” she said. 

11:44 a.m - COP16 President speaks

COP16 President Abdulrahman Al-Fadhley, also the Kingdom’s minister of environment, used his speech to emphasized the Kingdom’s commitment to combating desertification, adding: “The Middle East is one of the regions most impacted by land degradation, drought, and desertification. We seek to address environmental challenges in partnership with the international community.” 

The environment minister highlighted Vision 2030 as a cornerstone for the Kingdom’s green agenda, saying: “Protecting the environment and natural resources is essential for achieving sustainable development and quality of life.”

10.43 a.m. - Private sector funding crucial to tackling degradation, UN executive says




Ibrahim Thiaw, executive secretary of the UN Convention to Combat Desertification. UNCCD

Restoring the world’s degraded land and holding back its deserts will require at least $2.6 trillion in investment by the end of the decade, the UN executive overseeing global talks on the issue told Reuters, quantifying the cost for the first time.

More frequent and severe droughts as a result of climate change combined with the food needs of a rising population meant societies were at greater risk of upheaval unless action was taken, Ibrahim Thiaw said.

A large chunk of the around $1 billion a day that is required will need to come from the private sector, said Thiaw, who is executive secretary of the UN Convention to Combat Desertification.

“The bulk of the investments on land restoration in the world is coming from public money. And that is not right. Because essentially the main driver of land degradation in the world is food production... which is in the hands of the private sector,” Thiaw said, adding that as of now it provides only 6 percent of the money needed to rehabilitate damaged land.

“How come that one hand is degrading the land and the other hand has the charge of restoring it and repairing it?,” said Thiaw, whilst acknowledging the responsibility of governments to set and enforce good land-use policies and regulations.

With a growing population meaning that the world needs to produce twice as much food on the same amount of land, private sector investment would be critical, he said.

To hit $2.6 trillion — approaching the annual economic output of France — the world needs to close an annual gap of $278 billion, after just $66 billion was invested in 2022, the UN said.

10:36 a.m. - Abdulrahman Abdulmohsen Al-Fadhley elected as COP16 president

 


Habib Bank, S&P Global launch Pakistan’s first index to track manufacturing sector

Updated 14 February 2025
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Habib Bank, S&P Global launch Pakistan’s first index to track manufacturing sector

  • The index will be a standardized economic indicator based on a survey of a diverse panel of industries
  • It will help track economic developments in Pakistan, support decision making by financial institutions

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s largest bank, Habib Bank Limited (HBL), and global financial information and analytics firm S&P Global have launched a new index to track the country’s manufacturing sector, the companies said on Friday.
Rising taxes and power tariffs have led to social unrest and hammered industries in Pakistan’s $350 billion economy, as it navigates a tricky path to recovery under a $7 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) program approved in September.
The HBL S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index will be a standardized economic indicator based on a survey of a diverse panel of industries.
It will be Pakistan’s first comprehensive manufacturing index and a welcome source of information for investors in a country where economic data is scarce.
The industries will be asked about their perceptions of current business conditions and future expectations and the index will be released on the first working day of each month, the companies said in a statement.
“The launch of Pakistan’s first ever PMI is a significant event contributing to the accessibility of timely and high-frequency data to track economic developments in Pakistan and support decision making by financial institutions, investors and businesses,” said Luke Thompson, Managing Director of S&P Global Market Intelligence, in a statement.
Muhammad Nassir Salim, President & CEO of HBL said the series will enhance investor confidence and transparency in Pakistan’s economy.


Saudi banks see record profits amid strong credit growth and debt market expansion

Updated 14 February 2025
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Saudi banks see record profits amid strong credit growth and debt market expansion

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s top 10 listed banks recorded all-time high net profits in 2024 of SR79.64 billion ($21.23 billion), reflecting a 13.84 percent annual increase, according to data from the Saudi Exchange.

The robust performance was driven by strong lending growth, declining interest rates, and increased participation in debt markets.

Saudi National Bank, known as SNB AlAhli, led the sector, accounting for 26.6 percent of total banking profits at SR21.19 billion, followed closely by Al Rajhi Bank, which contributed 24.8 percent, reaching SR19.72 billion.

These two banks constituted about 51.4 percent of the sector’s total profits.

Among the banks with the highest annual growth, Arab National Bank topped the list with a 21.98 percent rise in net profits to SR4.97 billion. Bank AlJazira followed with a 20.69 percent increase, reaching SR1.23 billion, despite holding the smallest share of sector profits at 1.5 percent.

Total assets for the top 10 Saudi banks surged to SR4.21 trillion in 2024, marking a 13.6 percent increase year on year. SNB AlAhli held the largest asset base at SR1.1 trillion, followed by Al Rajhi Bank at SR974.39 billion, with both banks collectively accounting for 49 percent of the sector’s total assets.

Al Rajhi Bank recorded the fastest asset growth, expanding by 20.58 percent, followed by Saudi Investment Bank, which grew by 20.53 percent to reach SR156.67 billion.

Saudi Arabia’s banking sector is poised to sustain its profitability in 2025, bolstered by strong credit growth and corporate lending tied to Vision 2030 projects, according to an S&P Global report released in January.

The financial services agency projected that bank lending would expand by 10 percent, driven primarily by corporate loans as the Kingdom continues to invest heavily in large-scale economic initiatives.

The outlook remains positive as stable credit growth, supported by easing interest rates and a favorable economic environment, is expected to maintain banks’ profitability, with return on assets estimated to remain between 2.1 percent and 2.2 percent.

The report further highlighted that banks may increasingly turn to international capital markets to finance Vision 2030-related investments, ensuring a steady flow of liquidity. Meanwhile, mortgage lending is also anticipated to rise, supported by lower borrowing costs and demographic trends fueling demand for residential properties.

Saudi banks have also maintained a dominant presence in the stock market, leading Tadawul’s trading activity in 2024’s fourth quarter with a 17 percent market share, surpassing the materials and energy sectors.

Bank loans and main growth drivers

Saudi banks’ total loans and advances to customers grew by 14.41 percent year on year in 2024, reaching SR2.81 trillion, while deposits rose by 7.87 percent to SR2.68 trillion during the same period.

Al Rajhi Bank led in loan issuance, providing SR693.4 billion, a 16.8 percent increase from the previous year, followed by SNB AlAhli with SR654.25 billion and Riyadh Bank with SR274.4 billion.

With the Saudi riyal pegged to the US dollar, the Kingdom’s central bank, known as SAMA, mirrors Fed rate movements. After interest rates peaked at 6 percent in 2024, they began to decline in September, reducing borrowing costs.

According to SAMA, 11.28 percent of total bank loans — 21 percent of corporate loans— were allocated to real estate, a key enabler of the Kingdom’s infrastructure expansion.

Saudi Investment Bank posted the highest loan growth rate at 23.18 percent, reaching SR99.47 billion, followed by Saudi First Bank with a 20.10 percent increase to SR259.35 billion.

Deposits and funding strategies

Bank deposits for the top 10 Saudi banks reached SR2.68 trillion in 2024, with Al Rajhi Bank holding the highest share at SR628.24 billion, followed by SNB AlAhli at SR579.76 billion.

The strongest deposit growth was seen in Riyadh Bank, which expanded by 20.21 percent to SR306.42 billion, followed by Bank AlJazira with a 15 percent increase to SR108.19 billion.

As lending growth outpaces deposit expansion, Saudi banks have increasingly turned to the debt capital market to fund their credit expansion.

According to Fitch Ratings, Saudi banks have significantly increased their international debt issuance since 2020, aligning with their long-term growth strategies and foreign-currency funding needs.

The GCC banking sector is projected to issue more than $30 billion in US dollar-denominated debt in 2025, following a record $42 billion in 2024, according to Fitch.

This surge is primarily driven by nearly $23 billion in maturing debt, lower US interest rates, and sustained regional credit demand, particularly in Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

In 2024, GCC banks represented 18 percent of all emerging-market bank debt issuance in US dollars — a figure that rises to 36 percent when excluding Chinese banks. Strong global investor confidence, supported by stable oil prices projected around $70 per barrel in 2025, has further strengthened regional debt markets.

Short-term certificates of deposit emerged as a key instrument in GCC bank funding strategies, accounting for 21 percent of total debt issuance in 2024. 


Saudi Arabia leads GCC in US dollar debt and sukuk issuance, driving regional growth: Fitch

Updated 14 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia leads GCC in US dollar debt and sukuk issuance, driving regional growth: Fitch

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia holds the largest share of the Gulf Cooperation Council’s debt capital market, with 44.8 percent of outstanding issuances, according to Fitch Ratings.

The US-based agency claims the GCC’s total DCM surpassed the milestone of $1 trillion at the end of January, reflecting a 10 percent year-on-year growth across all currencies. 

Saudi Arabia, alongside the UAE, boasts the most mature financial landscape, with both countries leading in sukuk and bond issuances. 

Fitch expects the Kingdom to play a pivotal role in driving US dollar debt and sukuk issuance in 2025 and 2026, as Saudi Arabia’s financial institutions and corporations increasingly turn to international debt markets to diversify funding sources, with banks alone anticipated to issue over $30 billion in US dollar-denominated debt this year. 

In a different report issued earlier this month, Fitch expected Saudi Arabia’s debt capital market to hit $500 billion by the end of 2025, fueled by economic diversification efforts under Vision 2030.

The DCM, which involves the trading of securities like bonds and promissory notes, serves as a key mechanism for raising long-term capital for both businesses and governments.

In its latest report, Fitch Ratings said: “Falling oil prices could lead to further DCM growth as lower government revenues could lead to increased borrowing.” 

It added that the anticipated reduction in US Federal Reserve interest rates in 2025 is expected to create a more favorable funding environment, with GCC central banks likely to follow suit. 

Saudi Arabia and the UAE, in particular, are set to benefit from this trend, further solidifying their positions as key regional and global financial hubs. 

GCC’s growing role in global debt markets 

The GCC accounted for a quarter of all emerging-market US dollar debt issued in 2024, excluding China, with Saudi Arabia, Turkiye and the UAE leading the way.. 

GCC US dollar DCM issuance surged by 65.8 percent year on year in 2024 to $133.4 billion, underscoring the region’s increasing reliance on international debt markets. New GCC fund passporting regulations could enhance DCM investment opportunities. 

Sukuk remained a key financing tool, making up 40 percent of the GCC’s total DCM as of January. Saudi Arabia and its regional counterparts contributed over 40 percent of global sukuk issuance, with GCC volumes soaring 43 percent year on year in 2024 to $87.5 billion. 

Notably, nearly 80 percent of Fitch-rated GCC sukuk are investment-grade, with the majority falling within the “A” category, while the remainder is mostly split between AA, BBB, BB, and B ratings. 

Most issuers are on “Stable Outlook”’ with the rest mainly on “positive.” Islamic banks played a crucial role in the sukuk ecosystem, both as issuers and investors, reinforcing the Kingdom’s leadership in Islamic finance. 

Challenges such as Shariah compliance complexities could impact sukuk structuring and issuance, Fitch warned. 

Saudi Arabia and UAE dominate ESG debt market 

The GCC’s environmental, social, and governance debt market surpassed $50 billion in outstanding issuances by the end of January, according to the ratings agency. 

Saudi Arabia and the UAE led this segment, with ESG debt representing 7.3 percent of the Kingdom’s total dollar debt issuance in 2024. 

ESG-debt issuance was also a sizable part — 17 percent — of dollar debt issuance in the UAE. 

“ESG debt could help issuers tap demand from ESG-sensitive international investors from the US, Europe and Asia,” Fitch said. 

Challenges and future prospects 

Despite its rapid expansion, the GCC’s DCM faces hurdles, including a bank-dominated investor base, a preference for bank financing over capital market funding, and limited local-currency debt issuance outside of Saudi Arabia. 

The Kingdom’s riyal-denominated market is the most developed in the region but “still has more room for growth,” according to Fitch. 

Kuwait became the GCC’s third-largest dollar debt issuer in 2024, with a total of $13.6 billion, led by banks. This is despite the absence of the public debt law, which would enable sovereign borrowing. 

Historically, US dollar issuances from Kuwait have been sporadic and rare, with only $11.8 billion issued between 2018 and 2023. “Kuwait’s new government plans to revise liquidity laws to facilitate capital market borrowing, but the timeline is uncertain,” Fitch said.
 


Oil Updates — crude to snap 3-week losing streak amid US tariff delays

Updated 14 February 2025
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Oil Updates — crude to snap 3-week losing streak amid US tariff delays

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose in Asian trade on Friday, poised to end three weeks of decline, buoyed by rising fuel demand and expectations that US plans for global reciprocal tariffs would not come into effect until April, giving more time to avoid a trade war.

Brent futures were up 59 cents, or 0.8 percent, at $75.61 a barrel by 3:22 p.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 47 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $71.76. Both contracts were on track for weekly gains of about 1 percent.

US President Donald Trump on Thursday ordered commerce and economics officials to study reciprocal tariffs against countries that place tariffs on US goods and to return their recommendations by April 1.

“Positive development on the trade front in light of US tariff delays paves the way for some recovery in oil prices this morning, as the risk environment warms up to the prospects of further trade consensus being reached,” said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG.

“However, gains in oil prices may seem limited as market participants have to digest the prospects of Russian supplies being brought back on the market amid potential Ukraine-Russia peace talks,” Yeap said.

A potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine kept traders concerned that an end of sanctions on Moscow could boost global energy supplies.

Trump ordered US officials this week to begin talks on ending the war in Ukraine, after Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed a desire for peace in separate phone calls with him.

Russian oil exports could be sustained if workarounds to the latest US sanctions package are found, after Russian crude production rose slightly last month, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its latest oil market report.

Meanwhile, global oil demand has surged to 103.4 million barrels per day, a 1.4 million bpd increase year-over-year, analysts at JPMorgan said in a report on Friday.

“Initially sluggish, demand for mobility and heating fuels picked up in the second week of February, suggesting the gap between actual and projected demand will soon narrow,” JPMorgan said, adding: “Heating fuel use is expected to rise again. Additionally, soaring gas prices in Europe could prompt a shift from gas to oil, boosting demand.” 


Saudi Arabia, IMF lead talks on economic resilience at AlUla summit

Updated 13 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia, IMF lead talks on economic resilience at AlUla summit

JEDDAH: Policymakers, economists, and industry leaders will gather in Saudi Arabia next week for the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, where discussions will focus on global economic shifts, challenges, and the growing influence of artificial intelligence in driving growth. 

The event, set for Feb. 16-17, is a joint initiative between Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Finance and the International Monetary Fund. The annual conference aims to serve as a key platform for addressing structural changes in the global economy and their impact on emerging markets, according to the Saudi Press Agency.  

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan said the forum would provide an opportunity for decision-makers to exchange insights on economic policies designed to navigate current challenges. 

“The conference will also showcase the latest regional and global economic developments, focusing on enhancing prosperity and resilience,” Al-Jadaan said. 

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva highlighted the significance of the event, noting that it comes at a time of rapid transformation. 

 “It will provide a vital platform for policymakers, the private sector, and key stakeholders to discuss how emerging economies can take advantage of the opportunities offered by current economic shifts, strengthen their competitiveness, and achieve strong growth driven by the private sector,” Georgieva said. 

A January report from Moody’s projected that oil production and large-scale investment projects would accelerate annual economic growth in the Middle East and North Africa by 0.8 percentage points in 2025. 

Saudi Arabia, which is leading economic diversification efforts under Vision 2030, has increasingly positioned itself as a hub for global economic dialogue. The AlUla conference underscores the Kingdom’s efforts to foster international cooperation amid shifting economic dynamics.