ISLAMABAD: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has suggested Pakistan to digitalize its budget preparation and execution processes to improve fiscal monitoring and reporting to overcome deviations from the planned budgets.
In a technical assistance report to improve budget practice brought out this week, the international lender said Pakistan needed to take strong control over the budget in the coming years.
The report came as an IMF delegation led by Pakistan mission chief, Nathan Porter, completed a five-day trip to the country in which it discussed the performance of a $7 billion loan program approved in September. The IMF has said Porter’s visit is not part of the first review of the loan program, which is not scheduled to take place before the first quarter of 2025.
“An examination of Pakistan’s recent budgetary outcomes reveals substantial deviations from planned budgets,” the lender said in the report. “While these discrepancies are partially due to an unstable external environment and political uncertainties, the establishment of stronger fiscal institutions can help deliver a more credible budget, tighten its execution, and prevent policy slippages.”
The IMF pointed out that despite several reforms, the budget processes still involved significant manual and paper-based steps.
“Fully digitalized processes are yet to be prepared and implemented in the Financial Accounting and Budgeting System,” it said in the report. “The Finance Division has designed a data warehouse to store fiscal data and made available a set of dashboards for use by stakeholders, but this is hampered by the lack of timely data provided by some key entities. As a result, fiscal reporting is not yet comprehensive and timely.”
It added that regulatory framework and fiscal data governance practices, including data exchange, did not fully address these challenges.
The IMF also noted Pakistan’s public debt had increased considerably, and interest payments were now absorbing 60 percent of budgeted revenue.
However, it recognized that multiple external shocks and the unprecedented floods in 2022 buffeted the economy and the government’s fiscal position.
“These shocks have been compounded by policy slippages including unbudgeted subsidies, and delays in implementing revenue measures,” it continued, adding the authorities now had the difficult task of converting a primary deficit of 1.3 percent of GDP for FY23 into a primary surplus for FY24. It also emphasized continued fiscal restraint, while preserving essential social and development spending.
The international lender suggested the finance division to require line ministries to prepare their budget submissions within a binding budget ceiling and explain any request for additional resources.
“Consider a reorganization of the Finance Division to reduce fragmentation and improve effective decision-making,” the reported suggested. “Support the reorganization with a functional review of the Division’s structure and staffing.”