Arab Americans evenly split over whether Trump or Harris better for the Mideast: Poll

Democratic presidential nominee and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump are seen in a combination of file photographs. (Reuters)
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Updated 22 October 2024
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Arab Americans evenly split over whether Trump or Harris better for the Mideast: Poll

  • Trump appears to have benefited from disappointment with the Biden administration’s support for Israel
  • Result is surprising given acknowledgement Trump is likely to be a better friend to Netanyahu than Harris

LONDON: Arab Americans are evenly divided over which of the two main candidates would be better for the Middle East if elected president, according to a poll conducted for Arab News by YouGov.

Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are each chosen by 38 percent of those polled, while only 9 percent back Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who has consistently been the most vocal critic of Israel’s actions in Gaza and Lebanon.

Trump appears to have benefited from the disappointment among Arab Americans with the Biden administration’s support for, and only muted criticism of, Israel’s increasingly deadly and indiscriminate response to the Hamas attack last October.

Asked which of the candidates would be most likely to successfully resolve the conflict, 39 percent back Trump and 33 percent Harris.

Even allowing for the widespread disenchantment with the performance of the Biden administration with regard to Israel, confidence in Trump on this issue is somewhat puzzling.

Read our full coverage here: US Elections 2024: What Arab Americans want

During his presidency, Arab-American support for Trump had drained away as his administration formally recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, moving the US Embassy there from Tel Aviv, and presided over the Abraham Accords, which were widely seen as favoring Israel and marginalizing the Palestinians.  

But in the YouGov poll results, confidence in Trump is even more surprising given the acknowledgement that of the two main candidates, he is likely to be the better friend to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The survey asked respondents to classify the candidates in terms of their support for Israel’s government. Harris is deemed to be “somewhat” or “very supportive” by 59 percent, while 69 percent think the same about Trump.

Stein’s frequent criticism of Israel over the past year appears not to have registered with a significant proportion of Arab-American voters. 

Not only do 24 percent think she has been supportive of the Israeli government, but 44 percent do not know what her stance is.


US, Ukraine hail ‘productive’ Miami talks but no breakthrough

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US, Ukraine hail ‘productive’ Miami talks but no breakthrough

  • Representatives from Ukraine, Russia, and Kyiv’s European allies, held separate talks hosted by US special envoy Steve Witkoff
  • Russia's delegation said recent proposed changes to Trump's “20-point plan”  to end the war were a non-starter

MIAMI, Florida: US and Ukrainian envoys issued a joint statement on Sunday that hailed “productive and constructive” talks in Miami but did not announce any apparent breakthrough in efforts to end the war with Russia.

Top representatives from both Ukraine and Russia, as well as Kyiv’s European allies, have been in southern Florida over the past several days for a series of separate talks hosted by US President Donald Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff.
The meetings were the latest in a weeks-long diplomatic blitz over plans to end the war, after Washington last month presented a 28-point proposal widely seen as echoing the Kremlin’s demands.
It has since been redrafted following Ukraine and Europe’s involvement, though its contents have not been publicly disclosed.
“Over the last three days in Florida, the Ukrainian delegation held a series of productive and constructive meetings with American and European partners,” Witkoff and Ukraine’s top negotiator, Rustem Umerov, said in separate statements on X.
They said a bilateral US-Ukraine meeting focused on developing and aligning positions on “four key documents” — a “20-point plan,” a “Multilateral security guarantee framework,” a “US Security guarantee framework for Ukraine” and an “economic & prosperity plan.”
“Particular attention was given to discussing timelines and the sequencing of next steps,” they said, without announcing any further meetings.
National security advisers from Kyiv’s European allies “also joined the discussions to align on a shared strategic approach between Ukraine, the United States, and Europe,” the statements added.
Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev was also in southern Florida and met with the US delegation, which included billionaire real estate developer Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner.
Witkoff on Sunday similarly said that the meetings with Dmitriev were “productive and constructive.”
Earlier, the Kremlin said recent proposed changes to the plan to end the war were a non-starter.
Dmitriev “should receive information about what has been developed by the Americans and Europeans” in the plan and report that back to Moscow later, Kremlin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov told state TV.
Moscow, which invaded Ukraine in February 2022, sees Europe as pro-war and argues that its participation in the talks only hinders them.

War rages on 

While little is known of the latest peace plans, Kyiv is likely to be expected to surrender some territory — a prospect resented by many Ukrainians — in exchange for US security guarantees.
Though envoys from both Moscow and Kyiv were in town, the Kremlin had earlier ruled out three-way talks.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky earlier described the talks as “constructive” and said they were “moving at a fairly rapid pace.”
He nevertheless cautioned that “much depends on whether Russia feels the need to end the war for real.”
He also hailed this week as “historic” for Ukraine, thanking Europe for pledging $100 billion of funding over the next two years.
Moscow’s troops have been steadily advancing at the eastern front in recent months. Putin on Friday hailed the Russian army’s territorial gains — and threatened more in the coming weeks.
Just over the week, “Russia has launched approximately 1,300 attack drones, nearly 1,200 guided aerial bombs, and 9 missiles of various types” against Ukraine, Zelensky said.
Most of them have pummeled the Black Sea region of Odesa, where relentless strikes wrought havoc on ports, bridges and energy facilities, killing eight people Saturday.
In the eastern Sumy region, Russian troops attempted a breakthrough in an area previously spared from an intense ground offensive. Russian forces forcibly moved 50 people from a local village, said Kyiv.
“Russian invaders have stolen five dozen civilian people, mostly elderly women, from a tiny Ukrainian village Grabovske, right across the state border in the Sumy region,” Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiga said.
Russia made no comment on the matter.