Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector growth steady with PMI at 56.4 

According to the Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia PMI report by S&P Global, business activity in Saudi Arabia rose at a substantial rate in May, continuing a period of robust output growth across the non-oil economy. Shutterstock
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Updated 04 June 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector growth steady with PMI at 56.4 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s private sector non-oil growth remained steady in May, with the Kingdom’s Purchasing Managers’ Index reaching 56.4, a slight decline from 57 in April, official data showed. 

According to the Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia PMI report by S&P Global, business activity in Saudi Arabia rose at a substantial rate in May, continuing a period of robust output growth across the non-oil economy. 

In March, PMI stood at 57, while it was 57.2 in February and 55.4 in January. 

S&P Global noted that any PMI reading above 50 indicates growth in the non-oil sector, while readings below 50 signal contraction. 

Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank, said: “The PMI for Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy shows a positive trend, driven by increasing demand as evidenced by the rise in new orders. This growth has necessitated an increase inemployment to meet the growing demand for goods and services.”  

He added: “However, the surge in demand has also led to price pressures impacting input prices and staff costs, although the increase in output prices has been observed at a slower pace. This balancing act reflects the challenges faced by businesses in managing costs while trying to capitalize on the expanding market.” 

The report highlighted that business activity and new order growth in the Kingdom remained steep in May, amid further reports of strong demand conditions, especially in domestic markets. 

Robust inventory growth continued in May after reaching its highest on record in April, as companies sought to prepare for strong sales performances in the future. 

“Furthermore, the rise in inventory levels and prices has prompted firms to adjust their purchasing behaviors to align with their sales strategies. This cautious approach indicates a strategic response to the changing market dynamics and the need to maintain a sustainable business model,” added Al-Ghaith. 

The PMI survey noted that companies reported increasing their activity due to strong demand conditions and efforts to fulfill pending workloads. 

The report added that business growth was broad across the monitored sectors, with construction noting the sharpest expansion.

Moreover, companies operating in the non-oil private sector increased their employment levels in May, primarily driven by higher workloads, offsetting the first decline in over two years in April. 

Al-Ghaith further noted that Saudi Arabia’s efforts to diversify the Kingdom’s economy will strengthen the growth of the non-oil gross domestic product. 

“The latest flash estimates of the non-oil GDP growth in the first quarter and the forecast for the second quarter suggest a continuation of this upward trajectory. It is anticipated that the non-oil GDP growth will exceed 3 percent, driven by ongoing efforts to diversify the economy in line with Vision 2030,” said Al-Ghaith. 

He added: “This strategic vision underscores the government’s commitment to reducing its dependence on oil revenues and fostering a more diversified and resilient economy, paving the way for sustained growth and development in various sectors.” 

Kuwait PMI climbs

In another report, S&P Global revealed that the PMI of Kuwait climbed to 52.4 in May from 51.5 in April, driven by sharp and accelerated increases in new business. 

The credit rating firm noted that Kuwait witnessed the strongest output growth in four years. 

“The strategy being implemented by a number of firms in Kuwait’s non-oil private sector continued to pay off in May, with a focus on advertising and competitive pricing leading to rapid increases in output and new orders,” said Andrew Harker, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence. 

The report highlighted that the increase in staffing levels in May was only marginal, resulting in a record accumulation of work backlogs.

“The challenge for firms at present is keeping up with demand. While employment returned to growth in May, the rate of job creation was only marginal and insufficient to prevent the strongest build-up of outstanding business in the survey’s history,” said Harker. 

He added: “Capacity will need to be ramped up in future if companies are to be able to satisfy customer requirements in a timely manner.” 

The economic survey further noted that Kuwait witnessed a steep expansion in new orders. At the same time, new export orders also increased at a faster pace midway through the second quarter of the year.

On the other hand, the pace of inflation eased to the weakest in the year-to-date in May. 

Egypt’s PMI jumps to 33-month high

Meanwhile, Egypt’s PMI significantly rose to 49.6 in May from 47.4 in April, marking the highest reading since August 2021.

According to the report, business activity in May dropped at the slowest rate since last July, while firms took on more staff amid growing confidence that sales will begin to improve. 

Similarly, new business levels fell at the slowest rate since September 2021, while new export orders increased for the second time in three months amid rising foreign demand. 

“May’s PMI reading of 49.6 was the first indication that the rapid cooling of price pressures is starting to boost the Egyptian non-oil private sector. The output and new orders metrics closed most of their gaps to the 50.0 growth threshold, with the services and construction sectors even seeing a turnaround in activity as comments suggest that greater price stability fueled client spending,” said David Owen, a senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. 

He added: “That said, ongoing downturns in industries such as manufacturing and wholesale and retail show that the recovery is still lopsided and may take more time to spread across the rest of the economy.” 

On the other hand, business activity fell moderately during May, reflecting a mixed picture across various sectors. Manufacturing, wholesale, and retail posted further declines, contrasting with uplifts across services and construction. 

“With input cost inflation easing further, the data nonetheless signals a promising outlook for Egyptian businesses. Purchase costs rose at their slowest rate in four years, leading to only a mild increase in selling prices, which should give customers greater confidence to spend,” added Owen. 

The survey also highlighted that business confidence toward the 12-month outlook ticked higher in May as firms hoped that economic conditions would strengthen in the coming months.

Qatar’s non-oil sector gains momentum

Meanwhile, Qatar Financial Center revealed that the country’s  PMI hit 53.6 in May, up from 52.0 in April. 

According to the report, Qatar’s non-energy private sector gained notable momentum in May, driven by a rise in output and new orders. 

“The May results clearly indicate that the non-energy private sector has moved up a gear as we approach the halfway point of 2024.

Growth rates for output and new orders accelerated notably, and companies became more optimistic regarding the next 12 months,” said Yousuf Mohamed Al-Jaida, CEO of QFC Authority. 

He added: “Both the wholesale and retail and the services sectors continued to drive expansion in May, and financial services remained a bright spot.” 

The report added that financial services companies in Qatar also recorded much faster growth in volumes of total business activity and new contracts in May.

Moreover, business confidence regarding the next 12 months strengthened in May, driven by development plans and marketing campaigns. 

According to the report, the level of incoming new work expanded at the sharpest rate in eight months, with companies attributing this trend to their high-quality products and services. 


Poland expects trade with Saudi Arabia to grow to $10 billion, finance and economy minister tells Arab News

Updated 09 February 2026
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Poland expects trade with Saudi Arabia to grow to $10 billion, finance and economy minister tells Arab News

  • Andrzej Domanski says his country’s companies are looking for reliable partners like Saudi Arabia
  • Highlights opportunities in clean energy, ICT, food security and construction cooperation on Riyadh visit

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s pace of transformation, its economic ambition under Vision 2030, and its role as Poland’s biggest Middle Eastern trading partner are driving a new phase in bilateral relations, Andrzej Domanski, Poland’s finance and economy minister, has said.

Speaking to Arab News during a visit to Riyadh on Monday, Domanski discussed how the two nations might expand their trade ties, the sectors where Polish businesses enjoy an edge, and the potential for broadening the bilateral relationship.

“We have better and better economic relations with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. We will reach $10 billion in our trade,” Domanski said, describing Saudi Arabia as a “reliable partner” at a time when Polish companies are actively seeking diversification and new markets.

His visit comes as Saudi-Polish economic ties deepen beyond a historically oil-focused relationship into a broader partnership spanning energy transition, technology, construction, food security and potentially defense cooperation.

This evolution mirrors Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 diversification drive and Poland’s emergence as one of Europe’s fastest-growing large economies.

Domanski said Riyadh itself offered a powerful visual symbol of Saudi Arabia’s economic momentum.

“I must say that it’s my first visit to Riyadh and I’m really impressed,” he said. “I’m impressed by the pace of development. The thousands of cranes in the city. It is also a proof of how quickly Saudi Arabia is developing.”

Bilateral trade between Saudi Arabia and Poland has expanded rapidly in recent years, driven largely by energy flows. Saudi Arabia is now Poland’s main crude-oil supplier, accounting for roughly 60 percent of Poland’s oil imports.

Trade volumes have risen from about $7 billion in 2022 to around $8.5 billion in 2023, with Domanski predicting the $10 billion mark will soon be reached.

“We are, of course, importing crude oil. But we’d like to together search for new business opportunities for both Saudi and, of course, Polish companies,” he said.

Domanski argued that growth prospects make the country an attractive destination for Saudi investment.

Andrzej Domanski, Polish minister of finance and economy. (AN photo by Loai Elkelawy)

“On our side, we are also doing pretty well. We are the fastest growing large European economy,” he said. “This year we will work in the G20 format. This is because last year we joined the Group of the 20 biggest economies in the world. And we are frankly proud of that.”

Inflation, he added, has fallen sharply. “Inflation went down significantly, 2.5 percent. Very reasonable. A reasonable level. Investment started to pick up,” he said, pitching Poland as a stable European base for Saudi capital.

A recurring theme of Domanski’s visit was the alignment between Poland’s development priorities and Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 agenda.

“Our companies, our economy, are fully aligned with the ambitious Vision 2030 that is realized here,” he said.

Energy cooperation remains central, anchored by Saudi Aramco’s stake in the Lotos refinery in Gdansk — the largest Saudi direct investment in Poland — which underpins long-term crude-supply contracts and Poland’s energy-security strategy.

But Domanski stressed that the future lies increasingly in clean energy.

“It’s worth noting that right now Poland is building onshore capabilities, offshore capabilities, solar capabilities. And we are constructing the first Polish nuclear power plant,” he said.

“We want to diversify from coal into nuclear and renewables. And I believe that our Saudi partners could participate in this clean energy transformation of the Polish economy.”

The shift reflects broader cooperation under way between Warsaw and Riyadh on green energy and hydrogen, dovetailing Poland’s decarbonization plans with Saudi Arabia’s push to develop non-oil sectors.

Technology and digital services emerged as one of the most promising areas for expansion, with Poland positioning itself as a provider of high-end IT talent for Saudi Arabia’s digital and AI-driven projects.

“ICT solutions. We have really great companies that provide the best solutions. They are already well recognized in Western European countries. They have their footprint here in Riyadh,” Domanski said.

“Having said that, they still lack scale. So my visit here is also to discuss that kind of business opportunity.”

Polish officials frequently point to the country’s deep pool of programmers and cybersecurity specialists. Warsaw has signaled plans for dozens of Polish firms to establish regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia, particularly in AI, cybersecurity and digital infrastructure.

Domanski underscored Poland’s strengths in specific niches.

“I believe that we are really top class,” he said. “For example, in cybersecurity, we really have companies that are providing the best solutions for smart cities in Western Europe.

“But, I believe there is lots of room for strengthening this presence and the cooperation with Saudi partners.”

Food security is another area where Poland sees scope for joint ventures and long-term cooperation. “We are quite an important food producer,” Domanski said. “We have knowhow. We have land. We have a growing sector.

“And I believe that, for example, through joint ventures with our Saudi partners, we could establish a long lasting cooperation in this sector.”

The construction sector also featured prominently, reflecting the scale and pace of development under way across the Kingdom.

“We have lots of contractors that proved to be very efficient and contractors that keep timelines and realize how it is important to deliver on time,” Domanski said.

“And I believe that here, seeing how quickly Saudi Arabia is developing, those contractors could also help in your development.”

Domanski highlighted the importance of institutional frameworks and regular high-level engagement. During his visit, discussions focused on communication mechanisms and a formal framework for cooperation.

“First of all, we need communication and we need to have a frame for cooperation,” he said.

Andrzej Domanski, Polish minister of finance and economy, with Arab News report Lama Alhamawi. (AN photo by Loai Elkelawy)

“So this is why I’m really glad that together with the minister of trade, minister of investment, we were discussing both communication, and we’d like to see each other, invite each other more often, as this is very, very, important.

“And we’d like to set, also, the frame for cooperation. And such a document will be signed today. So we will decide who will be responsible for some particular areas and when we would like some results to be delivered.”

The move builds on existing structures, including the Saudi-Polish Coordination Council and a Saudi-Polish Business Council, as well as a new memorandum of understanding signed in January to strengthen the partnership’s strategic character.

Domanski said he hopes Saudi delegations will soon travel to Poland, including for major economic and reconstruction-focused events.

“I do hope that our friends from Saudi Arabia will join us during our economic congress, which will take place in Katowice in the Silesia region, the most industrialized region of Poland, at the end of June,” he said.

He also highlighted Poland’s role in hosting a major summit on Ukraine.

“We will host the Ukrainian Recovery Conference, which is a truly international event. And we would also love to see our Saudi friends to be there,” he said.

“I’ve invited ministers to participate in those events.”

While his focus remains economic, Domanski did not rule out expanding cooperation into defense, particularly as Poland ramps up military spending and industrial capacity.

“Unfortunately I couldn’t attend,” he said, referring to the World Defense Show currently taking place in Riyadh. “Having said that, it’s worth noting that Poland spends close to 5 percent of our GDP on defense. We intend to build a very strong defense industry in Poland.

“We are, of course, supporting, building a strong defense industry in Europe. But of course, I’m mostly focused on Poland. And therefore I believe that we can provide really, very good solutions for and very good equipment that could be presented here, and hopefully we can develop our cooperation also in this sector.”

For Domanski, Saudi Arabia represents not only Poland’s most important economic partner in the Arab world, but a gateway to diversification and scale.

“Polish companies are getting larger and larger,” he said. “And, of course, are looking for diversification, looking for new markets and for reliable partners like Saudi Arabia.”