Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector to grow by 4.8% in 2024: Riyad Capital 

In its latest report, Riyad Capital stated that the sector will accelerate further in 2025, with a projected expansion rate of 5.2 percent. Shutterstock
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Updated 27 May 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector to grow by 4.8% in 2024: Riyad Capital 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s non-oil sector is projected to grow at a rate of 4.8 percent in 2024, driven by the Kingdom’s growth-oriented fiscal policy, according to an analysis. 

In its latest report, Riyad Capital stated that the sector will accelerate further in 2025, with a projected expansion rate of 5.2 percent. 

“We project continued solid growth for non-oil activities, fostered by a growth-oriented fiscal policy with a focus on increased investment spending, which will spur growth in the coming years,” stated Riyad Capital.  

This follows a trend where non-oil activities experienced a rise of 5.6 percent and 4.4 percent in 2022 and 2023, respectively. 

Developing the sector is crucial for the Kingdom as it steadily pursues its Vision 2030 goals to reduce dependency on oil. 

According to the report, Saudi Arabia's overall economic growth is poised to rebound in the coming years, with the nation's gross domestic product expected to expand by 2.3 percent in 2024 and accelerate to 5.8 percent in 2025. 

The analysis projected that the Kingdom’s fiscal deficit could shrink to 3 percent and 1.8 percent of GDP in 2024 and 2025, respectively. 

“After a surplus of 3.2 percent of GDP in 2023, we expect the current account balance to rise again to 3.7 percent of GDP in 2024. It will further expand to 4.9 percent of GDP in 2025 on the back of notably higher projected oil export revenues next year,” said Riyad Capital.  

On the other hand, the inflation rate in the Kingdom is expected to decline to 2 percent in 2024 and witness a moderate acceleration to 2.4 percent in 2025. 

Riyad Capital also expects Saudi Arabia’s oil production to reach more than 10 million barrels per day over the next 18 months. 

“We expect oil production to expand again above 10 mbd in the course of the next 18 months, with the better part of this increase taking place in 2025. Therefore, the oil sector GDP contribution will still be mildly negative in 2024 with –2.2 percent, but record substantial growth of 8.7 percent in 2025,” said the report.  

The analysis further pointed out that global oil prices are expected to remain volatile but at elevated levels, with Brent crude to fall in a range between $80 and $90 in 2024 and 2025. 


Saudi Arabia opens 3rd round of Exploration Empowerment Program

Updated 01 February 2026
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Saudi Arabia opens 3rd round of Exploration Empowerment Program

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources, in collaboration with the Ministry of Investment, has opened applications for the third round of the Exploration Empowerment Program, part of ongoing efforts to accelerate mineral exploration in the Kingdom, reduce early-stage investment risks, and attract high-quality investment from local and international mining companies.

The third round of the Exploration Empowerment Program offers a comprehensive support package targeting exploration companies and mineral prospecting license holders.

The initiative aims to lower investment risks for projects and support a faster transition from prospecting to development.

"The program provides coverage of up to 70 percent of the total salaries of Saudi technical staff, such as geologists, during the first two years, increasing to 100 percent thereafter, in line with program requirements.

This support aims to develop talent, build national capabilities in mineral exploration, promote job localization, and facilitate the transfer of geological knowledge.

The application for the third round opened on Jan. 14, allowing participants to benefit from the Kingdom’s attractive investment environment, its stable legal framework, and streamlined regulatory structures, as well as integrated infrastructure that supports the transition from mineral resources to operational mines.

The ministry has set the timeline for the third round, with the application period running from Jan. 14 to March 31.

This will be followed by the evaluation, approval, and signing of agreements from April 1 to May 31, with the eligible projects set to be announced between June 1 and July 31 of the same year.

The program stages include submitting exploration data during the reimbursement and payment phase from Sept. 1 to Nov. 30, followed by technical and financial verification of work programs and approval of the disbursement of support funds in January 2027.

The exploration data will then be published on the National Geological Database in April 2027.

The ministry emphasized that the EEP focuses on supporting the exploration of strategically important minerals with national priority. It also contributes to enhancing geological knowledge by providing up-to-date data that meets international standards, helping investors make informed decisions and supporting the growth of national companies and local supply chains.

The ministry urged companies to apply early to benefit from the program’s third round, which coincided with the fifth edition of the International Mining Conference, which was held from Jan. 13 to 15.