Oil Updates – prices rise on US crude storage draw, China imports show year-on-year gain

Brent crude futures for July rose 27 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $83.85 a barrel by 9:50 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 12 May 2024
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Oil Updates – prices rise on US crude storage draw, China imports show year-on-year gain

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose on Thursday as falling US crude inventories amid rising refinery intake and a year-on-year increase in Chinese imports last month supported higher demand expectations for the world’s two largest crude consuming nations, according to Reuters.

Brent crude futures for July rose 27 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $83.85 a barrel by 9:50 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude for June was up 34 cents, or 0.4 percent to $79.33 per barrel.

“Oil markets were buoyed by a larger-than-expected draw in the US inventory data. The improved China’s trade balance data added to the upside momentum,” said Tina Teng, an independent market analyst, adding that crude prices may continue to track economic factors looking ahead.

Crude inventories in the US, the world’s biggest oil user, dropped last week by 1.4 million barrels to 459.5 million barrels, according to the Energy Information Administration, more than analysts’ expectations for a 1.1 million-barrel draw. Stockpiles fell as refinery activity increased by 307,000 barrels per day in the period.

This caused gasoline stocks to swell by more than 900,000 barrels to 228 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles including diesel and heating oil rose by 600,000 barrels to 116.4 million barrels.

“The market shrugged off the builds in gasoline and distillate fuels as refiners ramp up for the upcoming driving season,” analysts at ANZ Research said in a note on Thursday.

Shipments of crude in April to China, the world’s biggest oil importer, were 44.72 million metric tons, or about 10.88 million bpd, according to China’s customs data released on Thursday. That was up 5.45 percent from the relatively low 10.4 million bpd imported in April 2023.

Hopes for a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas conflict Gaza kept oil prices from moving higher. The US said earlier in the week that negotiations should be able to close the gaps between Israel and Hamas.

“While there may be some short-term relief for oil prices, it may be difficult to return to April’s high above the $90 per barrel level, where geopolitical tensions were at its peak,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG. 


Up to $600m in additional tariffs on Saudi exports to the US

Updated 12 sec ago
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Up to $600m in additional tariffs on Saudi exports to the US

RIYADH: Gulf exports have become targets of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which he raised from 10 percent to 15 percent on all countries.

The increase comes after the US Supreme Court ruled that the legal basis Trump had used to impose earlier tariffs was unlawful.

Previously, Gulf countries were among the few that had not raised their tariffs above 10 percent, while many other countries, most notably China, had already been subject to higher tariffs. However, with this latest increase, the Gulf states will be among those affected.

According to the financial analysis unit of Al-Eqtisadiah newspaper, Gulf exports to the US in 2024 amounted to about $26.2 billion, with Saudi Arabia accounting for roughly half of that, at $12.7 billion. These exports are subject to potential additional tariffs of SR637 million ($169 million).

It is likely that tariffs on Saudi exports will grow from $1.3 billion annually to $1.9 billion, a rise of 50 percent, following Trump’s recent increase.

Customs duties on Gulf exports will also increase, from $2.6 billion annually to $3.9 billion.

In 2024, Gulf exports are distributed as follows: $7.5 billion from the UAE, $1.8 billion from Qatar, and $1.6 billion from Kuwait, as well as $1.3 billion from Oman, and finally, $1.2 billion from Bahrain.

Gulf trade with the US in 2024 reached approximately $86 billion, comprised of $26.2 billion in exports and approximately $60 billion in imports, resulting in a Gulf trade deficit of $33.5 billion.

Trump responds to Supreme Court ruling

US President Donald Trump raised the global tariffs from 10 percent to 15 percent in response to the US Supreme Court ruling that his previous tariff implementation mechanism was unlawful.

Trump said in a post on his Truth Social account today: “As President of the US, I will, effective immediately, raise the global tariffs imposed on countries that have been taking advantage of the US for decades with impunity (until I took over!) to the legally permitted and tested level of 15 percent.”

Hours after the Supreme Court ruling on Feb. 20, Trump imposed a 10 percent global tariff on foreign goods, a move aimed at maintaining his trade agenda.

Trump had expressed his displeasure with the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn the tariffs imposed by his administration, asserting that the ruling would not restrict him. He vowed to impose tariffs far exceeding those struck down by the court, indicating that he had stronger alternatives to tariffs, raising questions about his future trade strategy.

The US Supreme Court struck down Trump’s sweeping global tariffs, undermining his signature economic policy and inflicting his biggest legal defeat since returning to the White House.

By a six-three vote, the court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority by invoking the federal emergency powers law to impose his reciprocal tariffs worldwide, in addition to targeted import duties that the administration claims are intended to combat fentanyl smuggling.