Biden, the reluctant escalationist, seeks calm after Yemen strikes

US President Joe Biden visits Nowhere Coffee shop in Emmaus, Pennsylvania, on January 12, 2024. (AFP)
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Updated 13 January 2024
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Biden, the reluctant escalationist, seeks calm after Yemen strikes

  • The Houthis, by contrast, have defied US warnings by persistently firing on international ships in avowed solidarity with the Palestinians, disrupting global commerce in the Red Sea and forcing lengthy detours around Africa

WASHINGTON: President Joe Biden took office vowing to negotiate an end to a bloody war in Yemen and to remove US troops from harm’s way.
He enters his reelection year by launching strikes on the country instead, but his administration hopes calm can return.
Experts say the Biden administration and Yemen’s Houthi insurgents, as well as the group’s backers in Iran, have tacitly entered a delicate and dangerous understanding — they both feel the need to use force, while presuming the other side does not want to escalate.
Secretary of State Antony Blinken, on four tours of the Middle East since Hamas militants attacked Israel on October 7, unleashing massive retaliation on Gaza, has put a priority on containing the conflict.
US officials privately believe that Lebanon’s Hezbollah, also backed by Iran’s clerical state, has heard the message.
The Houthis, by contrast, have defied US warnings by persistently firing on international ships in avowed solidarity with the Palestinians, disrupting global commerce in the Red Sea and forcing lengthy detours around Africa.
Blinken on his latest tour briefed regional partners on Friday’s US and British strikes against the Houthis — which took place as he was on his plane back to Washington — and made clear that the United States saw the strikes as defensive, and not a new salvo in a regional war.
“I don’t think the conflict is escalating. There are lots of danger points; we’re trying to deal with each of them,” Blinken told reporters Thursday in Cairo, his last stop.
Biden, in a statement announcing the strikes, notably did not mention Iran — despite earlier accusations by the United States that Tehran provided the capacity for the Houthi attacks. The omission likely signals that the regional power is not in direct US crosshairs.
The Biden administration also insisted it was retaliating, not escalating, after strikes on Iranian-linked Shiite militias in Iraq, following more than 100 attacks on US forces there and in neighboring Syria since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war.

After extensive US and UN diplomacy, a truce has held since April 2022 in Yemen between the Houthis and the Saudi-backed, internationally recognized government, ending a decade of civil war that caused one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises.
Michael Knights, a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy who has studied the Houthis, said that the insurgents were keenly aware that the United States did not want to destroy the uneasy peace in Yemen, the Arabian peninsula’s poorest country.
The Houthis have a “very high pain tolerance” after years of fighting, and the strikes on their missile capacity are unlikely to change their hold on power in Yemen, Knights said.
“The Houthis kind of understand that they’re bulletproof at the moment,” he said.
“They have a lot of license to do what they’re going to do and thumb their nose at the world’s largest power, and they are kind of high on this moment — they are intoxicated by it.”
He expected the Houthis to phase down the confrontation in tandem with the Gaza war, although Israel has vowed no let-up in its campaign to eradicate Hamas.
“What the US is trying to do is make the Houthis back down before the Gaza conflict ends, and that is probably impossible,” he said.

Sarhang Hamasaeed, director of Middle East programs at the US Institute of Peace, said the Houthis saw the confrontation as a “manageable” way to boost their profile in the region.
“But it is very possible the loss of life on any side could push one side to escalate more, and that could continue the chain reaction and a more regional confrontation,” Hamasaeed said.
“I think the key actors do not want it, but that does not mean it’s inevitable,” he said.
Jon Alterman, senior vice president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote in an analysis that Iran likely was “delighted” by the Houthi attacks on international ships, from which Tehran can “enjoy the benefits without paying the costs.”
But he said it was a mistake to believe that Iran was directing the attacks and, despite the risks and economic damage, Alterman doubted the Houthi attacks in themselves would bring a wider Middle East war.
“Neither side is looking to have an all-out war, and they are badly mismatched,” he said.
 

 


Proposals on immigration enforcement flood into state legislatures, heightened by Minnesota action

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Proposals on immigration enforcement flood into state legislatures, heightened by Minnesota action

  • Oregon Democrats plan to introduce a bill to allow residents to sue federal officers for violating their Fourth Amendment rights against unlawful search and seizure

NASHVILLE, Tennessee: As Democrats across the country propose state law changes to restrict federal immigration officers after the shooting death of a protester in Minneapolis, Tennessee Republicans introduced a package of bills Thursday backed by the White House that would enlist the full force of the state to support President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown.
Momentum in Democratic-led states for the measures, some of them proposed for years, is growing as legislatures return to work following the killing of Renee Good by an Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer. But Republicans are pushing back, blaming protesters for impeding the enforcement of immigration laws.

Democratic bills seek to limit ICE

Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul wants New York to allow people to sue federal officers alleging violations of their constitutional rights. Another measure aims to keep immigration officers lacking judicial warrants out of schools, hospitals and houses of worship.
Oregon Democrats plan to introduce a bill to allow residents to sue federal officers for violating their Fourth Amendment rights against unlawful search and seizure.
New Jersey’s Democrat-led Legislature passed three bills Monday that immigrant rights groups have long pushed for, including a measure prohibiting state law enforcement officers from cooperating with federal immigration enforcement. Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy has until his last day in office Tuesday to sign or veto them.
California lawmakers are proposing to ban local and state law enforcement from taking second jobs with the Department of Homeland Security and make it a violation of state law when ICE officers make “indiscriminate” arrests around court appearances. Other measures are pending.
“Where you have government actions with no accountability, that is not true democracy,” Democratic state Sen. Scott Wiener of San Francisco said at a news conference.
Democrats also push bills in red states
Democrats in Georgia introduced four Senate bills designed to limit immigration enforcement — a package unlikely to become law because Georgia’s conservative upper chamber is led by Lt. Gov. Burt Jones, a close Trump ally. Democrats said it is still important to take a stand.
“Donald Trump has unleashed brutal aggression on our families and our communities across our country,” said state Sen. Sheikh Rahman, an immigrant from Bangladesh whose district in suburban Atlanta’s Gwinnett County is home to many immigrants.
Democrats in New Hampshire have proposed numerous measures seeking to limit federal immigration enforcement, but the state’s Republican majorities passed a new law taking effect this month that bans “sanctuary cities.”
Tennessee GOP works with White House on a response
The bills Tennessee Republicans are introducing appear to require government agencies to check the legal status of all residents before they can obtain public benefits; secure licenses for teaching, nursing and other professions; and get driver’s licenses or register their cars.
They also would include verifying K-12 students’ legal status, which appears to conflict with a US Supreme Court precedent. And they propose criminalizing illegal entry as a misdemeanor, a measure similar to several other states’ requirements, some of which are blocked in court.
“We’re going to do what we can to make sure that if you’re here illegally, we will have the data, we’ll have the transparency, and we’re not spending taxpayer dollars on you unless you’re in jail,” House Speaker Cameron Sexton said at a news conference Thursday.
Trump administration sues to stop laws
The Trump administration has opposed any effort to blunt ICE, including suing local governments whose “sanctuary” policies limit police interactions with federal officers.
States have broad power to regulate within their borders unless the US Constitution bars it, but many of these laws raise novel issues that courts will have to sort out, said Harrison Stark, senior counsel with the State Democracy Research Initiative at the University of Wisconsin Law School.
“There’s not a super clear, concrete legal answer to a lot of these questions,” he said. “It’s almost guaranteed there will be federal litigation over a lot of these policies.”
That is already happening.
California in September was the first to ban most law enforcement officers, including federal immigration officers, from covering their faces on duty. The Justice Department said its officers won’t comply and sued California, arguing that the laws threaten the safety of officers who are facing “unprecedented” harassment, doxing and violence.
The Justice Department also sued Illinois last month, challenging a law that bars federal civil arrests near courthouses, protects medical records and regulates how universities and day care centers manage information about immigration status. The Justice Department claims the law is unconstitutional and threatens federal officers’ safety.
Targeted states push back
Minnesota and Illinois, joined by their largest cities, sued the Trump administration this week. Minneapolis and Minnesota accuse the Republican administration of violating free speech rights by punishing a progressive state that favors Democrats and welcomes immigrants. Illinois and Chicago claim “Operation Midway Blitz” made residents afraid to leave their homes.
Homeland Security spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin accused Minnesota officials of ignoring public safety and called the Illinois lawsuit “baseless.”