Oil Updates – prices hold steady, Russia rolls back diesel export ban

Brent futures were down 11 cents, or 0.13 percent, at $83.96 at 3:03 p.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock.
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Updated 06 October 2023
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Oil Updates – prices hold steady, Russia rolls back diesel export ban

LONDON: Oil prices were stable but on course for a week-on-week loss, as demand fears due to macroeconomic headwinds were compounded by another partial lifting of Russia’s fuel export ban.

On Friday, Brent futures were down 11 cents, or 0.13 percent, at $83.96 at 3:03 p.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 13 cents, or 0.16 percent, at $82.18.

Russia announced that it had lifted its ban on diesel exports for supplies delivered to ports by pipeline, under the proviso that companies sell at least 50 percent of their diesel production to the domestic market.

Almost three quarters of Russia’s 35 million tons of diesel exports were delivered via pipeline in 2022.

The ban on all gasoline exports remains in place.

Brent and WTI futures were on course for approximately 12 percent and 9 percent week-on-week declines respectively on Friday, driven principally by concerns that higher-for-longer interest rates will slow global growth and hammer fuel demand.

Demand concerns offset announcements by Saudi Arabia and Russia this week confirming that current voluntary supply cuts worth 1.3 million barrels per day will be held until the end of the year.

This week saw a steep drop in US Treasury prices to 17-year lows, on concerns the Federal Reserve will keep rates higher for longer and growing worries about government spending and a ballooning budget deficit, the world’s top oil consumer.

“Oil prices are stabilizing after a brutal week that saw a relentless bond market selloff trigger global growth worries,” said Edward Moya, an analyst at OANDA.

“The worst week for crude since March is starting to attract buyers given the oil market will still remain tight over the short-term,” Moya said.

Investors will be looking ahead to the US monthly jobs report on Friday for signs of how strong the economy is.

The European Central Bank has not ruled out further interest rate hikes if inflation were to keep rising, ECB board member Isabel Schnabel said in an interview with Croatian paper Jutarnji list.


World faces largest-ever oil supply disruption on Middle East war, IEA says

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World faces largest-ever oil supply disruption on Middle East war, IEA says

LONDON: The war in the Middle East is creating the biggest oil supply disruption in history, the International Energy Agency said on Thursday, a day after the agency agreed to release a record volume of oil from strategic stockpiles.

Global supply is expected to drop by 8 million barrels per day in March due to the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow channel along the Iranian coast, since the US and Israel began a campaign of airstrikes on Iran on Feb. 28.

Middle East Gulf countries have cut total oil production by at least 10 million bpd — a volume equal to almost 10 percent of world demand — as a result of the conflict, the IEA said in its latest monthly oil market report, adding that without a rapid restart of shipping flows these losses were set to increase.

“Shut-in upstream production will take weeks and, in some cases, months to return to pre-crisis levels depending on the degree of field complexity and the timing for workers, equipment and resources to return to the region,” the agency said.