Oil Updates — OPEC sees global oil demand rising to 110m bpd by 2045 

According to the OPEC secretary-general, oil will comprise about 29 percent of the energy mix by 2045. (Shutterstock)  
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Updated 26 June 2023
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Oil Updates — OPEC sees global oil demand rising to 110m bpd by 2045 

  • Underinvestment in the sector challenges the viability of current energy systems: official

RIYADH: Oil prices firmed slightly on Monday, with political instability from an aborted revolt by Russian mercenaries over the weekend viewed by the market as not posing an immediate threat to oil supply from one of the world’s largest producers.

Brent crude futures were up 47 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $74.32 a barrel by 03:17 p.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 36 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $69.52.

OPEC sees global oil demand rising to 110m bpd by 2045  

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries expects oil demand to rise to 110 million barrels per day by 2045, its Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais said.   

“Oil is irreplaceable for the foreseeable future,” he said during the inaugural Energy Asia conference held in Kuala Lumpur on Monday.   

According to the secretary-general, oil will comprise about 29 percent of the energy mix by 2045.   

“Gas hydro, nuclear hydrogen and biomass will expand. But it is clear that oil remains an integral part of the mix,” added Al-Ghais.   

He further pointed out that underinvestment in the oil sector challenges the viability of current energy systems, which will ultimately result in energy chaos.   

Hydrocarbons a crucial part of energy mix: Malaysian PM  

During the Energy Asia conference, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said that hydrocarbons will be a crucial part of the energy mix, even as the world sails toward achieving a sustainable future.   

During his speech, Ibrahim said that achieving net-zero emission targets should not come at the expense of economic growth or vice versa.   

“Asia must take every opportunity to further dialogue and actions around how we can responsibly plan to enable every country (in) its right to development and lower carbon aspirations,” he said.   

The prime minister added that Malaysia will launch two roadmaps in the second half of 2023 detailing the country’s potential for developing hydrogen fuel and carbon capture and storage technology. 

Pertamina, Petronas aim to replace Shell in Masela project: minister 

Shell’s participating interest in Indonesia’s Masela gas project could be jointly taken over by the country’s state-owned energy firm Pertamina along with its Malaysian counterpart Petronas, a top minister said.  

“They are both doing the negotiation,” Indonesia’s Energy Minister Arifin Tasrif told Reuters.  

Shell has been seeking to divest its 35 percent share in Masela, and Indonesian authorities are keen for the companies to complete the deal to move the project forward after years of delay. 

“They have to finalize what kind of joint scheme they are preparing,” he said.  

Petronas said it “actively seeks new opportunities to ensure the company remains resilient in the evolving energy landscape,” but did not comment specifically on the Masela project. 

Pertamina and Petronas are preparing for a sales agreement with Shell, Arifin said, adding that he hoped a deal would be settled within a month. 

(With input from Reuters)


US pump prices surge as Iran war upends global energy supply

Updated 07 March 2026
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US pump prices surge as Iran war upends global energy supply

  • Fuel prices jump over 10 percent as oil prices surge
  • Analysts predict further price rises due to market conditions

MARIETTA/NEW YORK : US retail gasoline and diesel prices are soaring as the US-Israel war with Iran constrains oil and fuel exports, which could be a political test for President Donald Trump’s Republican Party ahead of midterm ​elections in November.
Fuel prices jumped more than 10 percent this week as oil rose above $90 a barrel, its highest in years, adding pain at the pump for consumers already strained by inflation.
Trump on Thursday shrugged off higher gasoline prices in an interview with Reuters, saying “if they rise, they rise.”
The president had vowed to lower energy prices and unleash US oil and gas drilling during his second term, but much of his tenure has been marked by volatility and uncertainty amid shifts in policies like tariffs and geopolitical turmoil.
The US is the world’s largest oil producer. It is a major exporter but also imports millions of barrels a day since it is the world’s largest oil consumer.
As of Friday, the national average prices for regular gasoline stood at $3.32 a gallon, up 11 percent from a ‌week ago and ‌the highest since September 2024, according to data from the motorists association AAA. Diesel was at $4.33, ​up ‌15 percent ⁠from a week ​ago, ⁠surging to the highest since November 2023.

Midwest, south feel the pinch
US motorists in parts of the Midwest and the South, including states that supported Trump, have seen some of the steepest increases in fuel costs since the conflict in Iran started.
In Georgia, a swing state, average retail gasoline prices rose 40.1 cents a gallon over the past week, according to fuel tracking site GasBuddy.
Andrenna McDaniel, a health care insurance worker in South Fulton, Georgia, said she was surprised to see prices skyrocket overnight.
“They jumped up so quickly,” she said on Friday, adding that she does not agree with the war at all.
McDaniel, a Democrat, said that for now she is only driving for the most important things, ⁠and feels lucky that she works from home so she does not have to drive as ‌much as other people do. Georgia voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
Trump voter ‌Richard Soule, 69, a US Air Force veteran and a retired firefighter, said ​a little pain at the pump is worth Trump’s efforts to ‌protect America.
“When President Trump went in there and bombed out their nuclear, and they just thumbed their nose at it, ‌I believe he did the right thing at the right time,” Soule said on Friday as he filled up his Ford F-150 truck in Marietta, Georgia.
Other states, including Indiana and West Virginia have seen prices rise by 44.3 cents and 43.9 cents, respectively.

Prices may rise further
More pain may be on the way, analysts said, as oil prices continue to trend upward. On Friday, US oil futures settled at $90.90 a barrel, up nearly $10 and ‌the biggest single-day rise since April 2020.
“Given current market conditions, the national average price of gasoline could climb toward $3.50 to $3.70 per gallon in the coming days if oil continues rising and supply ⁠disruptions persist,” GasBuddy analyst Patrick De ⁠Haan said.
The disruptions in the Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz, a key trade conduit, have boosted demand for US oil abroad, which in turn has driven up prices for domestic refiners too.
“The US has weaned itself off of its dependence on Middle Eastern crude, but obviously Asian refineries, and to a lesser extent, European refineries have not,” Denton Cinquegrana, chief oil analyst with OPIS. “That’s what you’re seeing happen in the spot market, because the demand for US exports rise, and so the price rise.”
Seasonal factors could add further pressure. Gasoline prices typically go up in the spring and peak in the summer due to higher gasoline demand and production of summer-blend gasoline, which is more costly to produce. Diesel fuel saw an even more aggressive jump since Iran began retaliating against US and Israeli strikes, significantly disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
Global diesel inventories have remained in tight supply due to heavy demand for heating and power generation during a prolonged winter in the US and other parts of the world and a structural tightness of refining ​capacity. Sticker prices of everything from food to furniture go up ​when the cost of diesel goes up, as the fuel is mainly used in freight transportation, manufacturing, agriculture, and global shipping, analysts said.
“In a world where buzzword seems to be ‘affordability’, that is certainly not going to help,” Cinquegrana said.