Non-oil activity in Egypt shrinks 28th month as inflation soars

The S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index edged down to 46.7 in March. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 04 April 2023
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Non-oil activity in Egypt shrinks 28th month as inflation soars

CAIRO: Egypt's non-oil private sector activity shrank for the 28th straight month in March as import and currency restrictions and rising inflation continued to hurt business, a survey showed on Tuesday.

The S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index edged down to 46.7 in March from 46.9 in February, well below the 50.0 threshold that marks growth in activity.

"At 46.7, the headline PMI signaled a further solid deterioration in the performance of non-oil companies, driven by steep falls in activity and new business volumes," S&P Global economist David Owen said.

Egypt remains short of foreign currency despite the Egyptian pound depreciating by half since March 2022 and its signing of a $3 billion support package with the International Monetary Fund in December.

Headline inflation soared to a five-and-a-half-year high of 31.9 percent in February from 25.8 percent in January, the state statistics organization reported, while core inflation leaped to 40.26 percent.

The PMI's sub-index for overall input prices inched up to 62.8 from February's 62.7, and that for purchase prices climbed to 64.3 from 63.9.

"Steep inflationary pressures and a drop in client demand continued to negatively impact non-oil businesses, chiefly through a sharp reduction in new orders," S&P Global said.

The new orders sub-index fell to 44.3 in March from 44.7 in February, while that for output strengthened to 44.9 from 44.6.

"Output levels fell at a marked rate across the non-oil private sector during March, in part due to ongoing difficulties with accessing key inputs due to import controls and currency restrictions," S&P Global said.

Inventories and employment levels also decreased, S&P Global economist David Owen said.

The sub-index for future output expectations improved to 54.2 from 52.5 in February, still near an all-time low.

"Despite picking up to a three-month high, the year-ahead outlook for activity was still among the weakest recorded since the series began in early-2012," S&P wrote.


GCC chambers plan Gulf Guarantee project to boost intra-regional trade

Updated 16 February 2026
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GCC chambers plan Gulf Guarantee project to boost intra-regional trade

DAMMAM: The Federation of GCC Chambers, in cooperation with the Customs Union Authority, intends to launch the Gulf Guarantee Project to provide a unified mechanism for exports and trade transactions and to enhance the efficiency of intra-GCC trade, which reached about $146 billion by the end of 2024, Saleh Al-Sharqi, Secretary-General of the federation, told Al-Eqtisadiah.  

Al-Sharqi said, on the sidelines of his meeting with media representatives at the federation’s headquarters in Dammam, that the initiative represents a qualitative leap in supporting intra-GCC trade by facilitating transit movement through a single point, contributing to cost reduction, accelerating the flow of goods, and enhancing the reliability of trade operations among Gulf markets.   

Saleh Al-Sharqi, Secretary-General of the Federation of GCC Chambers. Al-Eqtisadiah

He explained that the federation recently launched a package of strategic initiatives, including the Tawasul initiative aimed at strengthening communication among Gulf business owners and supporting the building of trade and investment partnerships, in addition to the Gulf Business Facilitation initiative, which seeks to address challenges facing Gulf investors and traders, simplify procedures, and improve the business environment across member states.    

He noted that these initiatives fall within an integrated vision to address obstacles hindering investment and intra-regional trade flows by developing regulatory frameworks, activating communication channels between the public and private sectors, and supporting Gulf economic integration in line with the objectives of the Gulf Common Market.    

In a related context, the Secretary-General affirmed the direction of GCC countries to leverage artificial intelligence technologies to support trade and investment flows, stressing the importance of establishing a unified Gulf committee for artificial intelligence to coordinate efforts and exchange expertise among member states. He said the federation will support this direction in the coming phase, drawing on leading international experiences, particularly the Chinese experience in this field.    

Regarding the recently announced electric railway project between Riyadh and Doha, Al-Sharqi revealed that technical and advisory committees are working to complete the necessary studies for the project, confirming that it will positively impact passenger and freight movement between the two countries, enhance Gulf logistical integration, and support regional supply chains.  

On investment opportunities available to Gulf nationals in the Syrian market, he said the federation is coordinating with private sector representatives in Syria to overcome obstacles that may face the flow of Gulf investments, in addition to working to provide adequate guarantees to protect these investments and ensure a stable and attractive investment environment.  

In response to a question from Al-Eqtisadiah about the impact of tariffs imposed by the US on imports of iron, steel, and aluminum, he said that economic and technical committees in GCC countries are continuously monitoring the repercussions of these tariffs on the Gulf private sector, assessing their effects, and taking the necessary measures to protect it from any potential negative impacts.    

Al-Sharqi also pointed to the launch of two specialized committees in the transport and logistics sectors and in real estate activities, given their pivotal role and active contribution to Gulf gross domestic product, stressing that developing these two sectors is a fundamental pillar for enhancing economic diversification and increasing the competitiveness of GCC economies.    

He added that during the past year the federation held more than 40 meetings and official engagements with Gulf and international entities, participated in nine regional and international events to strengthen the presence of the Gulf private sector on the global stage, and signed 12 agreements and memoranda of understanding with Gulf, regional, and international entities to open new horizons for economic and investment cooperation.    

During the same year, the federation launched four digital platforms to support the Gulf private sector, bringing the total number of its digital platforms to eight serving the business community across member states.    

The Secretary-General affirmed that the federation will continue working with relevant economic entities to unify procedures and regulations, reduce non-tariff barriers, and accelerate mutual recognition of products and standard specifications, in a way that enhances the competitiveness of the Gulf economy and supports the growth of intra-GCC trade.