Non-oil activity in Egypt shrinks 28th month as inflation soars

The S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index edged down to 46.7 in March. (Shutterstock)
Short Url
Updated 04 April 2023
Follow

Non-oil activity in Egypt shrinks 28th month as inflation soars

CAIRO: Egypt's non-oil private sector activity shrank for the 28th straight month in March as import and currency restrictions and rising inflation continued to hurt business, a survey showed on Tuesday.

The S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index edged down to 46.7 in March from 46.9 in February, well below the 50.0 threshold that marks growth in activity.

"At 46.7, the headline PMI signaled a further solid deterioration in the performance of non-oil companies, driven by steep falls in activity and new business volumes," S&P Global economist David Owen said.

Egypt remains short of foreign currency despite the Egyptian pound depreciating by half since March 2022 and its signing of a $3 billion support package with the International Monetary Fund in December.

Headline inflation soared to a five-and-a-half-year high of 31.9 percent in February from 25.8 percent in January, the state statistics organization reported, while core inflation leaped to 40.26 percent.

The PMI's sub-index for overall input prices inched up to 62.8 from February's 62.7, and that for purchase prices climbed to 64.3 from 63.9.

"Steep inflationary pressures and a drop in client demand continued to negatively impact non-oil businesses, chiefly through a sharp reduction in new orders," S&P Global said.

The new orders sub-index fell to 44.3 in March from 44.7 in February, while that for output strengthened to 44.9 from 44.6.

"Output levels fell at a marked rate across the non-oil private sector during March, in part due to ongoing difficulties with accessing key inputs due to import controls and currency restrictions," S&P Global said.

Inventories and employment levels also decreased, S&P Global economist David Owen said.

The sub-index for future output expectations improved to 54.2 from 52.5 in February, still near an all-time low.

"Despite picking up to a three-month high, the year-ahead outlook for activity was still among the weakest recorded since the series began in early-2012," S&P wrote.


Saudi POS stays above $4bn as Ramadan spending lifts outlays on home goods

Updated 48 min 36 sec ago
Follow

Saudi POS stays above $4bn as Ramadan spending lifts outlays on home goods

RIYADH: Saudi point-of-sale transactions remained above $4 billion in the week ending Feb. 14, with spending on furniture and home supplies rising ahead of Ramadan, central bank data showed.

Overall POS activity totaled SR15.34 billion ($4.09 billion), representing a 4.8 percent week-on-week decrease, while the number of transactions dipped 1.6 percent to 252 million, according to the Saudi Central Bank. 

Spending on furniture and home supplies rose 5.9 percent to SR697.35 million, marking the strongest weekly increase among major retail categories. 

Expenditure on electronics increased 2.9 percent, while spending on construction and building materials rose 1.1 percent.

Sectors that saw declines includes freight transport and courier services, which posted a drop of 5 percent to SR64.86 million.

Pharmacy and medical supplies spending fell 8.2 percent to SR223.81 million, but outlays on medical services rose 5.7 percent to SR539.68 million. 

Food and beverage expenditure decreased 4.3 percent, but the total spend of SR2.57 billion meant it retained the largest share of POS activity.

Restaurants and cafes followed with SR1.73 billion, despite a 4.7 percent decline. Apparel and clothing outlays represented the third-largest share of POS spending during the monitored week, up 0.5 percent to SR1.38 billion.

The Kingdom’s major urban centers mirrored the mixed national changes. Riyadh, which accounted for the largest share of total POS spending, saw a 3.4 percent drop to SR5.32 billion. The number of transactions in the capital reached 80.7 million, down 0.8 percent week on week. 

In Jeddah, transaction values decreased 4.4 percent to SR2.12 billion, while Dammam reported a 3.3 percent decrease to SR746.29 million. 

POS data, tracked weekly by SAMA, provides an indicator of consumer spending trends and the ongoing growth of digital payments in Saudi Arabia.  

The data also highlights the expanding reach of POS infrastructure, extending beyond major retail hubs to smaller cities and service sectors, supporting broader digital inclusion initiatives.  

The growth of digital payment technologies aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives, promoting electronic transactions and contributing to the Kingdom’s broader digital economy.