Saudi Arabia ranks third in Emerging Markets Investment Confidence Index: Kearney

The report said that the rankings were fueled by the Kingdom’s robust rate of gross domestic product, strong fiscal outlook and accelerating progress in its economic diversification goals. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 03 April 2023
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Saudi Arabia ranks third in Emerging Markets Investment Confidence Index: Kearney

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia has stood third in the Middle East and sixth globally in the Emerging Markets ranking of the 2023 Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index released by Kearney, affirming the high investor confidence in the Kingdom.

According to the FDIC report, it followed China, India, the UAE, Qatar and Thailand.

The Emerging Markets ranking aims to provide business leaders with insights into emerging markets that are most attractive to investors.

Referring to Saudi Arabia, the report said that the rankings were fueled by the Kingdom’s robust rate of gross domestic product, strong fiscal outlook and accelerating progress in its economic diversification goals.

The report further disclosed that the Kingdom ranked third globally in investor confidence due to its strong and growing technological and innovation capabilities, a highly collaborative approach to public-private investment, the sustained fiscal windfall from solid oil revenue, and the recovery of the tourism sector following the major pandemic-induced disruption.

“We are witnessing in Saudi Arabia the emergence of a new investment paradigm that features co-creation of value and mutual skin in the game, a long-term strategic orientation concerning investment, and a pervasive commitment to innovation in all areas,” said Rudolph Lohmeyer, Partner, National Transformations Institute, Kearney Middle East in a press note.

Saudi Arabia, which grew by 8.7 percent in 2022, ranked 24th on the FDIC Index, following UAE’s 18th and Qatar’s 21st rank, boosting the Middle East’s prominence.

The UAE’s GDP expanded by 7.9 percent in 2022, and the country is expected to rise at a constant rate of 3.2 percent and 4.8 percent in 2023 and 2024, respectively.

The index demonstrates that the UAE business environment is solid, and the country’s rising technical and innovation skills stand out as crucial advantages to investors.

Qatar, meanwhile, jumped three places in the global ranking beginning in 2022 from 24th to 21st, most likely as a result of Qatar’s famous hosting of the FIFA World Cup last year, which fueled the interest of investors.

The FDIC report also reflected the cautious investor optimism about the global economy. About 82 percent of the people surveyed said they are planning to increase their foreign direct investment in the next three years, and 86 percent cited FDI as more important for their corporate profitability and competitiveness in the next three years.

“While investors are generally optimistic about the outlook for FDI, our results this year also reflect a degree of caution,” said Erik R. Peterson, partner and managing director of Kearney’s Global Business Policy Council, in the press note.

“Investors cited a rise in commodity prices, an increase in geopolitical tensions, and rising political instability in emerging markets as among the top risk factors over the next three years,” he added.


Oil surges as Iran conflict disrupts Middle Eastern supply flow

Updated 7 sec ago
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Oil surges as Iran conflict disrupts Middle Eastern supply flow

SINGAPORE: Oil prices surged by as much as 13 percent on Monday after shipping in the crucial Strait of Hormuz was disrupted by retaliatory Iranian attacks following initial bombing by Israel and the US that killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

Brent crude futures rose to as much as $82.37 a barrel, the highest since January 2025, before retreating to be up $5.41, or 7.4 percent, to $78.28 by 09:05 am Saudi time.

US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed to an intraday high of $75.33, up over 12 percent and the highest since June, though it later pared gains and was up $4.74, or 7.1 percent, at $71.76.

Both benchmarks jumped as a sustained exchange of counterattacks damaged tankers and sharply disrupted shipmentsin the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway between Iran and Oman that connects the Gulf to the Arabian Sea.

On a typical day, ships carrying oil equal to about one-fifth of global demand from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, Iran, and Kuwait sail through the Strait along with tankers hauling diesel and jet fuel and gasoline and other products from their refineries to major Asian markets including China and India.

“Markets are acknowledging the seriousness of the conflict, but are also signalling that, for now, this is a geopolitical shock, not a systemic crisis,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior analyst at Phillip Nova.

Prolonged effective closure of the Strait would push oil prices higher and cause shortages in supply to top importers China and India.

More than 200 vessels including oil and liquefied gas tankers have dropped anchor outside the Strait, shipping data showed on Sunday. Three tankers were damaged and one seafarer was killed in attacks on Sunday in Gulf waters.

Asian economies are assessing oil stockpile availability and ways to secure alternative supply. South Korea will offer petroleum from its stockpiles to local industries if supply disruptions are prolonged, while India is exploring alternative shipping routes.

PRICES PARE GAINS

Still, prices pared gains after the steep surge in early Asian trade, which analysts attributed to buyers already factoring a risk premium into prices in anticipation of the conflict.

Brent had risen over 19 percent this year until Friday’s close, while WTI was trading about 17 percent higher.

Amid the conflict, OPEC+ agreedon Sunday to a modest oil output boost of 206,000 barrels per day for April. Every OPEC+ producer is essentially producing at capacity except for Saudi Arabia, RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft said.

The International Energy Agency is in touch with major producers in the Middle East, director Fatih Birol said on Sunday. The energy watchdog coordinates the release of strategic petroleum reserves from developed countries during emergencies.

Globally, visible oil inventories stood at 7.827 million barrels, enough for 74 days of demand, which is near a historical median, Goldman Sachs wrote in a note.

Citi analysts expect Brent to trade between $80 and $90 a barrel this week amid the ongoing conflict.

“Our baseline view is that the Iranian leadership changes, or that the regime changes sufficiently as to stop the war within 1-2 weeks, or the US decides to de-escalate having seen a change in leadership and set back Iran's missiles and nuclear program over the same time frame,” Citi analysts led by Max Layton wrote.

Analysts are also warning retail gasoline prices in the US, the world’s biggest fuel consumer, may break above $3 a gallon because of the conflict, a potentially risky result for President Donald Trump and his Republican Party ahead of midterm elections this November.

US gasoline futures surged by as much as 9.1 percent to $2.496 a gallon, their highest since July 2024, and were last at $2.381 a gallon, up 4.2 percent.